Ch.7 decision making and creativity Flashcards
study
What is the rational choice paradigm of decsision making ?
The View in decision making that people should - and typically do - use logic and all available information to choose the alternitive with the highest value
Subjective expected utility ?
The probability (expectation) of satisfaction (utility) reulting from choosing a specific alternative in a decsion (estimating the best possible alternative) (maximization)
rational choice decision making process (6- steps)
- identify problem or oppertunity
- choose best decision process
- discover/ develop alternative solutions
- choose best alternative
- implement the selected alternative
- evaluate decision outcomes
Problems with identification
stakeholder framing
Stakeholders filter info to amplify or suppress the seriousness of the situation to corporate decision makers because of their intrests
Problems with identification
mental models
Our minds creates its own mental framing through preconcived mental models
(visual or relational images in our mind)
blind us from seeing problems or opportunities
Problems with identification
decisive leadership
Being decisive includes quickly forming an opinion on weather an event signals a problem or opportunity.
Many leaders quickly announce problems or oppertunitys before having the chance to logically assess the situation
Problems with identification
soulution-focused problems
Decision makers have the tendancy to define problems as veiled solutions. (it provides comforting closure to the otherwise ambiguous and uncertain problems
Problems with identification
Perceptual Defence
Blocking out bad news as a coping mechanism.
inherently overlooking negative information
Problems with the Rational Choice Paradigm
Impossible to apply in reality, the model assumes people are logical information processing machines. in reality people have diffuculty recoginzing the problems, and cannot simultaneously process huge volumes of information.
Problem Identification challenges
influenced by cognitive and emotional biases
Identifying problems or opportunities more effectively
Becoming aware of the five problem identification biases
for leaders to never be satisfied with “good enough” (maximization)
what are the five problem identification biases
- stakeholder framing
- mental models
- vdecisive leadership
- soulution focused problems
- perceptual defence
what is bounded rationality?
the view that people are bounded un their decision making capabilities, including access to limited info, limited info pro, and a tendency toward satisfying rather than maximization when making choices
Rational choice paradigm assumptions vs obeservations from O.B (Goals)
r.c: Goals are clear, compatible, and agreed upon
O.B:Goals are ambiguous, conflicting, and lack agreement
Problems information processing (biased based heuristic’s)
People have built in decision heuristics that bias evaluation of alternatives
- anchoring and adjustment heuristic
- availibility heuristic
- representativeness heuristic