Chapter 13 - Advanced valuation methods Flashcards
A cash flow valuation may involve the following problems:
- Overseas taxation
- Foreign currency
- Selecting an appropriate cost of capital
Overseas taxation as a complication to the cash flow valuation model:
- Using the cash flows method, the post-tax cash flows of target will be discounted to calculate the NPV of target
- In cross-border acquisitions, the cash flows may need to be adjusted to reflect the impact of withholding tax & double tax agreements
- Withholding tax = tax paid on remittances to an overseas investor (interest or dividend payments)
- Double tax agreement = agreement between two countries where tax paid on profits made by overseas subsidiary may be tax deductible against same profits in another country
- Group loss relief = group companies surrender both current period and brought forward losses to each other under group relief to reduce a company’s taxable profits
Foreign currency as a complication to the cash flow valuation method:
- PV of cash flows expected from an overseas acquisition will also be affected by expectations of future changes in the exchange rate
- E.g. if the overseas currency is forecast to devalue - this will reduce the value of the cash flows
- Overseas currency may devalue for many reasons, one of which is high inflation (lower purchasing power)
Selecting an appropriate cost of capital as a complication in the cash flow valuation method:
- M&M theory can be used where an investment has differing levels of business risk (industry) and differing financial risk (capital structure)
- Therefore, a risk-adjusted cost of capital should be used (also known as project specific cost of capital)
Business risk
risk relating to activities carried out by entity
Financial risk
risk related to a company’s capital structure (level of debt fin in relation to equity finance)
Risk-adjusted cost of capital
cost of capital reflecting the business and financial risk of an investment
Cash flow valuation method to use when valuing specific divisions
- The risk-adjusted cost of capital approach can also be used to estimate cost of capital for valuation of a specific division with differing risks or for valuing an unquoted company
- Same approach for cash flow valuation method is used except a risk adjusted WACC or Ke should be used as the discount factor
What is an equity beta?
- Measure of market risk of a security, including its business risk and financial risk
- Equity beta of a company will also be affected by its gearing; if the company has a high equity beta this may be because it has high gearing.
What is an asset beta?
- Ungeared beta, measuring business risk only (usually smaller than equity beta)
- To understand the level of business risk of a company, an equity beta can be adjusted to show its value if the company was ungeared.
How to calculate an asset beta:
- Ungearing a beta:
Beu =
Beg (Ve / Ve+Vd(1-t)
+ Bd (Vd(1-t) / Ve + Vd(1-t)) - If told the debt beta is zero:
Beu = Beg (Ve / Ve + Vd(1-t)
M&M formula for WACC
WACC = Keu [1 - (Vd t / Ve + Vd)]
CAPM formula
Ke = Rf + (Rm - Rf) x B
Different approaches to calculate appropriate cost of capital - approach 1: using M&M WACC formula if given a beta
Step 1 = Ungear the beta
Step 2 = Calculate Ke using CAPM formula
Step 3 = Use ungeared Ke to calculate the WACC using M&M WACC formula
Different approaches to calculate appropriate cost of capital - approach 2: using M&M WACC formula if NO beta is given
Step 1a) = Strip out impact of debt levels from Ke
Keg = Keu + (Keu + Kd) x (Vd(1-t) / Ve)
1b) OR strip out impact of debt levels from WACC
WACC = Keu[1- (Vd t / Ve + Vd)]
Step 2 = Recalculate WACC using M&M formula & using divisions gearing