C1 Flashcards
1
MCT 1: OVERVIEW & GEN REQ
(1.1) intro:Define ‘target capital required’ (give the statistical defn)
1
MCT 1: OVERVIEW & GEN REQ
(1. 1) intro:Define ‘target capital required’ (give the statistical defn)
* Capital level corresponding to CTE(99%) on the loss distribution over 1-yr time horizon (CTE = Conditional Tail Expectation)
2
MCT 1: OVERVIEW & GEN REQ
(1.1) intro:Are insurers required to meet capital requirements at all times
2
MCT 1: OVERVIEW & GEN REQ
(1. 1) intro:Are insurers required to meet capital requirements at all times
* YES!
3
MCT 1: OVERVIEW & GEN REQ
(1.1) intro:Describe scope of consolidation for MCT
3
MCT 1: OVERVIEW & GEN REQ
(1.1) intro:Describe scope of consolidation for MCT
- MCT ratio is calculated on consolidated basis
- Includes: any subsidiary parent could operate directly (Ex: other P&C insurer)
- Excludes: life insurers
4
MCT 1: OVERVIEW & GEN REQ
(1.1) intro:What is an easy proxy for CapAv (Capital Available) that appears on the B/S (Balance Sheet)
4
MCT 1: OVERVIEW & GEN REQ
(1. 1) intro:What is an easy proxy for CapAv (Capital Available) that appears on the B/S (Balance Sheet)
1. B/S equity
5
MCT 1: OVERVIEW & GEN REQ
Qz-1 defns:Define insurance risk
risk of loss..clms..
5
MCT 1: OVERVIEW & GEN REQ
Qz-1 defns:Define insurance risk
risk of loss..clms..
- Risk of loss FROM the potential for claims (from policyholders & beneficiaries)
6
MCT 1: OVERVIEW & GEN REQ
Qz-1 defns:Define market risk
risk of loss..chgs..
6
MCT 1: OVERVIEW & GEN REQ
Qz-1 defns:Define market risk
risk of loss..chgs..
- Risk of loss FROM changes in prices in various markets
7
MCT 1: OVERVIEW & GEN REQ
Qz-1 defns:Define credit risk
risk of loss..counter-parties..
7
MCT 1: OVERVIEW & GEN REQ
Qz-1 defns:Define credit risk
risk of loss..counter-parties..
- Risk of loss FROM counterparty’s potential INABILITY or UNWILLINGNESS to fully meet contractual obligations due to the insurer
8
E (2016.Fall 18a.) 0.500 pts
MCT 1: OVERVIEW & GEN REQ
Qz-1 defns:Define operational risk
risk of loss..processes..
8
E (2016.Fall 18a.) 0.500 pts
MCT 1: OVERVIEW & GEN REQ
Qz-1 defns:Define operational risk
risk of loss..processes..
- Risk of loss FROM inadequate or failed internal processes, people, systems or from external events
10
E (2015.Fall 19.) 2.000 pts
MCT 2: CAPITAL AVAILABLE
Qz-2 (2.1) CapAv:4 considerations in defining MCT CapAv (Capital Available)
MCT-APAS
10
E (2015.Fall 19.) 2.000 pts
MCT 2: CAPITAL AVAILABLE
Qz-2 (2.1) CapAv:4 considerations in defining MCT CapAv (Capital Available)
MCT-APAS
- AVAILABILITY: is the capital element (fully paid) and (available to absorb losses)
- PERMANENCE: until when is a capital element available
- ABSENCE: ask whether a capital element has an absence of (encumbrances) & (mandatory servicing costs)
- SUBORDINATION: is the capital element (subordinated to rights of policy holders and creditors) in (an insolvency or winding-up)
11
MCT 2: CAPITAL AVAILABLE
(2.1) CapAv:What are the 3 broad components of capital available (3)
11
MCT 2: CAPITAL AVAILABLE
(2.1) CapAv:What are the 3 broad components of capital available (3)
- Category A (common equity)
- Category B
- Category C
12
MCT 2: CAPITAL AVAILABLE
(2.2) CapCompLims:When is excess category B & C capital included in capital available (2)
12
MCT 2: CAPITAL AVAILABLE
(2.2) CapCompLims:When is excess category B & C capital included in capital available (2)
- (w/ OSFI approval) & (plan to return to compliance ASAP)
- Must be due to event(s) beyond insurer’s control
16
E (2017.Spring 24b.i) 0.500 pts
MCT 2: CAPITAL AVAILABLE
Qz-2 supp:Describe impact of unregistered reinsurance on MCT capital available
16
E (2017.Spring 24b.i) 0.500 pts
MCT 2: CAPITAL AVAILABLE
Qz-2 supp:Describe impact of unregistered reinsurance on MCT capital available
- If unregistered reinsurance goes UP then CapAv goes DOWN
- Reduction = max(0, D) WHERE D = (UEP + O/S + ReIns Recv) - (ReIns Pay + NOD + LOC) SUMMED over all reinsurers separately
17
MCT 4: CAPITAL REQUIRED: INSURANCE RISK
Qz-3 (4.2) margins:On what basis should claims and premium be put before calculating capital required for insurance risk
17
MCT 4: CAPITAL REQUIRED: INSURANCE RISK
Qz-3 (4.2) margins:On what basis should claims and premium be put before calculating capital required for insurance risk
- The data should be NET of (reinsurance, salv/sub, SIRs) and EXCLUDE (PfADs)
18
MCT 4: CAPITAL REQUIRED: INSURANCE RISK
Qz-3 (4.3) ReIns:What is the $-limit on LOC (Letters of Credit) for obtaining capital credit against unregistered reinsurance
18
MCT 4: CAPITAL REQUIRED: INSURANCE RISK
Qz-3 (4.3) ReIns:What is the $-limit on LOC (Letters of Credit) for obtaining capital credit against unregistered reinsurance
- LOC limit = 30% x (UEP ceded + O/S recoverable)
25
MCT 4: CAPITAL REQUIRED: INSURANCE RISK
Qz-3 (4.5) Cats:Define ‘earthquake premium reserve’ (EPR)
25
MCT 4: CAPITAL REQUIRED: INSURANCE RISK
Qz-3 (4.5) Cats:Define ‘earthquake premium reserve’ (EPR)
- Voluntary accumulation of earthquake premiums (must not exceed PML500)
26
MCT 4: CAPITAL REQUIRED: INSURANCE RISK
Qz-3 (4.5) Cats:If earthquake premium is implicit in total premium, what must the insurer demonstrate
reasonableness of allocation..
