Chapter 15 - Expectations, Consumption, and Investment Flashcards
Milton Friedman
permanent income theory of consumption
Modigliani
life cycle theory of consumption
consumption smoothing;
if you want to consume the same amount every year, the constant level of consumption that you can afford equals your total wealth divided by your expected remaining life
key assumption for consumption smoothing
no borrowing constraints
expectations affect consumption
directly through human wealth
indirectly through nonhuman wealth
Implications of expectations for the relation between consumption and income
consumption is likely to respond less than one-for-one to current income shocks
consumption may move even if current income does not change
Investment under static expectations:
- investment depends on the ratio of profit to the user cost
- the higher the profit, the higher the level of investment
- the higher the user cost, the lower the level of investment
under static expectations: if a firm’s current profit is low:
- it can get funds for new machines only by borrowing
- might have difficulty borrowing