Decision-Making by Individuals and Groups: Chapter 7 Flashcards
programmed decision
simple decision for which a manager has an established rule
unprogrammed decision
a new, complex decision that requires a new solution
making an idealized decision
- recognize the problem
- identify the objective of the decision
- gathering information relevant to the decision
- listing and evaluating other courses of action
- selecting the best course of action
- implementing the solution
managers and decision-making
- risky and stressful
- trust and rely on others
- ultimately responsible for the decision
- decisions can be painful
effective decision
- timely decision that meets desired objective
- is acceptable to individuals affected by it
models of decision making
- rational model
rationality
- logical, step-by-step
- with a thorough analysis of alternatives and their consequences
rational model elements
- the outcome will be completely rational
- decision maker has a consistent system of preferences, which is used to choose the best alternative
- decision maker is aware of all the possible alternatives
- emotionless & unbiased
- probabilities of success are known
bounded rational model
- managers choose the first satisfactory option
- recognize conceptual limitations (world is simple)
- choose from alternatives (which are not all known)
- use heuristics
blue ocean approach
companies = better off entering new spaces rather than competing with existing companies in the market.
limitations of the rational model
- unrealistic
- time and knowledge constraints
- managers’ needs and preferences change
it is an ideal managers strive for
limitations of the bounded rational model
- risk and time pressure
- the situation is highly uncertain
- the probability of success is not known
vroom-yetton-jago normative model
- helps leaders and managers determine the appropriate level of employee participation in decision making
- decide
- consult individually
- consult group
- facilitate
- delegate
limitations vroom-yetton-jago normative model
- utility is limited by decision-making tasks
Z model benefits
- capitalizes on the strengths of separate preferences (sensing, intuiting, thinking, and feeling)
- can help individual develop their nonpreferences
Z model
- examine facts and details
- use sensing to gather information about problem. - generate alternatives
- use intuiting to develop possibilities - analyze the alternatives objectively
- use logical thinking to determine effects of each alternative - weigh impact
garbage can model
- decision-making is a process of organizational anarchy
- “can” has problems, solutions, participants with different preferences, choice opportunities
- used to understand UN peacekeeping
- refer to figure 7.1 in textbook
garbage can model benefits
- helps understand why sometimes solutions drive problems
- why individuals with power can control the outcomes of decisions
- insight into the nonrational processes in decision-making
escalation of commitment
- tendency to continue to support a failing course of action
- closer a project is to completion, more likely escalation will occur
escalation of commitment: examples
- price war: airline example
- bumping up the costs: NASA space station
why does escalation of commitment occur?
- cognitive dissonance theory
- optimism
- control
- already put so much effort, that it feels wrong to simply quit
how to deal with escalation of commitment
- split responsibility for project decisions
- allows different people to make decisions at different stages - closely monitor decision-makers
- provide individuals with graceful exit from poor decisions so that their self-images are not threatened
cognitive limits to decision making
- halo/horns effect
- recency effect
- primacy effect
- confirmation bias
- central tendency
cognitive biases
arise from relying on heuristics
implicit bias
unconscious, subtle feelings toward others that influence our judgments about them
implicit bias characteristics
- we favour the in-group, though not golden rule
- implicit biases are malleable
- can be gradually unlearned through debiasing techniques
- do not necessarily abide by our beliefs/stances
connection between implicit and explicit biases
- not mutually exclusive
- distinct mental constructs
- may reinforce each other
individual differences in decision-making
- cognitive style
- comfort with risk
- creativity
- intuition
- personality
risk: job examples
- acquisitions and mergers
- delegation
- hiring decisions
- new product development
- overseas expansions
- promotions
risk aversion
tendency to choose options that entail fewer risks and less uncertainty
risk taking
- influenced by:
- individual’s tendency
- organizational factors - managers should establish a consistent attitude toward risk-taking (not punish failure)
styfling risk-taking
- can limit creativity and innovation
cognitive preferences
- how we typically think, remember, and address problems
- influence attitudes, values, social interaction
- seen as bipolar variables
field independence/independence
- tendency to be affected by the environment
field dependents characteristics
- most affected by the environment
- tend to get “the whole idea”
field independent characteristics
- conduct an analytical procedure
- are more likely to break a model into different sections and details
- tend to depend on their inner knowledge
managers and cognitive preferences
- manager’s cognitive style affects the strategies they choose
- managers select successors with similar cognitive styles
personality, attitudes and values: developing creative abilities
- ask “what-if” questions
- engage in play
- follow intuition
- see the big picture, create a vision
- plan strategically
personality, attitudes and values: developing logic abilities
- set goals and work towards them
- understand day-to-day operations
- understand flow chart work processes
intuition
- fast, positive force in decision-making that is utilized at the unconsciousness level
- learned patterns of information
- ability to know or recognize quickly and readily the possibilities of a situation.*
- simple analyses frozen into habit
managers and intuition
- most rely on intuition in decision-making, research shows
- used extensively, especially as a mechanism to evaluate decisions made more rationally
- especially relied upon in challenging and unfamiliar situations
is there a link between cognitive moral development and intuition?
what is the connection
yes, the connection is ____.
can intuition be taught?
not really, but managers can be taught on how to rely on the promptings of their intuition
creativity
- process influenced by individual and organizational factors
- results in the production of novel and useful ideas, products, or both