Chapter 10: Making Capital Investment Decisions Flashcards
Incremental cash flows
The difference between a firm’s future cash flows with a project and without the project.
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The incremental cash flows for project evaluation consist of any and all changes in the firm’s future cash flows that are a direct consequence of taking the project.
The general principle is simple enough; a relevant cash flow for a project is a change in the firm’s overall future cash flow that comes about as a
direct consequence of the decision to take that project
Incremental cash flows General Definition
The incremental cash flows for project evaluation consist of any and all changes in the firm’s future cash flows that are a direct consequence of taking the project.
Important implication to the incremental cash flow
Any cash flow that exists regardless of whether or not a project is undertaken is not relevant in our project evaluation.
Stand-alone principle
Evaluation of a project based on the project’s incremental cash flows
In summary: once we have determined the incremental cash flows from undertaking a project, we can view that project as a kind of mini firm with its own future revenues and costs, its own assets, and its own cash flows
Sunk Costs
A cost that has already been incurred and cannot be removed and therefore should not be considered in an investment decision.
The firm has to pay this no matter what
Example: Plane tickets already purchased, non-refundable items
Sometimes overhead cost is a sunk cost
NOT RELEVANT TO DECISION MAKING
Opportunity Costs
The most valuable alternative that is given up if a particular investment is undertaken.
Example: Going to school means giving up working for 8 hours and getting paid
Erosion
The portion of cash flows of a new project that come at the expense of a firm’s existing operations.
Example: Shoppers Drug Mart adding a fresh food section knowing customers of Super Store may stop shopping there and going to Shopper (even though both are owned by the same company)
Erosion is relevant only when the sales would not otherwise be lost.
For example, one of Walt Disney’s concerns when it built Euro Disney was that the new park would drain visitors from the Florida park, a popular vacation destination for Europeans.
Beneficial Side Effects
To see Negative Side Effects visit the Erosion Slide
For example, you might think that Hewlett-Packard (HP) would have been concerned when the price of a printer that sold for $500 to $600 in 2003 declined to below $100 by 2014, but they weren’t.
What HP realized was that the big money is in the consumables that printer owners buy to keep their printers going, such as ink-jet cartridges, laser toner cartridges, and special paper. The profit margins for these products are substantial.
Net Working Capital
For example, a project generally needs some amount of cash on hand to pay any expenses that arise.
In addition, a project needs an initial investment in inventories and accounts receivable (to cover credit sales)
The firm supplies working capital at the beginning and recovers it toward the end.
Financing Costs
In analyzing a proposed investment, we DO NOT include interest paid or any other financing costs such as dividends or principal repaid
Why? Because we are interested in the cash flow generated by the assets from the project
Inflation
Because capital investment projects generally have long lives, price inflation or deflation is likely to occur during the project’s life
Rates including inflation premiums are called nominal rates
Given that nominal rates include an adjustment for expected inflation, cash flow estimates must also be adjusted for inflation
Capital Budgeting and Business Taxes in Canada
In Canada, various levels of government commonly offer incentives to promote certain types of capital investment that will stimulate the economy. These include grants, investment tax credits, more favourable rates for capital cost allowance (CCA), and subsidized loans
Capital cost allowance (CCA)
Depreciation for tax purposes, not necessarily the same as depreciation under IFRS; depreciation method under Canadian tax law allowing for the accelerated write-off of property under various classifications.
Other Issues
First, we are interested only in measuring cash flow, and more specifically, measuring it when it actually occurs, not when it arises in an accounting sense.
Second, we are always interested in after-tax cash flow since tax payments are definitely a relevant cash outflow.
In calculating the cash flows, we make several simplifying assumptions to avoid bogging down in technical details at the outset
First, we use straight-line depreciation as opposed to capital cost allowance. We also assume that a full year’s depreciation can be taken in the first year.
In addition, we construct the example so the project’s market value equals its book cost when it is scrapped
Pro forma financial statements
Projections
Financial statements projecting future years’ operations.
To prepare these statements, we need estimates of quantities such as unit sales, the selling price per unit, the variable cost per unit, and total fixed costs. We also need to know the total investment required, including any investment in net working capital.
Example of a pro forma financial statement
Sales (50,000 units at $4.30/unit) 215,000
Variable costs (50,000 units at $2.50/unit) 125,000
————-
Gross profit $ 90,000
Fixed costs $ 12,000
Depreciation ($90,000/3) 30,000
————-
EBIT $ 48,000
Taxes (40%) 19,200
————–
Net income $ 28,800
*Do NOT deduct any interest, it is a financing expense and not an operating cash flow component
Cash flow from assets has three components:
1) operating cash flow,
2) capital spending,
3) additions to net working capital
Project cash flow =
equation
Project Operating Cash Flow - Project additions to net working capital - Project capital spending
PROJECT OPERATING CASH FLOW
Operating cash flow =
Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) + Depreciation - Taxes
To determine the operating cash flow associated with a project, recall the definition of operating cash flow:
If net working capital is negative, what does this mean?
We had freed up $XX during the year
Therefore, you would add this to your total cash flow
In general, cash income is
equation
sales - increase in accounts receivable.