Chapter 14 Part 2 Flashcards
Coincident Economic Indicators
Employees on nonagricultural payrolls; Personal income less transfer payments (transfer payments represent aid for individuals in the form of Medicare, Social Security, and veterans’ benefits, to list a few.); The Index of Industrial Production; Manufacturing and trade sales
The index of lagging indicators represents items that change
after the economy has moved through the various stages of the business cycle. The index of lagging indicators should confirm the economic condition portrayed by previous leading and coincident indexes.
Lagging Economic Indicators
The average duration of unemployment; the relationship of inventories to sales, manufacturing, and trade; Labor cost per unit of output for manufactured goods; The average prime rate charged by banks; Commercial and industrial loans outstanding; The relationship of consumer installment credit to personal income; the consumer price index for services
In reviewing the money rate table, some of the most important rates are the federal funds rate, the discount rate, broker loan or call money rate, and the prime rate. The usual order of these rates from lowest to highest is:
fed funds, discount, call, and prime
example of a cyclical stock
The common stock of a machine tool company would be an example of a cyclical stock. As the economy expands, new orders for machinery increase and machine tool companies prosper. Other examples of cyclical stocks would include basic industries (e.g., rubber, steel, etc.), construction firms, and manufacturers of durable goods
Examples of defensive companies would include
utilities, tobacco, alcohol, cosmetics, and food companies. Since people need basic services to exist, these companies are the last to be affected negatively as the economy moves through difficult periods
Keynesian Economnic theory states that
government intervention in the economy is necessary for sustained economic growth and stability. Put forth by British economist John Maynard Keynes, this theory further states that the government should use fiscal policies (i.e., expenditure programs and raising taxes) to combat the effects of inflation and deflation, as well as to influence economic activity.
Fiscal policy is the
government’s use of taxation and expenditure programs to maintain a stable, growing economy. If the economy is in a recession (trough). the government can increase its spending to stimulate demand. Alternatively, it can cut taxes which will increase the disposable income of consumers. This would also stimulate demand. If the economy is overheated (too much
demand), the government can cut its spending or increase taxes. Fiscal policy is set by the President and Congress.
Supply-side economics places an emphasis on
reducing taxes and the size of government to stimulate the economy. reducing the size of government will allow for lower tax rates. By reducing taxes, individuals and corporations will have more money to invest, thus creating economic activity
Monetary policy attempts to control the
supply of money and credit in the economy. This, in turn, will affect interest rates, causing an increase or decrease in economic activity. the primary focus of monetary policy is to control inflation. The Federal Reserve System implements monetary policy in the U.S.
Money is
the unit of value by which goods and services are measured. It is the medium of exchange through which business is transacted. The Federal Reserve Board (the Fed/ fRB) attempts to control the money supply and credit to maintain a stable, growing economy with the aim of combating inflation.
Each week the Fed compiles and publishes figures on the size of the money supply according to the
M1 measure. Once a month it publishes figures on M2, M3, and L.
M1 =
Currency in circulation + demand deposits + other checkable deposits
M2 =
M2 = M1 + money-market deposit accounts (MMOAs) + savings and relatively small time deposits +balances at money funds + overnight repurchase agreements at banks
M3 =
M2 + large time deposits + term repurchase agreements at banks and savings and loans