Ch. 19 - The Phillips Curve & Inflation Flashcards
What are inflation expectations?
The rate at which average prices are anticipated to rise next year
What is demand-pull inflation?
Inflation resulting from excess demand
What is cost-push inflation?
Inflation that results from an unexpected rise in production costs
What are the 3 inflationary forces?
- Inflation expectations
- Demand-Pull Inflation
- Supply Shocks & Cost Push Inflation
Inflation = Expected Inflation + Demand-pull inflation + Cost-push inflation
What is excess demand?
When the quantity demanded at the prevailing price exceeds the quantity supplied
What is insufficient demand?
When the quantity demanded at the prevailing price is below what’s supplied
What is the Phillips Curve?
A curve illustrating the link between the output gap & unexpected inflation
What is the labour market Phillips curve?
A Phillips curve linking unexpected inflation to the unemployment rate
What is a supply shock?
Any change in production costs that lead suppliers to change the prices they charge at any given level of output/ Supply shocks shift the Phillips Curve
What is a wage-price spiral
A cycle where higher prices lead to higher nominal wages, which leads to higher prices
What are 3 factors that shift the Phillips Curve
- Input Prices
- Productivity
- Exchange Rates
- Direct effect: When the Canadian dollar depreciates, foreign goods are more expensive
- Indirect effects: More expensive foreign goods lead to higher prices on domestic goods
- A depreciating Canadian dollar shifts the Phillips Curve up; An appreciating Canadian dollar shifts the Phillips Curve dwn