Cost Estimation Flashcards

1
Q

Purpose of Cost Estimation

A
  • Project viability
  • Option comparison
  • Funding approvals
  • Cost control
  • Programming/Cashflow
  • Financial Planning
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2
Q

Phasing of Cost Estimates

A
  1. Detailed
  2. Preliminary
  3. Concept/Multiple Options

3-1: Accuracy and Reliances increases

1-3: Estimate uncertainty reduces

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3
Q

Accuracy of Cost Estimates

A
  • Concept: +/- 50%
  • Pre-Feasibility: +/- 30%
  • Feasibility: +/- 25%
  • Preliminary Design: +/- 20%
  • Detailed Design: +/- 15%
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4
Q

Capital Cost Estimate - CAPEX

A
  • Land acquisition or access agreements
  • Concept and pre-feasibility studies
  • Resource consent applications with associated supporting studies, hearings, environment court
  • Investigations to support design
  • Design: preliminary through to detailed
  • Building consents + regulator fees
  • Construction, including materials, equipment and labour
  • Field supervision of construction
  • Construction financing
  • Insurance and taxes during construction
  • Construction overheads
  • Inspections, testing, environmental compliance monitoring
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5
Q

Design Fees

A
  • Concept
  • Pre-feasibility
  • Feasibility
  • Preliminary
  • Detailed design

(Rule of thumb (5-10%) of Capital for all stages, but dependent on project)

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6
Q

Field Investigations examples

A
  • Geotechnical investigations
  • Geological
  • Topographical survey
  • Contaminated site
  • Hydrological
  • Water quality
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7
Q

Approvals

A
  • Resource Consents
  • Property owner conditions of access
  • Legal Fees

Specific to the site, scale and location

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8
Q

Bill of Quantities - General Items

A
  • Preliminary and General
  • Mobilisation
  • Management Plans and Submittals
  • Miscellaneous
  • Demobilisation

15% of project costs

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9
Q

Bill of Quantities - Specific Items

A
  • Earthworks quantities
  • Concrete volumes
  • Pipes
    etc
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10
Q

Operating Cost Estimate - OPEX

A

Depends on project by may include:

  • Operator fees
  • Power supply
  • Maintenance contract
  • Materials
  • Administration
  • Annual reporting
  • Monitoring
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11
Q

Net Present Value - NPV

A

NPV is the present value of a project based on projected future cash inflows discounted back to current day rates compared to current investment - discounted back to current day rates

Often used to compare projects at optioneering stage

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12
Q

Engineers Estimate

A
  • Based on bill of quantities
  • Rates based on experience/similar jobs and reference materials
  • Accuracy +/- 20%
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13
Q

Construction Cost Estimate Tender Price - Earthworks factors

A
  • Haul distance
  • Machine type
  • Machine numbers
  • Time of year
  • Site commute
  • Grade (fuel use)
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14
Q

Construction Cost Estimate Tender Price - Materials factors

A
  • Standard size
  • Lead time
  • Delivery cost
  • Machinery needed to install
  • Labour to install
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15
Q

Summary of Tender Price Basis

A

Calculated by combination of:

  • Basic $/hr or $/m^3 estimate
  • Machinery
  • For major earthworks Software
  • Materials
  • Percentage allowance for General items
  • Contingency as % of overall cost estimate
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16
Q

Independent Check

A
  • Quantity Surveyor for costs
  • Technical peer reviews
  • Independent construction advice on constructibility and risk
17
Q

Construction Cost Estimate vs Tender Price

A

Difference

  • Contractors margin
  • Risk assessment
  • Huger for the job
  • Speciality/efficiencies not identified by the engineer
  • Supplier relationship
18
Q

Tender Evaluation - Weighted Attributes

A
  • Relevant experience and track record
  • Organisational structure methodology
  • Resources
  • Programme
  • Price
19
Q

Actual Construction Cost - what causes the changes

A
  • Unforseen ground conditions
  • extreme weather
  • design inconsistencies
  • supplier delays
20
Q

Actual Construction Cost - who wears the costs

A
  • variations

- contract and specification details become important

21
Q

Financial Risk Assessment

A
  • Probabilistic cost estimation
  • Accounts for project risks, cost of risks and probability
  • Financing often based on P80 or P90 cost
22
Q

Summary Project Cost Elements

A
  • Land purchase/easement
  • Resource consents
  • Field investigations
  • Design: Concept to detailed
  • Construction
  • Regulatory fees