26
MCT 4: CAPITAL REQUIRED: INSURANCE RISK
Qz-3 (4.5) Cats:If earthquake premium is implicit in total premium, what must the insurer demonstrate
reasonableness of allocation..
- Demonstrate reasonableness of premium allocation to earthquake coverage
27
MCT 4: CAPITAL REQUIRED: INSURANCE RISK
Qz-3 (4.5) Cats:When can EPR be reduced (2)
27
MCT 4: CAPITAL REQUIRED: INSURANCE RISK
Qz-3 (4.5) Cats:When can EPR be reduced (2)
- When there is material decrease in eqk-X
- To establish a (claims, LAE) provision post-event
28
MCT 4: CAPITAL REQUIRED: INSURANCE RISK
Qz-3 (4.5) Cats:Is EPR included in reserve amounts on B/S
28
MCT 4: CAPITAL REQUIRED: INSURANCE RISK
Qz-3 (4.5) Cats:Is EPR included in reserve amounts on B/S
- Yes
29
MCT 4: CAPITAL REQUIRED: INSURANCE RISK
(4.5) Cats:What is the formula for MCT capital required for nuclear reserves
29
MCT 4: CAPITAL REQUIRED: INSURANCE RISK
(4. 5) Cats:What is the formula for MCT capital required for nuclear reserves
* Nuclear reserve = NWP x 1.25 (may reverse after 20 years UNLESS there is credible data not to do so)
30
E (2019.Spring 18b.) 1.000 pts
MCT 4: CAPITAL REQUIRED: INSURANCE RISK
Qz-3 (4.5) Cats:Explain the impact on MCT components of a decrease in ER (Earthquake Reserves)
30
E (2019.Spring 18b.) 1.000 pts
MCT 4: CAPITAL REQUIRED: INSURANCE RISK
Qz-3 (4.5) Cats:Explain the impact on MCT components of a decrease in ER (Earthquake Reserves)
- Need only 4 items for 1.0 pts:
- Capital available doesn’t change
- Capital required for insurance risk decreases
- Capital required for market risk doesn’t change
- Capital required for credit risk depends on use of unregistered reinsurance for earthquakes
- Capital required for operational risk decreases (because insurance risk decreases)
31
E (2018.Fall 26d.) 0.250 pts
MCT 4: CAPITAL REQUIRED: INSURANCE RISK
Qz-3 (4.5) Cats:True or false: MCT takes into account flood risk
31
E (2018.Fall 26d.) 0.250 pts
MCT 4: CAPITAL REQUIRED: INSURANCE RISK
Qz-3 (4.5) Cats:True or false: MCT takes into account flood risk
- It could be both true & false:
- Flood risk would be part of general insurance risk (if it were sold)
- But flood is not currently given special consideration like earthquake
34
MCT 6:CAPITAL REQUIRED: CREDIT RISK
Qz-5 (6.2) Off B/S Items:What are some examples of off-B/S sheet exposures (4)
34
MCT 6:CAPITAL REQUIRED: CREDIT RISK
Qz-5 (6.2) Off B/S Items:What are some examples of off-B/S sheet exposures (4)
- Structured settlements
- NOD (Non-Owned Deposits)
- LOC (Letters of Credit)
- Derivatives
35
MCT 6:CAPITAL REQUIRED: CREDIT RISK
(6.2) Off B/S Items:General method for CapReq(off-B/S): + problem
CRX x RF
35
MCT 6:CAPITAL REQUIRED: CREDIT RISK
(6.2) Off B/S Items:General method for CapReq(off-B/S): + problem
CRX x RF
- CapReq = (CrdRsk exposure x RskFctr) | Problem: face amount of off-B/S exposure (may not reflect) true CrdRsk exposure
36
MCT 7:CAPITAL REQUIRED: OPERATIONAL RISK
Qz-6 general:Is legal risk included in operationl risk? (yes/no)
36
MCT 7:CAPITAL REQUIRED: OPERATIONAL RISK
Qz-6 general:Is legal risk included in operationl risk? (yes/no)
- Yes, legal risk is included as part of operational risk
37
MCT 7:CAPITAL REQUIRED: OPERATIONAL RISK
Qz-6 general:List 2 types of risk that are EXCLUDED from MCT operational risk (2)
37
MCT 7:CAPITAL REQUIRED: OPERATIONAL RISK
Qz-6 general:List 2 types of risk that are EXCLUDED from MCT operational risk (2)
- Strategic risk
- Reputation risk
38
MCT 7:CAPITAL REQUIRED: OPERATIONAL RISK
Qz-6 general:What is the purpose of the cap on operational risk of 30% x CR(0), where CR(0) = Sum (ins, mkt, crd) risk
