Ch 8 Flashcards
altman’s Z
used for bankruptcy classification
the higher the ratio, the less likely they are to go bankrupt
What ratios does altman’s Z use
working capital/total assets
retained earning/ total assets
earnings for taxes/total assets
stockholder’s equity/total debt owed
sales/total assets
what are the three altamn’s Z groupings
z < 1.8 = significant risk of bankruptcy
1.8< z < 3.3 = at risk “grey zone”
z > 3.3 = not at risk “safe zone”
base rate
the probability of an event occurring based on a related historical
average
base rate fallacy
occurs when the prediction places too little weight on the base rates of the past and instead uses different or new information.
time series analysis
a tool/technique used to predict future values based on past values of the same variable.
persistence
the repeatability and durability of the financial statement variables over time. Simply, it estimates if the trend of the past financial performance will continue.
capital budgeting
evaluating potential different large investments to see which a company should choose
what visualizations are used for predictive analysis
pivot table
scatter plot
forecasting