CFP Investments - Portfolio Theory Flashcards
Definition of Standard Deviation
A measure of risk and variability of returns
The higher the standard deviation, the
higher the riskiness of the investment
+/- 1, 2, 3 standard deviation percentages
+-/ 1: 68%
+-/ 2: 95%
+-/ 3: 99%
Coefficient of Variation is useful in determining
which investment has more relative risk when investments have different average returns
Coefficient of Variation tell us the probability
of actually experiencing a return close to the average return
The higher the coefficient of variation,
the more risky an investment per unit of return
Formula for Coefficient of Variation
Standard Deviation/
Average Return
Normal Distribution is appropriate if an investor is
considering a range of investment returns
A Lognormal Distribution is appropriate if an investor is considering
a DOLLAR AMOUNT or PORTFOLIO VALUE at a point in time
SKEWNESS refers to a normal distribution curve that is shifted
to the left of right of the MEAN RETURN
Ex: Commodity Returns
Left: Positive Skewness
Right: Negative Skewness
Kurtosis refers to
the variation of returns
Little variation= distribution has a high peak (Treasuries)
Widely dispersed = low peak, negative Kurtosis
Leptokurtic distributions mean what?
High peak, fat tails
Higher change of extreme events
Platykurtic distributions mean what?
Low peak, thin tails
Low chance of extreme events
Mean Variance Optimization means adding what kind of securities to your portfolio?
Process of adding RISKY securities BUT keeping the expected return the same.
Low variance as measured by standard deviation
What is a Monte Carlo Simulation?
Spreadsheet simulation that gives a probabilistic distribution of events occurring
Covariance is the measure of
2 securities combined and their interactive risk
How price movements between 2 securities are related to each other
Measure of RELATIVE RISK
Correlation and Covariance are both
Relative measures
Correlation Coefficent of 1
Denotes two assets are perfectly correlated
Correlation Coefficient of 0
Denotes that assets are completely uncorrelated
Correlation Coefficient of -1
Denotes perfectly negative correlation
When combining asset classes, an investor begins to receive diversification benefits when correlation is
Less than 1
Beta Coefficient is a measure of
an individual security’s volatility relative to that of the market
Measure of systematic/market risk
Beta is best used to measure
the volatility of a diversified portfolio
the Beta of the market is 1
A stock with a beta HIGHER THAN 1
Means the stock fluctuates more than the market and greater risk is associated