Chapter 2 Flashcards

Scientific inference

1
Q

Inference

A

An act or a process of reaching a conclusion from a set of premises, which can express, for instance, known facts or evidence

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2
Q

Premise

A

A statement in an argument that justifies a conclusion

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3
Q

Conclusion

A

A statement that follows logically from premises

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4
Q

Direct inference

A

Inductive inference from a proportion in a sample to a population

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5
Q

Generalization

A

Inductive inference from a sample to a general conclusion

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6
Q

Projection

A

Inductive inference from past samples to future samples. Distinguish from prediction; projection is one way to make predictions

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7
Q

Inductive inference

A

In an inductive inference, the premises support the conclusion but does not guarantee its truth

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8
Q

Deductive inference

A

In a valid deductive inference, true premises necessitate the truth of the conclusion

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9
Q

Conditional claim

A

A claim involving the logical operator “if”, for instance of the form “If A then B”

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10
Q

Modus ponens

A

A deductive inference of the form: (i) If A then B, (ii) A, therefore (iii) B

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11
Q

Modus tollens

A

A deductive inference of the form: (i) If A then B, (ii) not B, therefore (iii) not A

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12
Q

Ampliative

A

Inferences that go beyond what is stated in the premises - in particular, inductive inferences are ampliative

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13
Q

Explicative

A

Inferences that do not go beyond what is stated (implicitly) in the premises - in particular, deductive inferences are explicative

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14
Q

Truth preservation

A

The conclusion must be true if the premises are true, see deductive inference

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15
Q

Fallibility

A

The conclusion can be false even if premises are true

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16
Q

Infinite regress

A

A never ending chain of propositions being justified by other propositions which in turn are justified by other propositions and so on

17
Q

Foundationalism

A

Propositions are justified by being inferred from foundational premises which do not need additional justification, for instance necessarily true premises

18
Q

Coherentism

A

Propositions are justified by being compatible with a coherent set of propositions, where each proposition in the set is compatible with every other proposition in the set

19
Q

Falsification

A

Rejecting a hypothesis as a result of an empirical test

20
Q

Confirmation

A

Increasing the confidence in a hypothesis as a result of an empirical test

21
Q

Hypothesis (plural: hypotheses)

A

A proposition that can be true or false but is not necessarily true or false, and that preferably either has some generality or is about something not directly observable

22
Q

Tautology

A

A proposition which is necessarily true

23
Q

Direct observation

A

Observations of object and properties that are accessible through the use of human senses

24
Q

Operationalization

A

A way to measure something which cannot be directly observed or that cannot be observed directly with sufficient precision, by connecting this feature with something causally connected to something that can be observed

25
Q

Asymmetry between falsification and confirmation

A

No amount of confirming observations can deductively confirm the hypothesis, but one falsifying observation can deductively falsify the hypothesis

26
Q

Falsificationism

A

The view that science should proceed only through valid falsification, and never use confirmation

27
Q

Falsifiable

A

A hypothesis is falsifiable if it is possible to show that it is false, even if it has not yet been shown to be false

28
Q

Demarcation of science

A

Distinguishing science from non-science by providing criteria for counting something as science

29
Q

Corroboration

A

A hypothesis is corroborated if it has withstood multiple falsification attempts

30
Q

Auxiliary hypothesis

A

A hypothesis used to test another hypothesis, but which one does not intend to test, for instance background assumptions necessary to infer the empirical conclusion

31
Q

Conjunction

A

Two propositions joined by the logical operator AND. The conjunction is true if an only if both propositions are true

32
Q

Duhem-Quine thesis

A

No hypothesis can be tested without the use of auxiliary hypotheses

33
Q

Ad hoc

A

The modification of a claim is ad hoc if (i) the claim has previously been falsified, (ii) the modification saves the claim from this falsification and (iii) it makes the claim less falsifiable - i.e. it does not allow deriving any new testable consequences

34
Q

Frequentism

A

Probabilities are frequencies of repeatable observable events

35
Q

Under-determination

A

An inference is underdetermined if multiple conclusions would be supported by the premises

36
Q

Severe test

A

A hypothesis test is a severe test if the probability to observe a consequence would be low if the hypothesis were false

37
Q

Base-rate fallacy

A

Initial confidence in an hypothesis is not taken into account when performing a statistical hypothesis test