Chapter 1 - Relationship Of Product Pricing And Underwriting Flashcards
Product pricing process
The cost of “raw materials” is not known at the time of determining the life insurance price. Cannot be determine until there isn’t another policy holder. Mortality expectations, expenses, interest rate, etc must be based on reasonable, or actuarially supportable, gleaned from past experience.
Strategy Determination
Various strategic directions can be carried out as long as 2 key items are considered.
1) organization must have the skill set to appropriately analyze the risk being considered. $100,000 for a 50 yr old vs $5M for a 30 yr old.
2) organization must be realistic about underlying cost of different offerings. Quick sale vs a completely underwritten policy.
Profitability expectation
Large component of expected profit margins is pressure for a competitive price in the marketplace.
Another component is the assignment of surplus.
Theoretically all ventures, expected returns should correlate with underlying risk present.
Surplus
Capital that is held above and beyond the expected needs of the products in order to ensure, with a very high probability, that all policyholder claims will be met.
Four Types of Risk types of risk to be covered by the assigned (or allocated) surplus
- C1 – Asset Risk
- C2 – Insurance Risk
- C3 – Interest Rate Risk
- C4 – Business Risk
Surplus Asset Risk
The risk that the assets supporting the product line lose some or all of their value.
Surplus Insurance Risk
The risk that the price of the insurance product provided is inadequate. This could occur primarily from the mis-estimation of the underlying expected mortality or the introduction of a risk not contemplated when the product was priced (i.e., influenza epidemic, HIV infection, or mortality event that materially changes the expectations of the underlying mortality curve).
Surplus Interest Rate Risk
The risk that assets must be sold at a loss in order to meet the cash needs of a policyholder. This risk (and the management of it) has precipitated a significant amount of industry work aimed at matching the liability cash flows of a product with the cash flows of the invested assets. This risk management process is known as asset/liability management or ALM.
Surplus Business Risk
This is a “catch-all” category of risk management to cover anything not specifically included in the C1, C2, or C3 category.
Which surplus risk is most associated with term insurance
C2 – Insurance Risk
Pricing Components
Several building blocks in product design – underwriting is key to one of the building blocks.
- Mortality
- Lapse Rates
- Expense Levels
- Interest Rates
Pricing Components – Mortality
Single biggest cost in life insurance product.
Being overly aggressive by ½ to 1 table (25%) can erode all of the expected profitability.
Actuaries look at the dynamics of large groups, underwriters look at the absolute risk of the individual. I.e., underwriters build the large group of homogenous risks that actuaries quantify.
Pricing Components – Lapse Rates
Largest decrement affecting the number of policies ultimately in force.
Impact on profitability depends on when the lapse occurs. If it occurs when the premium collected is greater than the mortality cost for the duration, then a lapse will hurt profitability. If a lapse occurs when the premium collected is less than the mortality cost then profitability will generally improve.
(Early duration lapses – hurt profitability, late duration lapses – improve profitability).
Pricing Component – Expense Levels
Represents – agent compensation, corporate overhead, support of an agency system, advertising, and underwriting expenses. Some policy sizes and issues ages, the cost of obtaining an additional requirement cannot be justified in the mortality savings that would occur. 4 important factors.
Underwriting expectation should not make a decision based upon the expected duration of the policy.
Pricing Component – Expense Levels – 4 Factors
- The cost of a requirement
- The corresponding mortality savings i.e., protective value) that occurs due to the obtainment of a requirement.
- The proposed insured’s adverse reaction to being subjected to a battery of requirements for the desired level of coverage.
- The time taken to issue a policy.