Class 06 Flashcards
fraud
what are beneish model’s 8 factors?
- day sales receivable index
- gross margin index
- asset quality index
- sales growth index
- depreciation index
- SG&A index
- total accruals to total assets
- leverage index
what is day sales receivable index (DSRI)?
time to convert accounts to cash
DR = (receivables / sales) * 365
= DR (c) / DR (p)
what is gross margin index (GMI)?
deteriorating earnings
GM = (sales - COG) / sales
= GM (c) /GM (p)
what is asset quality index (AQI)?
easier to manipulate intangibles
AQ = (TA - (CA + PPE) / TA
= AQI (c) / AQI (p)
what is sales growth index (SGI)?
manipulate to meet targets
= SGI (c) /SGI (p)
what is depreciation index (DI)?
ratio > 1 means DP slowed
DP = DP / (PPE + DP)
= DI (c) / DI (p)
what is SG&A index (SGAI)?
related to cuts like staff + ads
SGAI = SG&A exp. / sales
= SGAI (c) / SGAI (p)
what is total accruals to total assets (TATA)?
NI from extraordinary items - cash from operations
= total accruals / total assets
what is leverage index (LVGI)?
high leverage > more bank loans > more owed
LV = (LT debt + current L) / TA
= LVGI (c) / LVGI (p)
what is a flag for fraud?
a value > -1.78
what are the beneish model pitfalls?
- neglects industries i.e. biotech which doesn’t rely on sales revenue
- detection lag time
- can manipulate numbers to model
- neglects other variables
- detects large fraud
what is benford’s law?
states numbers 1 to 9 appear in nature as first digit in percentages
what are benford’s law steps?
- LEFT (abs (cell * 1000) ,1)
- COUNTIF (all numbers, each number #1-9)
- COUNTIF (yr range, leading digit)
- ABS (actual - expected)
- KS requires we MAX these values + compare to cut off
- IF KS > 1.36 then fraud