ch 11 project analysis and evaluation Flashcards
forecasting risk
the possibility that we can make a bad decision because of error in the projected cash flows
sensitivity analysis
variation on scenario analysis that is useful in pinpointing the areas where forecasting risk is especially severe
scenario analysis
basic form of what-if analysis
investigate changes in our NPV estimates that result from asking questions
simulation analysis
combo of scenario and sensitivity analysis
accounting break-even
sales volume where net income = 0
Q = (FC + D)/(P-v)
cash break-even
sales volume where operating cash flow = 0
Q = (FC)/(P-v)
- ignores taxes
financial break-even
sales volume where net present value = 0
Q = (FC+OCF)/(P-v)
DOL =
FC/OCF +1
operating leverage
the degree to which a project or firm is committed to fixed production costs
contingency planning
investigation of some of the managerial options implicit in a project
managerial options
- option to expand
- option to abandon
- option to wait
- tax option
- strategic options - options for future, related business moves