Chapter 7- Theoretical Distributions Including the Normal Distribution Flashcards
Probability
The chance that something can occur
They are often stated as “chances in a hundred”
Ex. p = 0.07 means you have a 7 percent chance in 100
How do you calculate probability?
- Enumerate all the ways a success can occur
- Then enumerate all the events that can occur (whether successes or failure)
- Finally, form a ratio with successes in the numerator and total events in the denominator
Example:
A fair coin is tossed 2 times, what is the probability of 1 head and 1 tail?
- 2
- 4
- 2/4 Probability = 0.5
Properties you have to remember about probability
- It is ALWAYS greater than or equal to zero
2. IT IS VERY VERY VERY EASY TO CONFUSE the number of possible CATEGORIES v the number of possible OUTCOMES
What is the area under a normal distribution curve equivalent to?
Proportion of z-scores in that part of the distribution
Empirical distribution
scores that come from observations
the empirical approach to finding probability involves observing actual events, some of which are successes and some of which are failures
Theoretical distribution
Hypothesized scores based on mathematical formulas and logic
Used in statistics to determine probabilities
Normal Distribution
A bell-shaped, theoretical distribution that predicts the frequency of occurrence of chance events
Z score
A raw score expressed in standard deviation units
The tails of the normal distribution curve are
Asymptotic. Meaning they never actually cross the x axis but continue in both directions indefinitely
The normal distribution’s inflection points are where?
At +/- 1baby sigma. Inflection points are where the curve is the steepest– that is, where the curve changes from bending upward to bending over