38
MCT 7:CAPITAL REQUIRED: OPERATIONAL RISK
Qz-6 general:What is the purpose of the cap on operational risk of 30% x CR(0), where CR(0) = Sum (ins, mkt, crd) risk
- To dampen operational risk for high-volume, low-complexity businesses that have high levels of reinsurance
39
MCT 7:CAPITAL REQUIRED: OPERATIONAL RISK
Qz-6 general:What is rapid premium growth linked to (3)
39
MCT 7:CAPITAL REQUIRED: OPERATIONAL RISK
Qz-6 general:What is rapid premium growth linked to (3)
- Mergers
- New LOBs
- Changes to products or U/W criteria
40
E (2017.Spring 24b.iii) 0.500 pts
MCT 7:CAPITAL REQUIRED: OPERATIONAL RISK
Qz-6 supp:Impact of unregistered reinsurance on MCT OpnRsk
40
E (2017.Spring 24b.iii) 0.500 pts
MCT 7:CAPITAL REQUIRED: OPERATIONAL RISK
Qz-6 supp:Impact of unregistered reinsurance on MCT OpnRsk
- When unregistered reinsurance goes UP –> CapReq(OpnRsk) goes UP
- OpnRsk DEPENDS on InsRsk & CrdRsk
- InsRsk goes UP because unregistered reinsurance is one of its components
42
E (2016.Fall 18c.) 0.500 pts
MCT 8: DIVERSIFICATION CREDIT
Qz-7 (8.1) DivsCrd:Define ‘diversification credit’
42
E (2016.Fall 18c.) 0.500 pts
MCT 8: DIVERSIFICATION CREDIT
Qz-7 (8.1) DivsCrd:Define ‘diversification credit’
- A reduction to capital required RECOGNIZING that not all risk categories are likely to suffer maximum loss simultaneously
43
E (2018.Fall 26b.) 0.250 pts
MCT 8: DIVERSIFICATION CREDIT
Qz-7 (8.1) DivsCrd:Does the diversification credit consider correlation between & within all risk components
43
E (2018.Fall 26b.) 0.250 pts
MCT 8: DIVERSIFICATION CREDIT
Qz-7 (8.1) DivsCrd:Does the diversification credit consider correlation between & within all risk components
- No:
- Credit & market risk are summed to get asset risk
- Then the diversification credit considers the correlation between asset & insurance risk
55
E (2017.Spring 19b.) 0.500 pts
MCT SUPP: OTHER EXAM PROBLEMS
supp:Describe a non-modeled approach to calculating eqk reserves
55
E (2017.Spring 19b.) 0.500 pts
MCT SUPP: OTHER EXAM PROBLEMS
supp:Describe a non-modeled approach to calculating eqk reserves
- Use the ‘standard’ approach:
- Calc ERX = [max(EastCan.PTIV, WestCan.PTIV) - deduc], where PTIV = Property Total Insured Value
- THEN calc ER (Earthquake Reserve) the same way as in the modeled approach
56
E (2015.Fall 18a.) 0.500 pts
MCT SUPP: OTHER EXAM PROBLEMS
Qz-8 supp:Purpose of establishing a supervisory target MCT (3)
56
E (2015.Fall 18a.) 0.500 pts
MCT SUPP: OTHER EXAM PROBLEMS
Qz-8 supp:Purpose of establishing a supervisory target MCT (3)
- Early warning for management
- Threshold for OSFI intervention
- Accounts for (all risks in MCT ratio) + (non-modeled risks, off-B/S risks) + MARGIN
69
CIA.MfAD 01-04: INTRODUCTION
Qz-1 intro:What is the purpose of MfADs (Margins for Adverse Deviations)
to reflect..
69
CIA.MfAD 01-04: INTRODUCTION
Qz-1 intro:What is the purpose of MfADs (Margins for Adverse Deviations)
to reflect..
- To reflect a degree of uncertainty inherent in an actuarial best estimate
70
CIA.MfAD 01-04: INTRODUCTION
Qz-1 intro:What are some broad methods for calculating MfADs (2)
deterministic, stochastic
70
CIA.MfAD 01-04: INTRODUCTION
Qz-1 intro:What are some broad methods for calculating MfADs (2)
deterministic, stochastic
- Deterministic: select percentages directly based on knowledge of the situation
- Stochastic: use quantile methods based on a statistical analysis
71
CIA.MfAD 01-04: INTRODUCTION
Qz-1 defns:What is the technical defn of MfAD (Margin for Adverse Deviation)
difference between.. assumption..
