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Actuarial Risk Management CA1 > Chapter 38: Surplus and Surplus Management > Flashcards

Chapter 38: Surplus and Surplus Management Flashcards

1
Q

Profit

A

Difference between revenues and expenditure.

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2
Q

Surplus

A

The difference between the value of the assets and the value of the liabilities.

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3
Q

Surplus arising

A

The surplus arising over any time period is the change in the surplus over the time period. Surplus arising is equivalent to profit.

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4
Q

Analysis of surplus (or profit)

A

A breakdown of the surplus arising over a year into its constituent parts.

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5
Q

A provider will want to analyse the surplus arising in order to (12)

A

ASSISTING MANAGEMENT IN DECISION MAKING

  • give information on TRENDS in the experience of the provider to feed back into the actuarial control cycle.
  • Show the FINANCIAL EFFECT OF WRITING NEW BUSINESS
  • determine the most FINANCIALLY SIGNIFICANT ASSUMPTIONS
  • IDENTIFY non-recurring components of surplus
  • provide MANAGEMENT INFORMATION
  • show the FINANCIAL EFFECT OF DIVERGENCES between the valuation assumptions and the actual experience

DATA AND CALCULATION CHECKS

  • RECONCILE the values for successive years
  • demonstrate that the variance in the financial effect of the individual levers is a complete description of the variance in the total financial effect

A/L VALUATION CHECKS

  • provide a CHECK on the valuation data and process, if carried out independently
  • VALIDATE the calculations and assumptions

INFORMATION FOR OTHER PURPOSES

  • provide data for use in EXECUTIVE REMUNERATION SCHEMES
  • provide detailed INFORMATION for publication in the provider’s accounts
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6
Q

3 Main sources of surplus

A
  • Decrements
  • Cashflows
  • Other factors
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7
Q

Levers on surplus / profit can be used to (6)

A
  • reduce the likelihood of claims (eg good underwriting)
  • reducing claim / benefit amounts (eg using reinsurance to limit claims or protect vs risk of large claims)
  • control expenses
  • increase renewals and/or reduce lapses
  • follow an investment policy that increases investment returns (subject to an acceptable level of risk)
  • adopt and effective tax management policy.
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8
Q

For a LIFE INSURANCE company, the factors that will affect the amount of surplus distributed are (6)

A
  • provision of capital
  • margins for future adverse experience
  • business objectives of the company
  • policyholder expectations
  • shareholder expectations
  • other stakeholder expectations (including staff)
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9
Q

The decision of how to apply the surplus / deficit in benefit scheme will depend on (6)

A
  • risk exposure of the various parties
  • source of the surplus or deficit
  • legislation
  • scheme rules
  • discretion of the sponsor/managers
  • expected effect of that decision on industrial relations
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10
Q

Sources of surplus under:

- Decrements

A
  • new business levels,
  • withdrawal / lapses,
  • mortality
  • morbidity
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11
Q

Sources of surplus under:

- Cashflows

A
  • premiums / contributions paid
  • investment income and gains
  • claim amounts
  • expenses
  • commission
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12
Q

Sources of surplus under:

- Other factors

A
  • salary growth
  • inflation
  • taxation
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13
Q

How would management:

- reduce the likelihood of claims

A
  • Cost-effective claims management procedure eg. periodically reviewing ongoing claims
  • good underwriting of new business
  • good underwriting at the claim stage
  • providing customer incentives not to claim
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14
Q

How would management:

- reduce claim / benefit amounts

A
  • using reinsurance to limit the volatility of claims or to protect from the risk of large claims
  • reducing future benefit payments
  • keeping guaranteed benefits to a minimum
  • introducing / increasing excesses
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15
Q

How would management:

- Control expenses

A
  • periodically reviewing expenses
  • keeping charges / premiums flexible
  • ensuring that claims expenses are commensurate with the claims size
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16
Q

Reversionary bonuses

A

These regular bonuses are added to the sum assured during the life of a policy. Once a reversionary bonus is attached it is a legal liability of the company, ie the guaranteed benefits of the policy has increased

17
Q

Terminal bonus

A

These final bonuses are added only at the time a claim is made. Terminal bonuses are not guaranteed.

18
Q

3 ways for a benefit scheme to reduce or remove a surplus:

A
  • increase the value of the benefits and hence the value of the liabilities
  • reduce future contributions for a period of time, so that the surplus decreases gradually as additional liabilities accrue.
  • transfer all or part of the excess assets from the scheme - eg to the sponsor as a refund of contributions paid of to the beneficiaries as a one-off benefit payment.
19
Q

Discuss the impact of the valuation basis on the surplus arising.

A

The choice of valuation basis WILL NOT AFFECT THE TOTAL AMOUNT OF SURPLUS ARISING over the life of a contract (which will depend solely on the difference between the actual experience and that assumed in pricing the contract).

It WILL AFFECT THE TIMING of the emergence of the surpluses during the life of the contract.

