Chapter 5 Flashcards
Risk Management
identifying, analysing, and responding to risk factors throughout the project and in the best interest of its objectives
Risk
an uncertain event or condition that, if it occurs, has a positive or negative effect on project objectives
Project risk (impact) or Event risk
all risks must be evaluated in terms of two distinct elements:
- likelihood that the event occurs
- consequences of its occurrence
Event risk formula
Event risk= Probability of Event x Consequences of Event
Opportunity
Favorable uncertainties
Amount at stake
the investment made
Combined risk impact
Project risk
Project life span
- Phase 1: Conceive (highest opportunity and risk, lowest amount at stake and combined risk impact)
- Phase 2: Develop
- Phase 3: Execute (highest risk impact)
- Phase 4: Finish (highest risk impact and amount at stake, lowest risk)
Project life span explanation
- Early life: risk and opportunity are high, severity of negative consequences is low, exposure level is also low
- Middle: potential for negative consequences increases, risk is dropping and exposure increases
- Final: uncertainty is still high, amount at stake is rapidly increasing
Goal of risk management strategy
to minimize the company’s exposure to uncertainty and potential for negative consequences
Four Stages of Risk Management
- Risk identification: process of identifying risks that could affect your project
- Analysis of probability and consequences: determine how likely they are to occur, and the effect they would have on the project
- Risk mitigation strategies: steps taken in order to minimize the potential impact
- Control and documentation: learn lesson and document for future projects
Risk identification: Financial
financial exposure a firm opens itself to when developing a project (development of a new airplane could represent as a serious financial risk)
Risk identification - Technical
when new project contain unique technical elements/ technology, they are being developed under technical risk
Risk identification - commercial
for projects that have been developed for commercial intent (profitability), there’s always uncertainty about how successful they will be once in the market
Risk identification - Execution
what are the specific unknowns related to the execution of the project?