Decision-Making by Individuals and Groups: Chapter 7 Flashcards
programmed decision
simple decision for which a manager has an established rule
unprogrammed decision
a new, complex decision that requires a new solution
making an idealized decision
- recognize the problem
- identify the objective of the decision
- gathering information relevant to the decision
- listing and evaluating other courses of action
- selecting the best course of action
- implementing the solution
managers and decision-making
- risky and stressful
- trust and rely on others
- ultimately responsible for the decision
- decisions can be painful
effective decision
- timely decision that meets desired objective
- is acceptable to individuals affected by it
models of decision making
- rational model
rationality
- logical, step-by-step
- with a thorough analysis of alternatives and their consequences
rational model elements
- the outcome will be completely rational
- decision maker has a consistent system of preferences, which is used to choose the best alternative
- decision maker is aware of all the possible alternatives
- emotionless & unbiased
- probabilities of success are known
bounded rational model
- managers choose the first satisfactory option
- recognize conceptual limitations (world is simple)
- choose from alternatives (which are not all known)
- use heuristics
blue ocean approach
companies = better off entering new spaces rather than competing with existing companies in the market.
limitations of the rational model
- unrealistic
- time and knowledge constraints
- managers’ needs and preferences change
it is an ideal managers strive for
limitations of the bounded rational model
- risk and time pressure
- the situation is highly uncertain
- the probability of success is not known
vroom-yetton-jago normative model
- helps leaders and managers determine the appropriate level of employee participation in decision making
- decide
- consult individually
- consult group
- facilitate
- delegate
limitations vroom-yetton-jago normative model
- utility is limited by decision-making tasks
Z model benefits
- capitalizes on the strengths of separate preferences (sensing, intuiting, thinking, and feeling)
- can help individual develop their nonpreferences
Z model
- examine facts and details
- use sensing to gather information about problem. - generate alternatives
- use intuiting to develop possibilities - analyze the alternatives objectively
- use logical thinking to determine effects of each alternative - weigh impact
garbage can model
- decision-making is a process of organizational anarchy
- “can” has problems, solutions, participants with different preferences, choice opportunities
- used to understand UN peacekeeping
- refer to figure 7.1 in textbook
garbage can model benefits
- helps understand why sometimes solutions drive problems
- why individuals with power can control the outcomes of decisions
- insight into the nonrational processes in decision-making
escalation of commitment
- tendency to continue to support a failing course of action
- closer a project is to completion, more likely escalation will occur
escalation of commitment: examples
- price war: airline example
- bumping up the costs: NASA space station
why does escalation of commitment occur?
- cognitive dissonance theory
- optimism
- control
- already put so much effort, that it feels wrong to simply quit
how to deal with escalation of commitment
- split responsibility for project decisions
- allows different people to make decisions at different stages - closely monitor decision-makers
- provide individuals with graceful exit from poor decisions so that their self-images are not threatened
cognitive limits to decision making
- halo/horns effect
- recency effect
- primacy effect
- confirmation bias
- central tendency
cognitive biases
arise from relying on heuristics