71
CIA.MfAD 01-04: INTRODUCTION
Qz-1 defns:What is the technical defn of MfAD (Margin for Adverse Deviation)
difference between.. assumption..
- Difference between (ASSUMPTION for actual calculation) and (ASSUMPTION for best estimate calculation)
72
CIA.MfAD 01-04: INTRODUCTION
Qz-1 defns:What is the technical defn of PfAD (Provision for Adverse Deviation)
difference between.. result..
72
CIA.MfAD 01-04: INTRODUCTION
Qz-1 defns:What is the technical defn of PfAD (Provision for Adverse Deviation)
difference between.. result..
- Difference between (RESULT of actual calculation) and (RESULT of best estimate calculation)
- The best estimate might be the median of your loss distribution
- The actual calculation would be more conservative, maybe the 90th percentile, the difference being the PfAD amounts
73
CIA.MfAD 01-04: INTRODUCTION
Qz-1 defns:Categories of MfADs (3)
73
CIA.MfAD 01-04: INTRODUCTION
Qz-1 defns:Categories of MfADs (3)
- Investment return rates
- Development on claims
- Recovery on losses ceded to reinsurer
74
E (2019.Spring 24b.) 1.000 pts
CIA.MfAD 01-04: INTRODUCTION
Qz-1 good RskMarg traits:According to IAIS, when should a risk margin generally be HIGHER/lower (4,1)
information, freq/sev, contract term, loss distribution
74
E (2019.Spring 24b.) 1.000 pts
CIA.MfAD 01-04: INTRODUCTION
Qz-1 good RskMarg traits:According to IAIS, when should a risk margin generally be HIGHER/lower (4,1)
information, freq/sev, contract term, loss distribution
- Risk margin should be HIGHER:
- When less is known about the estimate
- For low frequency / high severity LOBs
- For longer contract terms
- When there is a wide probability distribution for the losses
- Risk margin should be LOWER:
- With emerging experience
76
E (2017.Fall 27error2.) 0.750 pts
CIA.MfAD 01-04: INTRODUCTION
calc:What is the formula for calculating PfAD for reinsurance ceded
76
E (2017.Fall 27error2.) 0.750 pts
CIA.MfAD 01-04: INTRODUCTION
calc: What is the formula for calculating PfAD for reinsurance ceded
* PfAD(re) = MfAD(re) x PV(ceded unpaid losses)
77
E (2019.Spring 24a.i,ii) 0.500 pts
CIA.MfAD 05: EXPLICIT ASSMPS - DETERMINISTIC MfADs
Qz-2 intro:Deterministic (lower, UPPER) % limits on MfADs (3)
77
E (2019.Spring 24a.i,ii) 0.500 pts
CIA.MfAD 05: EXPLICIT ASSMPS - DETERMINISTIC MfADs
Qz-2 intro:Deterministic (lower, UPPER) % limits on MfADs (3)
- Investment return rate ( 25 bps , 200 bps )
- Claims development ( 2.5% , 20% )
- Reinsurance recovery ( 0% , 15% )
78
E (2016.Spring 29b.i) 0.500 pts
CIA.MfAD 05: EXPLICIT ASSMPS - DETERMINISTIC MfADs
Qz-2 MfAD(clms):Identify CATEGORIES of considerations for selecting MfAD(clms) (3)
ODL
78
E (2016.Spring 29b.i) 0.500 pts
CIA.MfAD 05: EXPLICIT ASSMPS - DETERMINISTIC MfADs
Qz-2 MfAD(clms):Identify CATEGORIES of considerations for selecting MfAD(clms) (3)
ODL
- Operations (U/W, claims management, other)
- Data (on which estimate is based)
- LOB
79
E (2016.Spring 29b.i) 0.500 pts
CIA.MfAD 05: EXPLICIT ASSMPS - DETERMINISTIC MfADs
Qz-2 MfAD(clms):Identify OPERATIONAL considerations in selecting MfAD(clms) -> (when to pick HIGH/low)
low(SSC), high(op Changes, Turnover, Lack of Guidelines)
79
E (2016.Spring 29b.i) 0.500 pts
CIA.MfAD 05: EXPLICIT ASSMPS - DETERMINISTIC MfADs
Qz-2 MfAD(clms):Identify OPERATIONAL considerations in selecting MfAD(clms) -> (when to pick HIGH/low)
low(SSC), high(op Changes, Turnover, Lack of Guidelines)
- Pick HIGH when there are (operational changes, employee turnover, Lack of Guidelines, inadequate staffing)
- Pick LOW when operations are (Stable, Strong, Consistent)
80
CIA.MfAD 05: EXPLICIT ASSMPS - DETERMINISTIC MfADs
Qz-2 MfAD(clms):Identify DATA considerations in selecting MfAD(clms) -> (when to pick low)
low(SCH)
80
CIA.MfAD 05: EXPLICIT ASSMPS - DETERMINISTIC MfADs
Qz-2 MfAD(clms):Identify DATA considerations in selecting MfAD(clms) -> (when to pick low)
low(SCH)
- Pick LOW when data is
- Stable
- Credible
- Homogeneous
81
CIA.MfAD 05: EXPLICIT ASSMPS - DETERMINISTIC MfADs
Qz-2 MfAD(clms):Identify LOB considerations in selecting MfAD(clms) -> (when to pick low)
S
81
CIA.MfAD 05: EXPLICIT ASSMPS - DETERMINISTIC MfADs
Qz-2 MfAD(clms):Identify LOB considerations in selecting MfAD(clms) -> (when to pick low)
S
- Pick LOW when LOBs are “stable”
82
CIA.MfAD 05: EXPLICIT ASSMPS - DETERMINISTIC MfADs
Qz-2 MfAD(clms):Reasons to select highest MfAD(clms) margin of 20% (3)
tort.new.(+retention)
82
