Epi Methods 752 Flashcards
Degree to which study is free from bias; inferences from study population reflect inferences that would be observed in target population; prerequisite for external validity
Internal Validity
Includes allocation concealed, masked, common data collection, quality assurance monitoring
Metrics of Study Quality
Degree to which results of study may apply, be relevant, or be generalized to populations/groups that didn’t participate in study; assessing whether internally valid inferences apply to other target populations; representativeness
External Validity
Vague definition of target population, inability to define source population, or problems with process of obtaining study population
Barriers to Internal Validity
Condition –> identify risk factors –> test intervention –> dissemination –> repeat cycle
Process of Studying Health Outcomes
Study design where subsets of defined population identified with exposure to factor(s) hypothesized to influence occurrence of outcome; compare incidences in groups that differ by exposure levels; denominators are typically persons or person-time
Cohort Study
Research question identified, protocol developed, & cohort assembled, then exposure measured, then participants followed for outcomes
Prospective Cohort Study
Exposures & outcome occur and measured for other purpose, then research question identified, protocol developed, & cohort assembled
Retrospective Cohort Study
Cohort that can gain & lose members over time; fixed or dynamic
Open Cohort
Cohort cannot gain members after defined time/event & loses members only to outcome or end of study
Closed Cohort
Evaluate exposure with many outcomes, temporality, calculate risk, time-varying effects; expensive, can take long time to conduct, not efficient for long disease process/rare outcome, may not be warranted for rare exposure
Pros & Cons of Cohort
Enroll all individuals who meet eligibility criteria; non-probabilistic & may not reflect target population
Convenience Sample
All individuals have known probability of selection; must be able to enumerate population
Probability Sample
Probability sample, random start then sample every “nth” unit
Systematic Sample
Probability sample, divide population into homogenous strata & select random sample within each strata
Stratified Random Sample
Probability sample, divide population into heterogeneous clusters, randomly sample clusters, & measure within chosen cluster
Cluster Sample
Immigrative selection bias by self-referral, immigrative non-response bias, emigrative loss to follow-up
Selection Bias in Cohort Study
Exposure time that doesn’t biologically contribute to outcome (after etiologically relevant time window for exposure); including time in analysis dilutes effect of exposure
Wasted Exposure
Collect follow-up data by linkage to external systems
Passive Follow-Up
Collect follow-up data by interaction with participants or proxies
Active Follow-Up
Enumerate group of at risk individuals followed for outcome
Cohort
Cohort members still at risk for outcome at time of event; aligned by time origin & time metric
Risk Set
Persons credited for time at risk during which effect cannot possibly occur; including time in analysis creates artificially lower event rate; typically occurs when cohort entry dependent on survival
Immortal Person Time
Persons continue to contribute person-time to cohort after death due to imperfect mortality ascertainment; typically occurs in aging cohorts
Ghost Time
Planned experiment designed to assess efficacy of treatment by comparing outcomes in comparable groups receiving intervention or control, participants in both groups enrolled, treated, & followed over same time period
Randomized Clinical Trial
Genuine uncertainty within professional community as to which of 2 treatment arms is superior; justification for randomization
Clinical Equipoise
Process where treatment follows no describable deterministic pattern but a probabilistic pattern; exposure decision removed from participant/provider
Randomization
Avoids selection bias (confounding by indication), groups should be similar by baseline characteristics (exchangeability), valid significance levels for statistical tests, defined time origin
Pros of Randomization
Restriction, restricted/adaptive randomization, or adjustment for baseline characteristics
Control for Confounding in RCT
Process for preventing disclosure of treatment assignments to participants or study staff; prevents immigrative selection bias; occurs at enrollment
Concealment of Random Allocation
Treatment assignment not known after randomization; prevents differential measurement error; can be single, double, or triple; occurs during course of trial
Masking
Each new assignment independent; number of patients & characteristics in groups should be equal in long run (potentially not in small trials)
Simple Randomization
Blocking ensures number of individuals in each treatment arm is equal; stratification ensures number of individuals in each treatment arm is equal by confounder
Restricted Randomization
Current group composition influences next allocation
Adaptive Randomization
Adaptive randomization where software chooses treatment assignment to yield smallest imbalance
Minimization
Mix of effect & sample size and doesn’t prove causality, show factor is confounder, or consider definitions of confounding
Limitations of Statistical Testing
Analysis of RCT according to randomization irrespective of what happens afterwards; keeps randomization intact but may blur treatment effects (conservative)
Intention to Treat Analysis
Analysis of RCT according to treatment participants received; may overestimate treatment effects relative to “real world” effects; often secondary analysis (primary analysis in some non-inferiority trials)
Per Protocol Analysis
Immigrative selection bias (insufficient concealment of random allocation), emigrative selection bias (differential loss to follow-up), information bias (differential measurement error due to insufficient masking), reporting bias
Bias in RCTs
More than 1 treatment, examine treatments independently & together; indicated if 2 treatments act independently or influence each other
Factorial 2x2 Trial
Designed to show test intervention not inferior to comparison by margin of non-inferiority (Δ); tests Ho that treatment effects differ between groups
Non-Inferiority Trial
Designed to show test intervention equivalent to comparison (-Δ to +Δ)
Equivalence Trial
Tests Ho of no difference between treatment groups
Superiority Trial
Unit of randomization is group not individual; useful when intervention cannot be easily isolated; account for correlations in analysis
Cluster Trial
Participants randomized to treatment, then measurement of outcomes & washout, then receive opposite treatment, then measurement of outcomes; each subject is own control (closest to exchangeability); condition must be stable, intervention must not cause permanent change, outcome must be repeatable, carry-over effects must be small, drop out must be low
Cross-Over Trial
Use accumulating data to decide how to modify aspects of trial
Adaptive Trial
Randomization used to achieve balance across prognostic factors at baseline; equal allocation probabilities; stratified randomization for confounding
Fixed Allocation Rule
Randomization used interim data to unbalance allocation probabilities in favor of “better” treatments (“playing the winner”)
Adaptive Allocation Rule
Occurs earlier in disease process; should have strong consistent association with clinical outcome (in causal pathway) & yield same inference as outcome
Surrogate Outcome
More frequent events, shorter time; potential inconsistent relationship with outcome, may not be reliable indicator of treatment effects
Pros & Cons of Surrogate Outcome
Outcomes must be of similar importance, incidence, & effect; reduces sample size, useful if no obvious primary outcome, measure for common underlying mechanism, reduces multi-dimensionality
Composite Outcome
Study individuals with & without disease; examine relationship of exposure by comparing diseased & non-diseased subjects with regard to frequency of exposure
Case-Control Study
Individuals with disease, representative of individuals with disease in source population; individuals who could have had disease but didn’t, representative of individuals without disease in source population; do not select based on exposure status
Cases vs. Controls