Chapter 3: causes of climate change P2 Flashcards
The resulting positive or negative changes in energy balance due to climate forcing are expressed as
radiative forcing
The resulting positive or negative changes in energy balance due to climate forcing are expressed as radiative forcing, which is used to
compare the relative importance of the various forcings of climate change
The radiative forcing is defined as
the (instantaneous) imbalance between the incoming and outgoing radiation at the top of the troposphere.
Radiative forcing, /_\ F which is the
difference between net incoming and outgoing energy
Radiative forcing, ΔF which is the difference between net incoming and outgoing energy, can be expressed as:
if /_\ F = 0
under equilibrium
For ΔF > 0
a positive radiative forcing, the incoming energy is higher than the outgoing. To counterbalance this forcing, the surface temperature has to increase by ΔT to produce a planetary radiative flux that is larger than the incoming flux.
For ΔF > 0, the required counterbalance
The required counterbalance (increase in temperature), assuming no changes in other factors affecting the climate, is represented by this equation. :
Climate Sensitivity
How sensitive is Earth ’s climate to change?
One way to measure sensitivity of Earth’s climate is to
measure the change in average surface temperature of the Earth due to radiative forcing.
Thus, climate sensitivity refers to
the change (increase/decrease) in the average surface temperature of the Earth for a given radiative forcing (positive/negative) .
the increase in surface temperature, ΔT can be obtained as:
If we know the radiative forcing due to various factors (forcings), we can calculate
the resultant change in the average surface temperature due to those factors
Fig‐a (equilibrium) radiative forcing
the globally averaged solar radiation intercepted by the Earth (the 100 units, equivalent to 342 W m−2)
positive radiative forcing
Assuming that the planetary albedo is unchanged (at 31%), an increase in the solar constant (Fig‐b) produces a positive radiative forcing: the rate at which the Earth‐atmosphere system absorbs solar radiation (69.69 units) is now greater than the rate at which it emits longwave radiation to space (69 units).
warming effect