Chapter 2 Flashcards
Risk and Return
what do investors like and dislike
return and dislike risk
what are investment returns
investment returns measure the financial performance of an investment
what is investment risk
investment risk is exposure to the chance of earning less than expected
how can an asset risk be analyzed
- on a standalone basis (considered in isolation)
- Portfolio basis (the asset is held as one of a number of assets)
what is expected rate of return
the weighted average of the possible outcomes
is a wide return distribution or a narrow riskier
a wide is risker because outcomes are probable
what does standard deviaton measure
the dispersion of possible outcomes
for a single asset standalone risk =
standard deviation
If returns are normally distributed the actual returns will have
a 68% chance of being within plus or minus two standard deviations from the mean
a 95% chance of being within two standard deviations of the mean
for investments what do analysts use to forecast the investments risk?
historical data
what is correlation coefficient
measures how two variables move together
what is a stock portfolio
a mix of stocks
what does a correlation of -1 mean for two stocks
the 2 stocks can be combined to form a riskless portfolio: has a standard deviation of 0
what does a correlation of +1 mean for two tocks
the risk is not “reduced”
the portfolios standard deviation is just the average of stocks standard deviatons
what does it mean if 2 stocks correlation is between -1 and 1
risk is reduced but not eliminated
What would happen to the risk of an average 1-stock portfolio as more randomly selected stocks were added?
standard deviation would decrease because the added stocks would not be perfectly
correlated
what does standalone risk =
market risk + diversifiable risk
what is market risk
part of securities standalone risk that cannot be eliminated by diversification (war, recession, high interest rates)