CIA.MfAD 05: EXPLICIT ASSMPS - DETERMINISTIC MfADs
Qz-2 MfAD(clms):Reasons to select highest MfAD(clms) margin of 20% (3)
tort.new.(+retention)
- For significant changes: (tort reform, legal challenges)
- For a new LOB in new province with limited data
- For an increase in retentions with limited data for assessing effect
83
E (2019.Spring 24a.iii) 0.250 pts
CIA.MfAD 05: EXPLICIT ASSMPS - DETERMINISTIC MfADs
Qz-2 MfAD(clms):Reasons to select MfAD(clms) higher than 20% (3)
cons3
83
E (2019.Spring 24a.iii) 0.250 pts
CIA.MfAD 05: EXPLICIT ASSMPS - DETERMINISTIC MfADs
Qz-2 MfAD(clms):Reasons to select MfAD(clms) higher than 20% (3)
cons3
- If there is unusually high uncertainty
- If PfAD is already very low because best estimate of claims liability is very low
- If a stochastic analysis indicates variability not identified using a deterministic analysis
84
CIA.MfAD 05: EXPLICIT ASSMPS - DETERMINISTIC MfADs
Qz-2 MfAD(clms):Reasons to select lowest MfAD(clms) margin of 2.5% (3)
comm.StrucSett.stoploss
84
CIA.MfAD 05: EXPLICIT ASSMPS - DETERMINISTIC MfADs
Qz-2 MfAD(clms):Reasons to select lowest MfAD(clms) margin of 2.5% (3)
comm.StrucSett.stoploss
- LOB commuted to reinsurer and is in runoff
- LOB has pre-set payments (Ex: structured settlement)
- Insurer has stop-loss coverage reserved at stop-loss limit
86
E (2016.Spring 29b.ii) 1.000 pts
CIA.MfAD 05: EXPLICIT ASSMPS - DETERMINISTIC MfADs
Qz-2 MfAD(re):Identify considerations in selecting of MfAD(re) (3)
LR.unreg.FinCond
86
E (2016.Spring 29b.ii) 1.000 pts
CIA.MfAD 05: EXPLICIT ASSMPS - DETERMINISTIC MfADs
Qz-2 MfAD(re):Identify considerations in selecting of MfAD(re) (3)
LR.unreg.FinCond
- Consider ceded Loss Ratio (if high: pick MfAD high)
- Consider proportion of unregistered reinsurance (if high: pick MfAD high)
- Consider financial condition of reinsurer (if poor: pick MfAD high)
89
E (2017.Spring 25c.) 0.500 pts
CIA.MfAD 05: EXPLICIT ASSMPS - DETERMINISTIC MfADs
Qz-2 MfAD(inv):Identify considerations in selecting MfAD(inv) (3)
CFmch.P-Pat.AssRsk
89
E (2017.Spring 25c.) 0.500 pts
CIA.MfAD 05: EXPLICIT ASSMPS - DETERMINISTIC MfADs
Qz-2 MfAD(inv):Identify considerations in selecting MfAD(inv) (3)
CFmch.P-Pat.AssRsk
- MATCHING of cash flows from assets & liabilities (if unmatched: pick MfAD high)
- ERROR in estimating payment patterns (if uncertain: pick MfAD high)
- ASSET risk (credit/default & liquidity) (if high risk: pick MfAD high)
90
E (2019.Spring 24a.iv) 0.250 pts
CIA.MfAD 05: EXPLICIT ASSMPS - DETERMINISTIC MfADs
Qz-2 MfAD(inv):When may MfAD(Inv) < 25 bps
90
E (2019.Spring 24a.iv) 0.250 pts
CIA.MfAD 05: EXPLICIT ASSMPS - DETERMINISTIC MfADs
Qz-2 MfAD(inv):When may MfAD(Inv) < 25 bps
- When the best estimate of the discount rate (based on insurer’s assets) is already below 25 bps
92
CIA.MfAD 05: EXPLICIT ASSMPS - DETERMINISTIC MfADs
Qz-2 MfAD(inv):Formula-based deterministic approaches (2)
92
CIA.MfAD 05: EXPLICIT ASSMPS - DETERMINISTIC MfADs
Qz-2 MfAD(inv):Formula-based deterministic approaches (2)
- Weighted formula
- Explicit quantification
93
CIA.MfAD 05: EXPLICIT ASSMPS - DETERMINISTIC MfADs
MfAD(inv):Weighted formula method
93
CIA.MfAD 05: EXPLICIT ASSMPS - DETERMINISTIC MfADs
MfAD(inv):Weighted formula method
- MfAD(inv) = iPM - iAM
- iAM = min [iPM, iRFM x (1-k)]
97
CIA.MfAD 11: Documentation & Reporting
Qz-4 docs:What should be disclosed in MfAD docs
97
CIA.MfAD 11: Documentation & Reporting
Qz-4 docs:What should be disclosed in MfAD docs
- For explicit assumptions: how margins were selected
- For stochastic analysis: describe components modeled as random variables, with their distributions & parameters
98
CIA.MfAD 11: Documentation & Reporting
Qz-4 docs:Rule of thumb for level of detail to include in MfAD docs (i)
98
CIA.MfAD 11: Documentation & Reporting
Qz-4 docs:Rule of thumb for level of detail to include in MfAD docs (i)
- Strike balance between (too little, too much)
- Considering what (qualitative, quantitative) info best serves user’s (understanding, decision-making)
99
CIA.MfAD 11: Documentation & Reporting
Qz-4 docs:Rule of thumb for level of detail to include in MfAD docs (ii)
SIC
99
CIA.MfAD 11: Documentation & Reporting
Qz-4 docs:Rule of thumb for level of detail to include in MfAD docs (ii)
SIC
- Sophistication of user
- Importance of concept to user
- Complexity of concept
- NOTE: cross-reference with materiality paper
100
E (2018.Fall 26a.) 0.250 pts
CIA.MfAD SUPP:
