Chapter 5 Flashcards

1
Q

define the term “decision”

A

a choice about future action

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2
Q

what is the act of decision making?

A

selecting a future course of action

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3
Q

Define decision alternatives

A

the options a decision maker considers before selecting a future course of action
- quatifiable characteristic, attribute, outcome.

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4
Q

what is the term given when putting a deicison into action

A

implementing the decision.

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5
Q

With reference to decision making, what is a problem?

A

a difficulty or question that needs resolution; a problem represents a perceived gap between an existing state and a desired state.

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6
Q

What is problem solving?

A

a process that consists of a series of steps beginning with the recognition of a need for action and ending with the generation of a resolution or recommendation for action.

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7
Q

define decision analysis

A

a formal process for defining a decision problem and evaluating decision alternatives and it encompasses all efforts and activities leading up to a decision.

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8
Q

Decision analysis must take into account two types of restrictions on a decision: decisioncriteria and decision constraints. define these

A

criteria: simple to understand rules a decision maker uses to evaluate decision alternatives. ie: minimize new cost, select highest cost savings,
constraints: praticle limitations that affect the selection of decision alternatives.
- oe: budgets, staff limitations, regulatory requirements.

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9
Q

Simply describe the approach to decision making

A
  1. identify and define a problem or need
  2. identify decision alternatives
  3. analyze decision alternatives
  4. make a decision
  5. implement the decision
  6. monitor decision outcomes.
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10
Q

What are 6 factors that contribute to simple decisions?

A
  1. resources constraints are absent or minimal
  2. few decision alternatives
  3. underlying problem or task is simple, and the environment provides reliable decision-support information
  4. few poeple are involved in the decision process
  5. low cost and low risk are involved in the outcome
  6. stable circumstances surround the decision
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11
Q

What are the factors that contribute to the complexity of a decsioin process?

A
  1. tight time constraints to make and implement the decision
  2. high complexity of the underlying problem or task with unclear and uncertain decsiion-support infromation
  3. chaos or turbulence in the environement where outcomes from the deicsion will manifest
  4. large number of people affected by the decision
  5. large number of people participating in the decision making.
  6. high potential risk of loss or potential for gains as a result of the decision
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12
Q

define the term risk

A

refers to a potential for unexpected future outcomes.

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13
Q

what are the 3 reasons for the greater overall complexity of decision s in financial services organizations

A
  1. Many people may be involved in analyzing a decsiion
  2. many people may be affected by the outcome of a decision
  3. the monetary and other risks of a decision may be great
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14
Q

explain heirarchy of decisions

A

decisions made at each level of management,- strategic, functional, or operational- refelct the propoer focus of that level of managment.
corporate level > strategic decisions
business level > business decisions
functional level > functional decisions
Operational level > operational decisions.

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15
Q

4 styles of decisions processes are popular in business organizations. name them

A
  1. authoritarian decision style
  2. democratic decision style
  3. collaborative decision style
  4. consensus decision style
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16
Q

define an authoritarian decision process

AKA: autocratic or paternalistic process

A

relies on one decision maker to dictate a choice.

  • quick decisions,
  • secure and secret decision making
  • con: must f/u with telling others and persuade others of its correctness.
17
Q

Define a democratic decision process

A

involves whole group in a structured-choice format with a binding commitment to implement the majority choice under a one-person. or one-vote selection process.

  • can ensure majority of acceptance and lead to quick resolution.
  • does not allow for building of acceptance.
  • used for decsiions with limited potential for loss,
18
Q

define collaborative decision process

A

leader obtains group contributions, but allows the leader to select a dexision that has reasonable acceptance in the relevant group.

  • group building,
  • more time
  • supports a decision analysis process that follows dictates of logic and scientific research.
19
Q

define a consensus decision process.

A

involves all group members in the decision process.

  • all group members must understand and accept the decision.
  • lengthy deliberation process.
20
Q

What are the benefits to delaying the selection of a decision alternative?

A
  1. delay extends the time available for deliberation and gathering information
  2. during a delay the decision environemnt might provide more information and could even offer up new decisions
  3. during a delay, the preferences of stakeholders could change.
21
Q

What are some potential loses to delaying the selection of a decision alternative?

A
  1. company could lose competitive advantage
  2. one or more decision alternatives could slip away
  3. analytical team could lose clarity of purpose as to the decision and reach a poreer decision as a result.
  4. continuing to pursue decision-suppor information automatically drives us the cumulative cost of decsision-support information.
22
Q

What is an intuitive decision making process?

A

mental process that leads to a satisfactory choice, but it differs from other decision processes in several respects.

23
Q

Define the scientific method to decision approaches.

A

an approach to obtaining useful information by following systematic and rigorous research procedures.

24
Q

What are the important principles of research according to the scientific method?

A
  1. experimentation that, when repeated, will support the same conclusion
  2. direct observation
  3. reliance on numerical expression and mathematical proofs
  4. a fully quantificable and empirically testable research hypothesis.
  5. fully quantifiable research conclusions
25
Q

not all problems are sufficiently quantifiable to support identifying a valye of perfect information. in such cases analyst take another reasonable approach, which consists of weighing the relative expected values of what features?

A
  1. cost and time of acquiring additional information
  2. probability that new information gained will prove decisive or relevant to the decision-making process
  3. the likely benefit the company will receive from pursuing a decision alternative to the decision question.
26
Q

What is the evidence-based management approach?

A

this asks the decision maker to look at the readily available objective evidence and make a reasonable decision in a reasonable time frame.
- decision analysist collects the available facts, validates data,, uses conclusion to support decision.

27
Q

What must a decision participant do, in order to practive the discipline needed for supporting an evidence-based management approach in the financial services?

A
  1. maintaina neutral, objective outlook throughout the analytical process
  2. critique and review all old and new ideas.
  3. employ collaborative deliberations instead of autocratic approaches
  4. approach other participants in the decsiion process ith openness, directness,, honesty and impersonal critiques.
  5. fail quickly; embrace failures as learning ops.