economics and analysis Flashcards

1
Q

GDP

A
  • total value of all good and services

- published quarterly

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2
Q

CPI

A
  • consumer price index
  • is a measure of inflation
  • published daily
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3
Q

describe an ideal economy

A
  • GDP is up
  • CPI is down
  • moderate inflation
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4
Q

describe a general business cycle

A
  • expansion-goes up
  • peak-prosperity
  • decline-goes down
  • trough
  • recovery-moves back up
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5
Q

what are the 5 leading economic indicators

A
  • building permits
  • manufacturers’ new orders
  • S&P 500 index
  • M2 (money supply)
  • new unemployment claims
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6
Q

what are the 4 coincident economic indicators

A
  • GDP
  • industrial production
  • personal income
  • manufacturing and trade sales
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7
Q

what are the 2 lagging economic indicators

A
  • corporate profits

- duration of unemployment

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8
Q

what 3 things can influence the economy

A
  • fiscal policy (congress/president)
  • monetary policy (federal reserve)
  • federal reserve
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9
Q

how does fiscal policy affect economy

A
  • taxation (high = deflation, low = inflation)

- government spending

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10
Q

what is keynesian theory?

A

active government manipulation of the economy

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11
Q

describe M1 money supply

A

cash + demand deposits (checking accounts)

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12
Q

describe M2 money supply

A

M1 + CDs + money market mutual funds

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13
Q

describe M3 money supply

A

M2 + negotiable CDs

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14
Q

what are the tools that the federal reserve board can use to influence economy?

A
  • multipliers
  • federal funds
  • discount rate
  • open market operations
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15
Q

federal reserve board has control over?

A

bank reserve requirements

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16
Q

describe the multiplier FRB tool

A
  • is the most drastic tool

- changes reserve requirements banks must have in their position

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17
Q

describe the fed funds FRB tool

A

-bank’s excess reserves to lend

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18
Q

describe the discount rate FRB tool

A
  • rate charged from feds to banks for loaning

- all rates are affected by the discount rate

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19
Q

describe the open market operations FRB tool

A
  • fed buys t-bills from institutions to make interest rate go down
  • fed sells t-bills to institutions to make interest rate go up
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20
Q

what happens if the value of a dollar goes up

A
  • exports less competitive

- imports more competitive

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21
Q

what happens if the value of a dollar goes down

A
  • exports more competitive

- imports less competitve

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22
Q

what are defensive (noncyclical) securities

A

basic human needs

  • food
  • utilities
  • clothing
  • drugs
  • tobacco
  • liquor
  • cosmetics
23
Q

what are cyclical securities

A

can go way up or way down

  • steel
  • heavy equipment
  • capital goods
  • automobiles
  • toy companies
24
Q

what are countercyclical securities

A

-precious metals (gold)

25
assets=
liabilities + net worth
26
net worth=
assets - liabilities
27
working capital=
current assets - current liabilities
28
current ratio=
current assets / current liabilities
29
debt ratio=
long term debt / total capitalization
30
earnings per share=
net income / # of common shares
31
price to earnings ratio=
current market value / earnings per share
32
dividend payout ratio=
common dividends / earnings per share
33
when analyzing the market technically, what would a person use?
- price forecasting | - timing
34
what is the odd lot trading theory?
says to do the opposite of what the little guys are doing
35
what are the 4 market indiices
- dow jones composite - nyse composite - wilshire - S&P
36
describe the components of the dow jones composite
-looks at 65 companies 30-industrials 20-transportation 15-utilities
37
how many companies make up the NYSE composite?
3,000+
38
how many companies make up the Wilshire composite?
5,000
39
how many companies make up the S&P?
500
40
what kind of recommendation for growth objectives?
-growth mutual fund and reinvest earnings
41
what kind of recommendation for income objectives?
-income funds and dont reinvest earnings
42
what kind of recommendation for preserving capital objectives?
- govt - govt backed - blue chip stocks
43
what kind of recommendation for liquidity objectives?
- money markets - IRAs, keoughs - Roth IRAs
44
what is credit risk?
risk of company going bankrupt
45
what is business risk?
risk of industry doing poorly
46
what is market risk?
risk of market decline
47
what is purchasing power risk?
has to do with inflation risk
48
what is marketability risk?
ability to resale security
49
what is taxed as ordinary income?
earned money - salaries - wages - commissions - bonuses
50
describe passive income
says that passive losses can only be used to offset passive income
51
what is the 30 day wash rule
- investor exits position with a loss, then reestablishes position in an identical security with 30 days before or after trade - NOT ALLOWED
52
what are examples of progressive taxes?
- income - estate - gift
53
what are examples of regressive taxes?
- sales | - fuel