Qz-5 supp:In general, would MfADs be the same for claim & premium liabilities
100
E (2018.Fall 26a.) 0.250 pts
CIA.MfAD SUPP:
Qz-5 supp:In general, would MfADs be the same for claim & premium liabilities
- No, claim & premium liabilities have different risk profiles
104
E (2015.Fall 26b.) 0.250 pts
CIA.MfAD SUPP:
Qz-5 supp:What is the difference between PV & APV (Present Value & Actuarial Present Value)
104
E (2015.Fall 26b.) 0.250 pts
CIA.MfAD SUPP:
Qz-5 supp:What is the difference between PV & APV (Present Value & Actuarial Present Value)
- PV: accounts only for the time value of money
- APV: accounts for the time value of money AND includes a risk margin for (investment return, claims development, reinsurance recovery)
105
E (2016.Fall 24a.) 0.500 pts
CIA.MfAD SUPP:
Qz-5 supp:Is APV always smaller than the undiscounted liabilities
105
E (2016.Fall 24a.) 0.500 pts
CIA.MfAD SUPP:
Qz-5 supp:Is APV always smaller than the undiscounted liabilities
- NO: it depends on the balance between the discount factor (which decreases APV) & the MfADs (which increase APV)
109
E (2015.Spring 19c.) 0.500 pts
CIA.MfAD SUPP:
supp:In general, what are possible choices for selection of ceded discount rate
109
E (2015.Spring 19c.) 0.500 pts
CIA.MfAD SUPP:
supp:In general, what are possible choices for selection of ceded discount rate
- Risk-free rate
- Rate used by reinsurer to discount the same liabilities
113
E (2014.Fall 21a.) 0.500 pts
CIA.MfAD SUPP:
supp:Identify some risks not explicit in calculation of policy liabilities or MCT capital required (5)
SRFI.ID
113
E (2014.Fall 21a.) 0.500 pts
CIA.MfAD SUPP:
supp:Identify some risks not explicit in calculation of policy liabilities or MCT capital required (5)
SRFI.ID
- Strategic
- Reputational
- Fraud
- Innovation
- International development
- NOTE: CAS answer seemed to include several ‘normal’ risks
129
E (2016.Spring 18b.) 0.500 pts
CCIR.ARINSTR: All
Qz-1 general:Define ‘non-deferrable commission’
commissions..relating/varying..hence
129
E (2016.Spring 18b.) 0.500 pts
CCIR.ARINSTR: All
Qz-1 general:Define ‘non-deferrable commission’
commissions. .relating/varying..hence
* Commissions not exclusively RELATING TO and VARYING with the acquisition of premium HENCE not recoverable over the term of the unexpired policy
130
E (2013.Fall 21b.) 0.250 pts
CCIR.ARINSTR: All
Qz-1 general:Ways of accounting for time value of money in calculating excess (deficiency) ratio
130
E (2013.Fall 21b.) 0.250 pts
CCIR.ARINSTR: All
Qz-1 general:Ways of accounting for time value of money in calculating excess (deficiency) ratio
- Explicitly calculate investment income and add to excess amount
- Discount the undiscounted amounts (back to the SAME POINT IN TIME) to reverse effects of discounting
131
E (2013.Fall 23a.) 0.750 pts
MSA.RATIOS: All
Qz-3 intro:Give examples of company characteristics not captured in MSA ratios (4)
131
E (2013.Fall 23a.) 0.750 pts
MSA.RATIOS: All
Qz-3 intro:Give examples of company characteristics not captured in MSA ratios (4)
- Subjective analysis of market position
- Quality of management
- Quality of reinsurance
- Prospects for growth & innovation
132
E (2013.Fall 23c.) 0.500 pts
MSA.RATIOS: All
Qz-3 intuition:What does diversification score measure
132
E (2013.Fall 23c.) 0.500 pts
MSA.RATIOS: All
Qz-3 intuition:What does diversification score measure
- Measures how closely the insurer tracks the overall Canadian market (in terms of geographic & LOB spread)
- If diversification score > 65 –> company is highly diversified
133
MSA.RATIOS: All
Qz-3 intuition:Give examples of an insurer with a low/high diversification score
133
MSA.RATIOS: All
Qz-3 intuition:Give examples of an insurer with a low/high diversification score
- Low: niche insurers
- High: national, multi-line writers
156
E (2015.Spring 26c.) 0.500 pts
MSA.RATIOS: All
Qz-3 calc:Compare the MSA ratios: ROE ROR
156
E (2015.Spring 26c.) 0.500 pts
MSA.RATIOS: All
Qz-3 calc:Compare the MSA ratios: ROE ROR
- Just give formulas & intuition:
- ROE: return to SHs per unit of capital
- ROR: income relative to revenue-generating capacity
162
E (2018.Spring 12a.iii) 0.250 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-1 intro:Objective of FA (Facility Association)
ensure..for..unable
162
E (2018.Spring 12a.iii) 0.250 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-1 intro:Objective of FA (Facility Association)
ensure..for..unable
- ensure auto insurance availability
- For..
