Economic Growth Flashcards

1
Q

Definition of Diminishing Returns

A

The decrease in the marginal output of a production process as the amount of a single input of production is incrementally increased while the amount of all other factors of production stay constant

  • At some point, an additional unit doesn’t really make you happier
  • Diminishing marginal utility: “The fifth cup of coffee won’t make you as happy as the first”
  • Diminishing marginal product of capital: “Having more computers doesn’t mean you can type more essays over a fixed period of time”
  • Diminishing product of labour: “Having more cooks in the kitchen doesn’t mean you can cook more food given a fixed amount of equipment”
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
2
Q

Effect of Diminishing returns in an economy

A
  • At low capital, the marginal product of capital is the highest
  • An additional unit of capital to low capital leads to a higher increase in outputs
  • Growth will be faster when ***input is lower
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
3
Q

Growth Model

A
  • To produce an output, you will always need labour and capital
    Y = f(Capital, Labour)
  • Household saves a portion of their outputs to invest and consumer the rest - saving rate cannot be more than 1 (100%) or otherwise everyone starves to death
    C(consumption) + S(saving) = 1
  • Investments can be spent to improve the inputs (capital: production technology or labour: training) derived from household. However, investments can also be from external (**i.e. foreign debt) sources
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
4
Q

What is Investment

A

Investment Rate: Investment as a portion of GDP
- Investment = Addition of new capital

Growth of Capital Stock: Rate of change between capital
- Growth does not equal accumulation

Depreciation: Wear and tear of capital stock
- If investments do not cover depreciation, capital stock may decrease (destruction is faster than replacement)

Investment may still see decreasing GDP if it doesn’t cover the depreciation (if depreciation is faster)

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
5
Q

Who do we need investment?

Effects of investment on capital stock

A
  • There is diminishing returns to usage of any individual inputs
  • Capital stock will depreciate due to wear and tear
  • Diminishing Returns: adds new types of capital stock
  • Depreciation: replace and improve existing capital stock
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
6
Q

Investment and Technological Progress

A

Technological progress is very costly and relies on upfront investments
Public policy can help by:
1) granting patents
2) subsidies for research and development
Intellectual property rights gives incentive for development and innovation:
1) Preventing copying of new technologies
2) Encourage foreign investments
3) Encourage new development and innovations

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
7
Q

Growth rates

A

GDP per worker - GDP per worker (n-1)/GDP per worker (n-1)

Annual growth rate of GDP per worker has remained stable and consistent but fluctuates and has ups and downs (e.g. depressions/wars)

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
8
Q

Capital and Investment definitions

A
  • Capital is the stock of equipment and structures

- Investment is the addition to the stock of equipment and structures

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
9
Q

Why we need Capital Accumulation and Growth

A
  • Workers use capital
  • Investment leads to growth in capital per worker
  • Growth in capital per workers leads to growth in GDP per worker
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
10
Q

The Sacrifice of Investment

A
  • Some of the workers and capital produce new capital instead of producing goods and services for immediate use
  • Investment implies a sacrifice of current consumption (or at least leisure) to achieve greater future consumption
  • The investment rate is investment/GDP, and it is a measure of this sacrifice
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
11
Q

Limits to growth via capital accumulation

A
  • Decreasing marginal productivity of capital
  • If the investment rate is constant, growth slows down (due to opportunity cost from not consuming)
  • The investment rate would need to grow to keep growth constant (as marginal returns would set in otherwise)
  • Cannot be sustained in the LR
  • Not itself an engine of growth

Also:

  • Poor countries should grow faster than rich countries as they have higher marginal productivity of capital
  • Should be a concave reaction between increase in capital and gdp per worker
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
12
Q

Investment in an open economy

A
  • Use imports to invest without sacrificing current consumption
  • E.g. all domestic workers produce consumption goods and capital goods are imported
  • Borrow -> debt accumulation (in order to pay for capital)
  • Foreign debt cannot be accumulated indefinitely
  • Consumption sacrifice is only postponed
  • Marginal increase of consumption is very high for poor countries thus they borrow and pay back when richer (Gains due to consumption > debt burden)
  • Venezuela and Greece have had recent foreign debt crises
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
13
Q

Innovation and Technological change

A
  • Innovation: introduction of new ways of doing more with less (not an addition to a stock of tools)
  • In modern economies it is the outcome of basic research and R&D
  • More important than capital accumulation
  • Innovation increases GDP as new products with greater marginal utility command greater prices and thus contribute to GDP
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
14
Q

Economics of R&D

A
  • Key characteristics of innovation: upfront research costs, non-rivalry
  • Solutions: patents, subsidies, intellectual property rights (all incentivise growth)
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
15
Q

