Chapter 3: Economic Factors Flashcards
Boom
Period of rapid growth
Recession
Period of economic decline or negative growth
Four Stages of the Economic Cycle
-Expansion
-Peak
-Contraction
-Trough
Expansion
Stage when businesses are prospering
Peak
Stage when businesses have reached the pinnacle of their growth
Contraction
Stage when economic growth is slow
Trough
Stage when economic growth is negative
Economic Indicators
Signs that point to current and future economic performance
Examples of Economic Indicators
-Leading Indicators
-Building Permits
-Manufacturers’ New Orders, Consumer Goods, Non-defense Capital Goods
-S&P 500 Index
-Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance
-Interest Rate Spreads
Leading Indicators
Predict changes in economic performance before the economy starts to move in a particular direction
Coincident Indicators
Increase and decrease with current economy (coincide)
Examples of Coincident Indicators
-The Index of Industrial Production
-Employees on Nonagricultural Payrolls
-Disposable Personal Income
Lagging Indicators
Factors observed to change after an economic shift in the business cycle
Examples of Lagging Indicators
-Change in Consumer Price Index (CPI)
-Average Prime Rate
-Average Duration of Unemployment
Interest Rate
Represents the extra sum a lender levies on the borrower over and above the primary amount
Prime Rate
Interest rate that banks charge most creditworthy customers
Discount Rate
Interest rate that the central bank charges all other banks
Federal Funds Rate
Interest rate commercial banks charge each other for overnight lending and borrowing their extra reserves
Call Money Rate
Interest rate banks charge brokers, who lend to investors to fund margin accounts
Cyclical Stocks
Move with the economy; perform well when the economy is good, decline when it’s weak
Defensive Stocks
Least affected by the overall stock market; produce stable dividends throughout the year and are more reliable
Growth Stocks
Currently performing well in the stock market and expected to frow faster in the future
Value Stocks
Current share value is less than intrinsic value, get better with time
Nano-cap Stocks
Smallest stock by market cap, <$50 million