Economics Flashcards
What are some characteristics of contraction=s
rising number of bankruptcies and bond defaults
higher consumer debt
falling sto prices
rising inventories - bec of weaker demand in hard times)
decreasing GDP
What are signs of the trough
high unemployment
flat GDP
low inflation
low but stable consumer demand
What are signs of expansion
rising sto, RE, and GDP
increasing industrial production
increasing consumer demand
whats a recession and depression
6mo contraction vs 18mo contraction
What are signs of the peak
very low unemployment
slowdown in inflation
slowing GDP growth
steady consumer demand
What is used to compare GDP from different periods
real GDP which uses CPI to adjust for inflation or deflation
What is another term for CPI
constant dollar measurement
What is Gross National Product
measures the activities of citizens and US based entities not just everything that happens here
What is an example of GNP
comp based in Japan, builds factory here - Adds to GDP not GNP
comp based in US, builds factory in Japan - Adds to GNP not GDP
What are some leading indicators of economic conditions
money supply (M2)
building permits (housing starts)
average weekly initial claims for state unemployment compensation
average work week in manufacturing
new orders for consumer goods
machine tool orders
changes in inventory of durable goods
changes in sensitive materials prices
sto prices
changes in business and consumer borrowing
What are some coincident indicators of economic conditions
number of hours worked
unemployment rate
nonagricultural employment
personal income
industrial production
manufacturing and trade sales
GDP
What are some lagging indicators of economic conditions
corporate profits
average duration of unemployment
labor cost per unit of output
ratio of inventories to sales
commercial and industrial loans outstanding
ratio of consumer installment credit to personal income
What is stagflation
inflation and high unemployment
Consid for stagflation and inflation
inflation doesnt need to be high just present
4 broad categories of industries
cyclical
noncyclical
countercyclical
growth
What is a cyclical industry
highly sensitive to the business cycle and inflation trends
usu produce durable goods like heavy equipment or automobiles, and raw materials like steel and concrete
What are non cycylical industries
also known as defensives
decline less in contractions, rise less in expansions
food
clothes
tobacco
pharma
utilities
liquor
What are the two primary financial reports comps provide and when are they released
balance sheet
income statement
quarterly or annually
What does a balance sheet show
current assets like
cash/highly liquid assets like accounts receiveable
fixed assets like RE and equipment
other assets like trademarks or intellectual property
Liabilities like:
current liabilities like taxes, acrued wages, accs payable, and interest payments
longterm lias like debts
Networth:
pref sto
com sto par value
money in excess of par value of com sto
retained earnings (earnings set as
What are 4 ratios/numbers that can be used for analysis from a balance sheet
working capital
current ratio
acid test/quick ratio
debt ratio