Chapter 23: Portfolio management (3) Flashcards
Derivatives can be used to:
- manage and/or mitigate some of the risks an investor faces
- generate additional investment returns, typically by taking on additional risks
- carry out switches between different assets, whilst avoiding some of the costs and difficulties associated with buying and selling the underlying asset
Main uses of swaps
- risk management - i.e. matching assets and liabilities
- reducing the cost of borrowing
- swapping exposure between different asset classes without disturbing the underlying assets (aka transition management)
Disadvantages of using currency swaps
- extra cost of the bid-offer spread compared with a straight spot currency transaction
- removing the possibility of favourable currency movements
- introduction of counterparty credit risk
- mismatching real liabilities by eliminating purchasing power parity protection against unexpected inflation differentials
- difficulty of hedging unknown future income
- can only easily hedge a level income stream
- are only available on large principal amounts
Measure of interest rate risk
PV01 which represents the change in value of fixed payments under a 1 bps move in interest rates at all maturities
DV01 is equivalent UD$ measure
How do swaps reduce the cost of borrowing?
- Based on the principal of comparative advantage (one company advantage in borrowing at fixed and other at floating)
- Comparative advantage implies companies’ relative credit ratings are different in the long and short-term debt markets
Similar situation may exist when borrowing in different currencies
Risks faced by both counterparties of a swap
- Market risk – market conditions change so that the PV of the net outgo under the agreement increases
- Credit risk – the other counterparty will default on its payments
Real rate swap
Invest assets in portfolio of fixed-rate corporate bonds and swap the fixed cashflows from the corporate bond in return for cashflows that match timing & inflation characteristics of liabilities
Synthetic index-linked bonds
Variation of real interest rate swap but asset flows are chosen to mirror proceeds from notional portfolio of index-linked bonds rather than actual liabilities
Exchange-traded derivatives
Focus on standardised derivatives where there are high levels of supply and demand = high levels of liquidity
Over the counter (OTC) derivatives
- Bilateral transaction between two parties with each party exposed to credit risk in respect of their counterparty to the trade
- Generally mitigated through collateralisation – party who is out of the money required to provide collateral in respect of their loss-making position
- Collateral typically in form of cash or high-quality bonds which are subject to haircuts
- Significantly less liquid and transparent than exchange-traded derivatives
Main uses of futures
- hedging
- speculation
- arbitrage
- transition management
- synthetic index tracking
Using financial futures to hedge
- Involves taking a position in the future (long/short) which is opposite to the position held in the cash market = reducing risk.
- Loss/profit made in the cash market offset by profit/loss in futures market
Protecting against a fall in the equity market
- Protect against market fall by selling index futures with contract size equal to the size of the portfolio. The equities have effectively been sold in the future at a fixed price
- Useful fund going to disinvest large sum of money in few months and wants to avoid future risk
- Used when manager feels market is looking overpriced and vulnerable to a fall
Protecting against rises in bond yields (Similar approach can be used with bonds)
- Complication – bond future may be based on a relatively long and hence volatile bond => hedge ratio needs to be reduced in proportion to the volatility of the bond to the volatility of the portfolio to be hedged
Protecting against a rise in the market
- Investor expecting large cash inflow in future – wish to protect against rise in market by buying futures
Risks when hedging
Basis risk – although the price of the future follows the cash price closely, the basis may not move exactly as expected
Cross hedging risk – unless the portfolio to be hedged behaves exactly the same as the underlying index, hedge will not be perfect
Hedging via options, you need to know the hedge ratio which is equal to the reciprocal of the delta of the option
- Hedge ratio has been calculated to allow for the different volatility of a bond portfolio & the notional bond, there is a danger that the yield curve changes shape so the bond prices don’t move in proportion to their volatility
Transition management and asset allocation techniques
- Transition management using standardised/simple derivatives
- Transition management using swaps
Transition management using standardised/simple derivatives
- Economically more attractive to revise portfolios by transacting in entire asset classes instead of individual securities
- Take long futures position in index = ‘synthetic’ holding of the market portfolio
Transition management using swaps
- More flexible strategy.
- Example: Entering an equity swap – one party agrees to pay variable payments based on return on an agreed stock market index and other party agrees to pay stream of fixed size cash payments based on current interest rates. Essentially, first part has sold stocks & bought bonds and the other has sold bonds & bought stocks
- Can be modified to provide international diversification or move between market sectors
- Swap deals can be reversed (mutually acceptable cash settlement) or closed out by arranging further offsetting deal.
- Temporary measure to alter nature of portfolio while appropriate stock sales and purchases researched, and suitable trades arranged
What can ‘overlay’ strategies be used for?
Transition management using swaps
- obtain immediate re-allocation of funds between asset categories
- a means of altering the portfolio structure on a medium term basis
- change the nature (i.e. fixed/floating) and/or duration of a fixed interest portfolio
- obtain international diversification
Matching long-term liabilities (immunisation)
Transition management and asset allocation techniques
- Dealt on margin, the return from holding futures is volatile.
- Bond futures can be used to match long-term liabilities thus overcoming major limitation of the bond cash market