Ch 9 Decison Making And Creativity Flashcards
Programmed decision
Implement soultions that have already been determined by past experience of the problem at hand
Non-programmed decisions
Created to deal specifically with problems at hand
Crisis decision
Unexpected problem that leads to disaster if not resolved quickly and appropriately
Certain environment
Provide full info on expected results for decision making alternatives
Risk environment
Provides probability regarding expected results for decision making alternatives
Uncertain environment
Provides no info to predict expected results
Classical decision making model
Views decision makers as acting in world of complete certainty
Behavioral decision making model
Views decision makers as acting only in terms of what they perceive about give situation
Heuristics
Rule of thumb for making decisions
Availability heuristics
Bases decisions on recent events relating to situation at hand
Representativeness heuristics
Bases on similarities btw situation at hand and stereotypes of similar occurrences
Anchoring and adjustment heuristics
Bases in incremental adjustments to initial value determined by historical precedent or some reference point
Confirmation error
Tendency to seek confirmation for what is already thought to be true and not search for disconfirm inch info
Hindsight trap
Overestimate degree which an event that has already taken place could have been predicted
Decision making
Process of choosing course of action for dealing with problem or opportunity