Core Activity C - Recommend finance strategies Flashcards
What beta should be used in CAPM ?
Market implied beta ?
What are the 3 bases for valuation ?
Assets
Earnings
Cash flows
What considerations need to be taken when valuing a business ?
Intention after purchase
If selling, why?
What’s a weekness of CAPM
It’s relies on historical covariance which is not always representative of future events
How does holt approach beta?
HOLT doesn’t like beta as it doesn’t make sense to use a historical beta to predict a stocks foreward risk
Instead inputs an expected return by measuring the average return anticipated by all stocks. Form specific adjustments are then made for exposure to size and leverage factors that define the estimate
What’s another weekness of CAPM ?
It’s reliance on historical average of the ERP
What does a beta of 1 mean?
A beta of 1 means the stock moves in line with market movements
A beta of greater than 1 means the stock moves more aggressively than the market leading to more upside potential and downside in bearish periods
A beta of less than 1 means the stock is more defensive than the market
Beta of - are assets that are not correlated to the market and move in opposite directions… eg gold
What is the formula for CAPM?
E (R) = RF + B * (RM-RF)
E (r) = expected return
RM = market return
Ow can CAPM be used to deter min discount rates?
Review graph and review beta to determine the expected return using the security market line (S&P 500)
Below line = overvalued
Above line = undervalued
What are the three classifications for foreign exchange risk?
Economic, transaction & translation
How can we determine if currency hedging is required ?
Perform time series regression analysis to understand historic currency volatility
What does IRP state ?
Interest rate parity between two countries can indicate Fx volatility
How can IRP be used to forecast exchange rates ?
Use the government bond yields and the IRP formula to forecast future rates in line with the bond yields
How else can foreign currency risks be calculated relative to purchasing power ?
PPP - replacing interest rate figure with inflation rate
How is TVM expanded into Fx
Fished effect