Chapter 30: Economic growth Flashcards
Difficulty of measuring real GDP
- Tend to understate the level of output
- Activity is on a small scale and there are relatively hgih costs of registering a business
- Activity is ilelgal and work undertaken by immigrants who had not been given permission to work in the country
Recession
When real GDP declines over a period of six months or more
Causes of a recession
- Decrease in demand or decrease in supply
Reasons for demand fall:
- Negative demand side shocks
- Consumer expenditure and investment could decline due to a fall in business and consumer confidence, arising from a financial crisis or falling house prices
- Government may cut back its spending too much and net exports could fall as a result of a rise in the exchange rate
Reasons for supply fall:
- Negative supply side shock
- Rise in fuel or raw material costs
- Increase firms’ costs of production causing them to produce less
Consequences of a recession
- Unemployment likley to rise
- Lower living standards from lower output and incomes
- Investment is likley to be discouraged which will endanger future economic growth
- Tax revenue will decline while government spending on benefits may be increased
- Increase any budget deficit
- If caused by a decrease in demand, price would fall
- If caused by a decrease in supply, it would be accompanied by inflation
Causes of economic growth
- Increase in aggregate demand may stimulate a rise in output if the economy had unused resources
- Movement inside toward to PPC
- Quantity or quality of resources increases
- Quantity of resources may rise as a result of an increase in net investment or the size of the labour force
- Quality may increase due to an improvement in dedication and training and advances in technology
Consequences of economic growth
- An increase in output can improve living standards
- Increases government tax revenue making it easier for governments to finance measures
- Political and economic standing and influence usually increaes
- If the economy is working at full capacity, it may be necessary to shift resources from making consumer goods to capital goods in order for it to grow
- Will reduce living standards as fewer goods and services will be available for households in the short term
- Long term, the capital goods will enable manufacture of more consumer goods
- Higher output can increase pollution
- May lead to greater stress on workers - longer hours, new skills, new jobs
- Very high rate may not be sustainable
- IF productive capacity can be increased in line with demand, more goods ands services can be enjoyed without an increase in prices
- Can lead to improved education and information, pressurise the government and society to care for the environment
- Potential to raise living standards but the extent to which it does is influenced by the type of products and teh distribution of income
Policies to promote economic growth
- Expansionary fiscal and/or monetary policy to promote growth if an economy is operating with spare capacity
- Households and firms may not spend more despite a lower rate of interest and lower taxes if they lack confidence
- If the rate of interest is already low, there may not be much room to cut it further
- Economy can continue to increase the output it produces only if it gets more resources orhigher quality resources
- To increase productive potential, gvernment may seek to improve education and training