- all owners & licensed drivers
- Who are..
- unable to obtain coverage through the voluntary market
163
E (2018.Spring 12a.i) 0.000 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-1 intro:Description of FA (who created FA, etc..)
created by..non-profit..
163
E (2018.Spring 12a.i) 0.000 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-1 intro:Description of FA (who created FA, etc..)
created by..non-profit..
- Created by insurance industry
- (unincorporated, non-profit) of (ALL auto insurers)
164
E (2018.Spring 12a.ii) 0.000 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-1 intro:Mission of FA
administer, enhance stability, minimize market share
164
E (2018.Spring 12a.ii) 0.000 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-1 intro:Mission of FA
administer, enhance stability, minimize market share
- Administer residual market mechanisms
- Enhance MS (market stability) through RSPs
- Minimize MS (market share), so consumers benefit from private mkt
165
E (2019.Spring 8a.) 0.750 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-1 org:Types of risk-sharing mechanisms administered by FA (3)
165
E (2019.Spring 8a.) 0.750 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-1 org:Types of risk-sharing mechanisms administered by FA (3)
- FARM (Facility Association Residual Market)
- RSPs (Risk-Sharing Pools)
- UAF (Uninsured Automobile Fund)
166
E (2017.Spring 7a.ii) 0.250 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-1 org:Key purpose of FARM
..minimize market share
166
E (2017.Spring 7a.ii) 0.250 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-1 org:Key purpose of FARM
..minimize market share
- Provide coverage for risks that cannot be placed privately (also, FARM seeks to minimize market share)
167
E (2017.Spring 7a.i) 0.250 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-1 org:Key purpose of RSP
market stability
167
E (2017.Spring 7a.i) 0.250 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-1 org:Key purpose of RSP
market stability
- Enhance market stability by allowing insurers to pool bad risks that have passed their own U/W criteria
- (premiums & losses are shared)
168
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-1 org:Key purpose of UAF
..(no,inadeq)..
168
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-1 org:Key purpose of UAF
..(no,inadeq)..
- Provide compensation in cases of (no, inadequate) insurance
169
E (2019.Spring 8b.) 0.750 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-1 org:Where does FA operate its various mechanisms
169
E (2019.Spring 8b.) 0.750 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-1 org:Where does FA operate its various mechanisms
- FARM: everywhere except provinces with public auto (BC,MB,SK,QC)
- RSP: (ON, AB, NS, NB), note that Quebec operates its own RSP, called PRR
- UAF: Atlantic Provs
170
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-1 org:FARM - what are servicing carriers
170
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-1 org:FARM - what are servicing carriers
- Member companies contracted by FA to issue/administer policies and adjust claims
171
E (2017.Fall 13a.) 1.500 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-2 org:(FARM, RSP) areas of operational differences (6)
RA(CC)(P.claims)
171
E (2017.Fall 13a.) 1.500 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-2 org:(FARM, RSP) areas of operational differences (6)
RA(CC)(P.claims)
- RA(CC)(P.claims): memory trick - read it as ‘RACK-P dot Claims’
- R: rates
- A: admission
- C: customer knowledge
- C: # customers placed
- P: participation ratio
- Claims: U/W & claims admin
172
E (2018.Spring 12b.i) 0.500 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-2 org:(FARM, RSP) operational differences regarding - rates
172
E (2018.Spring 12b.i) 0.500 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-2 org:(FARM, RSP) operational differences regarding - rates
- FARM: rates set by FA
- RSP: uses rates of ceding company
173
E (2018.Spring 12b.ii) 0.500 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-2 org:(FARM, RSP) operational differences regarding - admission
173
E (2018.Spring 12b.ii) 0.500 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-2 org:(FARM, RSP) operational differences regarding - admission
- FARM: only if agent/broker can’t place risk with voluntary company
- RSP: use U/W rules of ceding company
174
E (2017.Spring 7b.iii) 0.500 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-2 org:(FARM, RSP) operational differences regarding - customer knowledge
174
E (2017.Spring 7b.iii) 0.500 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-2 org:(FARM, RSP) operational differences regarding - customer knowledge
- FARM: yes
- RSP: no
175
E (2014.Fall 13a.iv) 0.250 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-2 org:(FARM, RSP) operational differences regarding - # customers placed
175
E (2014.Fall 13a.iv) 0.250 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-2 org:(FARM, RSP) operational differences regarding - # customers placed
- FARM: can be unlimited
