Credit Flashcards
What is Kucera’s stance on use of credit in rating?
-credit helps insurers segment risks
-actuarially sound rates are charged
-distribution of premium changes, but not overall premium.
What is an insurance score?
-numerical score assigned to a risk based on its characteristics
-provides use to pricing and UW
-relative measure of E[Loss]
What is a credit-based insurance score?
-use of items in credit report (# of inquiries in opening new accounts or 30 days past due charges)
-also can use third party models
-strong correlation bw loss and credit score
What are some ways insurers use credit?
-criterion to accept / deny a risk in UW
-segment into risk tiers for rating (most common, say 600-700 score is the base relativity)
ASOP 12 justification of using credit
-actuary should use risk characteristics related to expected outcomes
-relationship is demonstrated if variation in loss correlated to the risk characteristics
-several studies surrounding credit demonstrate this
Why should credit be used?
SMOR
statistically significant
hard to manipulate
objective
removal doesn’t change the overall premium level
Economic downturn justification
-regulators worried if credit goes down, premium goes up unwarranted
-can apply off-balance factor to charge correct aggregate premium
-distributional shift has little impact on renewals
-competition motivates companies to continuously review rate differences (not charge more for worsening credit, if not correlated with loss) - however, this likely would not reflect in the data fast enough
What type of insurance does McCarty’s paper focus on?
personal lines insurance
Other rating factors considered inappropriate
life insurance (whites live longer, counter to equal protection for consumers)
-genetic testing for predispostion of inherited disease (outlawed in 1996)
-McCarty is sensitive to any proxies for race, ethnicity, religion, or socioeconomic class
Are credit reports often accurate?
No, 2000 study in consumer reports showed half of credit reports contain errors - identify theft is a concern
What types of people are disproportionately affected by credit? (negative)
-recent divorcees
-recently naturalized citizens
-elderly
-disabled
-strong religious convictions
-young people with little credit history
Why should credit not be used?
FEED
only correlated with frequency (not severity)
over half of credit reports contain Errors
in economic downturns, credit worsens and doesnt correlate with loss
discriminatory towards youth, elderly, religious, immigrants, etc
What are the Florida DOI commissioners thoughts on predictive power of credit?
correlation is most likely just indirectly measuring socioeconomic status
Why did insurance industry oppose Florida regulatory office limiting credit use?
-didnt have authority to prevent use as UW tool
-no authority to define unfairly discriminatory
-no data to demonstrate these claims
-disproportionate impact definition was too vague
McCartys Conclusion (against credit scoring)
-negatives outweigh the positives
-concerned about other tools being adopted that are similar - other proxies for race (like occupation and education)
-disappointed with 2007 FTC report, not objective analysis