    • Think about the valuation of provisions to be kept aside.
  • If the reserve valuation basis is made more conservative, larger reserves defer profits and taxes to a later date.
20
Q

3 Main groups of reasons reasons for performing an analysis of surplus/profit.

A
  • Assisting the management in decision making
  • Data and calculation checks.
  • Providing information for other purposes
21
Q

Reasons for an analysis of surplus/profit:
Assisting the management in decision making
(5)

A
  • Show the FINANCIAL EFFECT OF DIVERGENCES between the valuation assumptions and the actual experience, exposing the assumptions which are most financially significant.
  • Show the FINANCIAL EFFECT OF WRITING NEW BUSINESS
  • Identify non-recurring components of surplus, thus enabling appropriate decisions to be made about the distribution of surplus.
  • Provide MANAGEMENT INFORMATION
  • Give information and TRENDS IN THE EXPERIENCE of the provider to feed back into the actuarial control cycle.
22
Q

Reasons for an analysis of surplus/profit:
Providing information of “other purposes”
(2)

A
  • Provide data for use in executive remuneration schemes

- Provide detailed information for publication in the provider’s accounts.

23
Q

Reasons for an analysis of surplus/profit:
Data and calculation checks
(4)

A
  • Validate the calculations and assumptions used
  • Provide a check on the valuation data and process, if carried out independently
  • Reconcile the values for successive years
  • Demonstrate that the variance in the financial effect the the individual levers is a complete description of the variance in the total financial effect.
24
Q

How might a model be developed to compare actual versus expected experience?

A

The model is developed by multiplying the (unit) profit test results by the expected number of contracts to be sold in each future year.

Then for each future year the number of contracts still in force from previous years needs to be added in.

This will give a model that can be used to build up the expected future progress of the business as shown by the revenue accounts.

As time goes on, a second model can be built up from the original profit test, but using the actual volumes of business sold, rather than expected volumes.

Comparison of actual results with this model will identify whether differences between actual and expected outcomes are due to:

  • difference between actual and expected experience, or
  • sales volume being different from expected.
25
Q

Analysis of surplus:

- 3 models to be compared in the end

A
  • expected experience with expected volumes of new business
  • expected experience with actual volumes of new business
  • actual experience with actual volumes of new business
26
Q

‘Levers’ on surplus/profit definition

A

Factors that management can affect through management control systems to influence the amount of surplus / profit.

27
Q

Discuss how to reduce the likelihood of claims by:

reviewing ongoing claims

A

For some contracts benefits are paid in instalments.
It is important to REVIEW THE CONTINUED ELIGIBILITY for these benefits regularly.

Example:
Where payments are made under an income protection arrangement that provides benefits on incapacity, then costs can be controlled by requiring the beneficiary to provide ongoing proof of eligibility for the benefit.

28
Q

How might we ensure that new business is adequately underwritten? (5)

A
  • request pertinent data such as previous claim history, convictions, etc.
  • define and exclude unacceptably high risks
  • ensure that policy documentation is watertight (exclusions are given and worded carefully)
  • operate a no claims discount system
  • share data with other insurers regarding individuals with past fraudulent claims
29
Q

The goal of reviewing expenses (3)

A

Helps to ensure that:

  • cost arising from each product line are monitored and controlled
  • appropriate allowances are made when pricing and provisioning (EXPENSE ALLOCATION)
  • procedures are standardised for efficiency.
30
Q

Why might a company prefer a TERMINAL bonus?

A

It enables a company to defer the distribution of profits.

31
Q

Relevance of “the source of the surplus” in surplus allocation.

A

If the surplus / deficit is from a source that is liable to particularly volatile experience, the most appropriate application thereof might be to retain it as a balance for future volatility.

32
Q

How might a general insurer increase the number of policies that renew at renewal date?

A
  • issue of renewal notices
  • automatic renewals
  • maintenance of competitive premiums
33
Q

How might a life insurer reduce the number of contracts that lapse?

A
  • issue of reminder notices prior to the renewal date
  • frequent comparisons of premiums with key competitors
  • offering loyalty bonuses to encourage policyholders to stay
  • customer service standards being set and monitored to ensure customers’ needs are met
34
Q

2 Key principles to developing an investment strategy

A
  • a provider should select investments that are appropriate to the nature, term and currency of the liabilities, and the provider’s appetite for risk.
  • subject to this, the investments should be selected so as to maximise the overall return on the assets.
35
Q

How might an insurer ensure an effective tax management policy?

A
  • fully utilising tax allowances
  • paying tax on time (avoid penalties)
  • using tax-efficient vehicles
36
Q

Why might policyholders only get some of the with-profit distributable surplus?

A

Not all of the distributable surplus will necessarily be distributed to this generation.
The company may retain some as working capital.

37
Q

Why might a reduction in new business be detrimental to existing policyholders?

A

Lower new business volumes would result in
… fewer in-force policies over which to spread the company’s overheads
and so
… per policy expenses would increase.

38
Q

List 3 factors that give rise to policyholder expectations regarding bonuses.

A
  • documentation issued by the insurer
  • past practice
  • general practice of the insurance market
39
Q

In cases where the sponsor of a fund are deciding how to apply surplus/deficit, what factors should they take into account?

A
  • who would make good any deficit? (some would argue that this party should also benefit from any surplus)
  • the sources of the surplus
  • employee relations
  • the volatility of the surplus

Actuarial Risk Management CA1 (57 decks)

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