CFP Investments - Portfolio Theory Flashcards

1
Q

Definition of Standard Deviation

A

A measure of risk and variability of returns

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2
Q

The higher the standard deviation, the

A

higher the riskiness of the investment

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3
Q

+/- 1, 2, 3 standard deviation percentages

A

+-/ 1: 68%

+-/ 2: 95%

+-/ 3: 99%

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4
Q

Coefficient of Variation is useful in determining

A

which investment has more relative risk when investments have different average returns

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5
Q

Coefficient of Variation tell us the probability

A

of actually experiencing a return close to the average return

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6
Q

The higher the coefficient of variation,

A

the more risky an investment per unit of return

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7
Q

Formula for Coefficient of Variation

A

Standard Deviation/

Average Return

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8
Q

Normal Distribution is appropriate if an investor is

A

considering a range of investment returns

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9
Q

A Lognormal Distribution is appropriate if an investor is considering

A

a DOLLAR AMOUNT or PORTFOLIO VALUE at a point in time

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10
Q

SKEWNESS refers to a normal distribution curve that is shifted

A

to the left of right of the MEAN RETURN

Ex: Commodity Returns

Left: Positive Skewness
Right: Negative Skewness

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11
Q

Kurtosis refers to

A

the variation of returns

Little variation= distribution has a high peak (Treasuries)

Widely dispersed = low peak, negative Kurtosis

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12
Q

Leptokurtic distributions mean what?

A

High peak, fat tails

Higher change of extreme events

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13
Q

Platykurtic distributions mean what?

A

Low peak, thin tails

Low chance of extreme events

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14
Q

Mean Variance Optimization means adding what kind of securities to your portfolio?

A

Process of adding RISKY securities BUT keeping the expected return the same.

Low variance as measured by standard deviation

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15
Q

What is a Monte Carlo Simulation?

A

Spreadsheet simulation that gives a probabilistic distribution of events occurring

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16
Q

Covariance is the measure of

A

2 securities combined and their interactive risk

How price movements between 2 securities are related to each other

Measure of RELATIVE RISK

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17
Q

Correlation and Covariance are both

A

Relative measures

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18
Q

Correlation Coefficent of 1

A

Denotes two assets are perfectly correlated

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19
Q

Correlation Coefficient of 0

A

Denotes that assets are completely uncorrelated

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20
Q

Correlation Coefficient of -1

A

Denotes perfectly negative correlation

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21
Q

When combining asset classes, an investor begins to receive diversification benefits when correlation is

A

Less than 1

22
Q

Beta Coefficient is a measure of

A

an individual security’s volatility relative to that of the market

Measure of systematic/market risk

23
Q

Beta is best used to measure

A

the volatility of a diversified portfolio

the Beta of the market is 1

24
Q

A stock with a beta HIGHER THAN 1

A

Means the stock fluctuates more than the market and greater risk is associated

25
A stock with a beta LOWER THAN 1
Indicates that the security fluctuates less relative to market movements
26
If a fund has a return of 20% and the market has a return of 10%, the beta would be:
2 Security risk premium / Market risk premium
27
Coefficient of DETERMINATIONS (R-Squared) is a measure of
How much return is due to the market OR What percentage of a security's return is due to the market
28
Market (systematic) Risk
Return from the market Lowest level of risk one could expect in a fully diversified portfolio Non-diversifiable Economy-based risk
29
Unsystematic Risk
Risks that are not shared with a wider market or industry (specific to a company/investment)
30
Portfolio risk can be measured through
determination of the interactivity of the standard deviation and the covariance of securities in the portfolio
31
Systematic Risks: P-R-I-M-E
Purchasing Power Risk Reinvestment Rate risk (bonds) Interest Rate Risk Market Risk Exchange Rate Risk
32
Unsystematic Risks: A-B-C-D-E-F-G
Accounting risk Business risk Country risk Default risk Executive risk Financial risk Government/regulation risk
33
Modern Portfolio Theory
The acceptance by an investor of a given level of risk while maximizing return objectives
34
Modern Portfolio Theory: EFFICIENT FRONTIER
The curve which illustrates the best possible returns that could be expected from all possible portfolios
35
Modern Portfolio Theory: INDIFFERENCE CURVES
Constructed using selections made based on this highest level of return given an acceptable level of risk
36
Modern Portfolio Theory: EFFICIENT PORTFOLIO
Occurs when an investor's indifference curve is tangent to the efficient frontier
37
Modern Portfolio Theory: OPTIMAL PORTFOLIO
the one selected from all efficient portfolios the point at which an investor's indifference curve is tangent to the efficient frontier, represents that investor's optimal portfolio
38
Capital Market Line (CML)
the macro aspect of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) a portfolio's return should be on the CML
39
What measure of risk does the Capital Market Line (CML) use?
Standard deviation
40
Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) calculates
the relationship of risk and return of an individual security using BETA as it's measure of risk "Security Market Line" SML
41
SML uses what as its measure of risk?
Beta
42
What is the intersection on the y-axis of CML/SML
The risk-free rate of return
43
Information Ratio
Relative risk-adjusted performance measure The higher, the better
44
Treynor Index
NUMERATOR: the difference between the portfolio return and risk-free return DENOMINATOR: Beta of a portfolio RISK-ADJUSTED performance measure
45
Sharpe Index
Provides a measure of portfolio performance using a risk-adjusted measure that standardizes returns for their variability NUMERATOR: the difference between the portfolio return and risk-free return DENOMINATOR: Standard deviation of a portfolio RISK-ADJUSTED performance measure Better for NON-diversified portfolios
46
Jensen Model or Jensen's Alpha measures
a manager's performance relative to that of the market Can determine differences between realized or actual returns and required returns as specified by CAPM ABSOLUTE PERFORMANCE on a risk-adjusted basis positive Alpha is good negative is BAD
47
A portfolio is considered diversified if its R-squared is greater than
0.70 Any less = not well diversified (use Sharpe Index as measure) REMEMBER! If correlation is 0.80, r-squared is 64%
48
If the exam doesn't give you the R-squared, which performance measure should you use?
Sharpe Index
49
Total Risk = Systematic = Unsystematic Risk Total risk is measured using ______ Systematic risk is measured using ______
Total Risk = Systematic = Unsystematic Risk Total risk is measured using STANDARD DEVIATION Systematic risk is measured using BETA
50
The Beta of the Market is ____
1.0
51
A stock that has a Beta of 1.5 is riskier or less risky than the market?
Riskier
52
R-squared tells us what about Beta?
R-Squared will give us insight as to whether or not Beta is an appropriate measure of risk If R-Squared is greater than .7 then YES, it is a good measure to use to assess RISK