Chapter 2 Flashcards

Risk and Return

1
Q

what do investors like and dislike

A

return and dislike risk

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2
Q

what are investment returns

A

investment returns measure the financial performance of an investment

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3
Q

what is investment risk

A

investment risk is exposure to the chance of earning less than expected

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4
Q

how can an asset risk be analyzed

A
  1. on a standalone basis (considered in isolation)
  2. Portfolio basis (the asset is held as one of a number of assets)
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5
Q

what is expected rate of return

A

the weighted average of the possible outcomes

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6
Q

is a wide return distribution or a narrow riskier

A

a wide is risker because outcomes are probable

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7
Q

what does standard deviaton measure

A

the dispersion of possible outcomes

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8
Q

for a single asset standalone risk =

A

standard deviation

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9
Q

If returns are normally distributed the actual returns will have

A

a 68% chance of being within plus or minus two standard deviations from the mean

a 95% chance of being within two standard deviations of the mean

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10
Q

for investments what do analysts use to forecast the investments risk?

A

historical data

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11
Q

what is correlation coefficient

A

measures how two variables move together

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12
Q

what is a stock portfolio

A

a mix of stocks

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13
Q

what does a correlation of -1 mean for two stocks

A

the 2 stocks can be combined to form a riskless portfolio: has a standard deviation of 0

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14
Q

what does a correlation of +1 mean for two tocks

A

the risk is not “reduced”
the portfolios standard deviation is just the average of stocks standard deviatons

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15
Q

what does it mean if 2 stocks correlation is between -1 and 1

A

risk is reduced but not eliminated

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16
Q

What would happen to the risk of an average 1-stock portfolio as more randomly selected stocks were added?

A

standard deviation would decrease because the added stocks would not be perfectly
correlated

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17
Q

what does standalone risk =

A

market risk + diversifiable risk

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18
Q

what is market risk

A

part of securities standalone risk that cannot be eliminated by diversification (war, recession, high interest rates)

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19
Q

what is diversifiable risk

A

part of stand-alone risk but can be eliminated by diversification

“lawsuits, winning or losing major contract”

20
Q

investors bear only what risk?

A

market risk

21
Q

are investors more concerned with risk of portfolio or individual security

A

portfolio

22
Q

how do you measure the relevant risk of an individual stock?

A

CAPM - capital asset pricing model

23
Q

what is a stocks relevant risk

A

the contribution it has to a well-diversified portfolio risk

24
Q

what is the measure of a stocks relevant risk

A

beta

25
Q

what does beta measure

A

how much risk a stock contributes to a well-diversified portfolio

26
Q

what does a high beta lead to

A

high standard deviation - high risk

27
Q

a stock with a high correlation with the market will also have

A

large beta - has more of an impact with raises and lowers in the market so more risky

28
Q

what is the beta of a portfolio

A

weighted average of all betas of the stocks in the portfolio

29
Q

how can beta be estimated

A

use past period information or by regressing stock returns on market returns

30
Q

what does Ri mean

A

required rate of return on stock i

31
Q

what does Rrf mean

A

risk free rate

32
Q

what does Rm mean

A

required rate of return on the market portfolio

33
Q

what does RPm mean

A

risk premium on the market

34
Q

what does RPi mean

A

risk premium on stock i

35
Q

what does the security market line show?

A

how to determine the return required for bearing a stock’s risk

36
Q

If you increase Risk free rate how does it affect your required rate of reutrn

A

increases it

37
Q

In market equilibrium what must market price of security equal

A

intrinsic value

38
Q

when is a security a “bargain”

A
  • when the market price is below intrinsic value
  • when the expected return is above the required return
39
Q

in market equilibrium the expected return on a security must equal its…

A

required return

40
Q

What is the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH)

A
  1. Stocks are always in equillibrium
  2. It is impossible for investors to beat the market and consistently earn a higher rate of return than is justified by the stocks risk
41
Q

what is weak-form EMH

A

Current prices already reflect all the information “contained” in past prices,
so you cannot earn excess returns with strategies based on past prices

42
Q

What is semi-strong form EMS

A

Current prices already reflect all publicly available information, so analyzing a
company is fruitless

43
Q

what are the two exceptions that can earn excess returns in a semistrong form EMH

A
  • small companies and
  • companies with high book-to-market ratio
44
Q

what are the two exceptions that can earn excess returns in a weak-form EMH

A
  • short term momentum
  • long-term reversals
45
Q

what is strong-form EMH

A

all information even inside information is embedded in stock prices

  • It’s illegal cause excess returns can be gained by trading insider information
46
Q

What are market bubbles

A

prices climbs super high and theyre alot of new investors and then the bubble pops and prices fall quickly

47
Q

what does a market bubble imply about EMH

A

if there is a bubble why