CFP Economic Cycles Flashcards
As interest rates increase, what happens to stock prices and bond prices?
Decrease
Investment returns are ____ related to changes in interest rates
Investment returns are inversely related to changes in interest rates
As interest rates DECREASE what happens to bond prices?
As interest rates DECREASE, bond prices will INCREASE
Purchasing power is _______ related to interest rates
Purchasing power is INVERSELY related to interest rates
As interest rates go up, you can buy less with your money (inflation)
The cost of money is measured by
Interest rates
Monetary Policy / 3 goals
Federal Reserve (interest rates)
3 goals:
l-t economic growth
maintain price levels
full employment
Fiscal Policy
Congress
Stimulus
Debt Management
What things cause a shift in the Demand Curve up and to the right?
Increased Income
Goverment lowers Taxes
Lower Savings Rate
More Disposable Income
What things cause a shift in the Supply Curve down and to the right?
Technology improves efficiency
Competition
Anything other than price
What things cause a shift in the Supply Curve up and to the left?
Less firms in the marketplace
Goods used in the manufacturing process increase
What is the definition of a substitute?
Products that serve a similar purpose
Movie rentals / Movie tickets
What is the definition of a complement?
Complements are products that are consumed jointly
Razors / Razor blades / Shaving cream
Examples of Elastic Demand
Sensitive to price
-Airline tickets
-Alcohol
-Luxury goods
An elastic demand curve is almost horizontal, sloping down and to the right
Examples of Inelastic Demand
Not sensitive to price (doesn’t snap)
Toilet paper
Gasoline
Milk
An INelastic demand curve is almost vertical, sloping down and to the right. Remember the “I” in inelastic to remember the shape of the inelastic demand curve
What are the phases of the Business Life Cycle?
Expansion
Peak
Recession/Contraction
Trough
Back to Expansion
Average time = 60 months
Fundamental p.67 for key chart on variables during each cycle
Gross Domestic Product
Amount of good and services produced in the US, regardless of ownership (ex: Mexican beer made in Texas)
Gross National Product
Measures the amount of goods and services produced by a country’s citizens, regardless of where the goods and services are produced
(ex: Ford production in Mexico is included in GNP, not GDP)
Definition of a recession
6 consecutive months (2 quarters) of declining GDP
Definition of a depression
If recession lasts for 18 months or 6 consecutive quarters