Economics of basic research

A
  • Typical case of positive externalities
    (the spill over affects of research)
  • Heavily subsidies by government
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
16
Q

Technical Change in Poorer Countries

A
  • For countries behind the technology frontier, imitation makes more sense than innovation

Problem: knowledge does not flow that easily

17
Q

Sources of International Technology Diffusion

A

FDI

  • Direct technology transfer
  • Diffusion through imitation clusters?
  • Competition with inefficient local firms

Trade

  • Imports
  • Embodied technology (imported capital inputs)
  • Pressure in inefficient local firms
  • Exports
  • Learning by exporting (what is the economy best at producing/ideas shared this way)serve foreign markets so innovate more to compete
  • Market size and technology adoption

Education/work abroad*****

  • Should countries enforce intellectual property rights on rich-country firms?
  • Temptation to produce (P>AC)
  • Possible problems: discourage FDI, adverse effect on rich-country innovation, rich countries don’t like it
18
Q

Embodied Technology

A
  • Distinction between capital growth and innovation/imitation conceptually useful
  • But in practice a lot of innovation/imitation is embodied in capital (people and knowledge)
  • Investment is itself a source of TFP (total factor productivity: index) growth
19
Q

Division of Labour/Organisational change

A

How organisation changes growth:
- Specialisation and comparative advantage

Examples:

  • Outsourcing and global supply chains
  • gig economy
20
Q

Organisational change as a form of technical change

A
  • Do more with the same resources
  • Often requires upfront R&D investment -> pay to hire consultants etc..
  • E.g. software to manage supply chains
  • Bring in management consultants to streamline operations
21
Q

Managerial Quality

A
  • Big dispersion in productivity among firms within countries
  • Possibly due to differences in managerial quality
  • Big gains from bringing up efficiency of the tail (bringing up least productive firms, gain more per better managed unit etc.)
22
Q

Cause of Poor Managerial Quality

A
  • Dynastic Management (family/nepotism)
  • Crony Capitalism (family/friends are given unfair advantages in forms of jobs, loans etc.)
  • State owned enterprises
  • Barriers to entry
23
Q

Entry Cost, Financial Markets and Managerial Quality

A
  • High entry costs for talented outsiders (laws, patents, immigration laws etc)
  • Upfront productions costs (lack of access of credit etc.)
  • Licenses, permits, etc
  • Poor developed financial markets
  • Limited scope for buyouts (don’t allow firms to merge)
24
Q

Corruption and Growth

A
  • Saps incentives for innovation, imitation, and investment if corrupt officials target successful entrepreneurs
  • Creates barriers to entry for outsiders if insiders use corruption to buy protection, privileged threatened, judicial bias
  • Deprives government of funds for infrastructure, education, administration of justice etc.
25
Q

What is Human Capital?

A
  • Anything embodied in workers which makes them more productive
  • Abilities and qualities of people that make them more productive
26
Q

Greatest focus of policy

A
  • Schooling -> education and training
  • Health
  • Division of Labour
  • Organisational change with technological improvements
27
Q

What does the economy need?

A
  • Upfront cost to invest (need to build infrastructure etc first)
  • Alignment of government policies and industrial demands to ‘support’ investment -> otherwise, the economy has redundant skills and specialisation that do not contribute to overall growth
28
Q

Additional Benefits of Human Capital

A
  • Facilitates innovation/imitation so indirect effect through technical change
  • Increase outputs directly
  • Increase returns to capital due to increase in efficiency
  • Stimulate investments and technological growth (Human capital invents and improves tech)
29
Q

Population Growth and Growth

A
  • Dilutes capital per worker and hence income per worker
30
Q

Industrial Policy

A
  • Policies focusing on individual industries
  • Subsidies
  • Tariff protection
  • Preferential Access to credit

Rationale:

  • Externalities (promoting positive)
  • Increasing returns (If a good industry)
  • Learning by doing (on the job training etc.)
31
Q

Risks of Industrial Policy

A
  • Excuse for corruption/cronyism
  • Mistakes politically hard to reverse
  • Protected/subsidised firms grow complacent and inefficient
  • Only seems to have been success in East Asia
32
Q

In Sum

A

If we want growth we can accumulate inputs (SR). However, factors are subjected to diminishing returns

Thus if we want sustained growth (LR), we have to improve the two inputs: technological progress in the economy/innovation to capital stock and investment in human capital

33
Q

Complementary effects of growth mechanisms

A

Technical and organisational change and human capital boost the marginal productivity of capital so the marginal productivity of capital needs not decline during the growth process even though capital per worker increases

Technical and organisation change and human capital accumulation may also be subject to diminishing marginal productivity in their own right, but, again, this is offset by growth in other drivers