Chapter 9 Flashcards
Definition of exchange rate
Expressed in terms of the quanity of one currency that can be exchanged for one unit of the other currency
Direct quotes
One unit of foreign currency = its value in home currency
Indirect quotes
One unit of home currency = its value in foreign currency
What is the spot rate?
Rate given for a transaction with immediate delivery
Reasons for forecasting exchange rates
Foreign debtor and creditor balances
Working capital
Pricing
Investment appraisal
Consolidation of foreign subsidiaries
Two theories to help predict foreign exchange rate movements
Purchasing power parity
Interest rate parity
Purchasing price parity
Law of one price
Country with higher inflation will suffer a fall in the value of its home currency
Assumes rates are quoted as indirect quotes
Limitations of purchasing power parity
Future inflation rates may not be accurate
Speculation
Government intervention
Interest rate parity
Difference between spot and forward rate is equal to differential between interest rates available in two currencies
Both countries have the same real interest rate
Country with higher inflation rate will suffer a fall in the value of its currency
Assumes rates are quoted as indirect quotes
Limitations of interest rate parity
Controls on capital markets
Controls on currency trading
Government intervention
Internal methods of currency risk management
Home currency
Leading/Lagging
Matching/Netting
Countertrade
Home currency
Passes risk to other pary
Unlikely to be commercially acceptable
Leading/Lagging
Speed up/delay payment depending on expectations of exchange rate movement
Matching/Netting
Match/net off transactions in the same currency
Easier if use foreign bank accounts
Countertrade
Avoid using currency and exchange products of equivalent value