ch.11 decision making Flashcards
decision making def
the process of developing a commitment to some course of action
decision making involves
- choice among several action
- process that involves more than simply the final choice
- ressources: comitment of it
problem def
when a gap is perceived between some existing state + some desired state
well -structured pbl
the existing state is clear, the desired state is clear and how to get from one state to the other is fairly obvious
- easy to program
ill-structured pbl
a pbl for which the existing and desired state are unclear and the method to get to the desired state is unknown.
identifying the need for a decision
- underlying issues
- stakeholder analysis
- complicating factors
basic alternative responses
choices when making a decision
escalation of commitment
the tendency to invest additional ressources in an apparently dailing course of action
=> why ? dissonance reduction , social norms that favours consistent behaviour
problem identification and framing
- the perfect rational decision maker should be great problem identifier
- bounded rationality, however can lead to difficulty in pbl identification :
- perceptual defense
- pbl defined in term of functional specialty
- pbl defined in terms of solution
- pbl diagnosed in terms of symptoms
perfect rationality def
completely informed, perfectly logical, and oriented toward economic gain
bounded rationality
relies on limited info and that reflects time constraint and political consideration that acts as a bound to rationality
framing
refers to the aspects of the presentation of info about a pbl that are assumed by decision makers
cognitive bias
tendencies to acquire + process info in a particular way that is prone to error
decision makers can have either….
- too little information : confirmation bias
- too much info: damage the quality of the decision, info overload, leads to errors, omissions, delays
when evaluating alternatives need to consider
- the political acceptability of the solution
- the search for alternatives is often very limited
- firms invest very little money in exploring alternatives