- RSP: depends on province, usually a % of: (T.V.PPA.NF.TPL) direct car-yrs, that is, (total, voluntary, PPA, non-Fleet, TPL) direct WE
176
E (2016.Fall 10a.) 0.500 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
org:(FARM, RSP) operational differences regarding - participation ratio
176
E (2016.Fall 10a.) 0.500 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
org:(FARM, RSP) operational differences regarding - participation ratio
- FARM: established separately by (jurisdiction, class, AY)
- RSP: (T.V.PPA.NF.TPL) direct EE (i.e. Total, Voluntary, PPA, Non-Fleet, Third Party Liability)
177
E (2017.Spring 7b.ii) 0.500 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-2 org:(FARM, RSP) operational differences regarding - clms admin & U/W
177
E (2017.Spring 7b.ii) 0.500 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-2 org:(FARM, RSP) operational differences regarding - clms admin & U/W
- FARM: uses servicing carriers (or 3rd party)
- RSP: ceding company handles it
178
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-1 Board of Directors & Members:Functions of FA’s board of directors (4)
178
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-1 Board of Directors & Members:Functions of FA’s board of directors (4)
- RATE CHANGES: approve rate changes & filings
- EXPENSES: authorize expenses
- STANDARDS: establish standards for servicing carriers & RSP users
- COMMITTEES: appoint committees & subcommittees
179
E (2017.Spring 7c.) 1.000 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-1 FARM:5 classes of business for determing a member’s participation ratio
179
E (2017.Spring 7c.) 1.000 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-1 FARM:5 classes of business for determing a member’s participation ratio
- FARM:
- (1) PPA (Non-Fleet, Non-Pool)
- (2) all auto EXCLUDING (1) and RSPs
- RSPs
- (3) RSP in Ontario (except cat claim funds for ON accident benefits from insolvent insurer)
- (4) RSPs in (AB, NB, NS)
- UAF (Uninsured Automobile Fund):
- (5) UM claims + the ON cat claim fund excluded from (3)
180
E (2018.Spring 12c.) 0.750 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-3 RSP:What are the minimum requirements for risk-sharing pool transfer eligibility (5)
180
E (2018.Spring 12c.) 0.750 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-3 RSP:What are the minimum requirements for risk-sharing pool transfer eligibility (5)
- PPA only
- Insured can’t be eligible for FARM
- Policy must satisfy statutory minimum coverage requirements
- Insurer must follow proper classification & rating, and provide documentation
- Insurer must use approved rates
181
E (2016.Fall 10c.i) 0.500 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-3 RSP:Describe how RSP operates regarding actual transfer of premium from insurer to pool
181
E (2016.Fall 10c.i) 0.500 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-3 RSP:Describe how RSP operates regarding actual transfer of premium from insurer to pool
- Transferred premium = premium charged NET OF premium payment service charges
182
E (2016.Fall 10c.ii) 0.500 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-3 RSP:Describe premium reimbursement from pool to insurer
182
E (2016.Fall 10c.ii) 0.500 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-3 RSP:Describe premium reimbursement from pool to insurer
- Reimbursement = % of written premium (as an expense allowance)
- Includes:
- claims adjustment
- LAE, acquisition
- Operating expenses
- Excludes: taxes, license, fees
183
E (2018.Spring 12d.i) 0.250 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-3 ON RSP:In Ontario, why is only 85% of each transferred risk covered
to maintain incentives
183
E (2018.Spring 12d.i) 0.250 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-3 ON RSP:In Ontario, why is only 85% of each transferred risk covered
to maintain incentives
- Insurer retains incentives to (manage claims well, use effective U/W, maintain adequate pricing)
- Otherwise they could simply off-load bad consequences of poor management
- Note that FARM transfers 100% of risk
184
E (2018.Spring 12d.ii) 0.250 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-3 ON RSP:In Ontario, why is there a limit of 5% of (voluntary, PPA, Non-Fleet exposures) that can be transferred to the pool
184
E (2018.Spring 12d.ii) 0.250 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-3 ON RSP:In Ontario, why is there a limit of 5% of (voluntary, PPA, Non-Fleet exposures) that can be transferred to the pool
- Same as b.i + prevents insurer from sending all new policies to pool for first yr, then cherry-picking renewals from pool in yr 2
185
FA.DUTIL: ALL
AB RSP:What are the 2 types of RSPs in Alberta
185
FA.DUTIL: ALL
AB RSP:What are the 2 types of RSPs in Alberta
- GRID:
- for risks subject to statutory maximum premium
- Non-GRID:
- for any risks the insurer feels are under-priced (similar to the Ontario RSP)
186
FA.DUTIL: ALL
AB RSP:What is the difference between the Alberta GRID & non-GRID regarding pool transfer limits
186
FA.DUTIL: ALL
AB RSP:What is the difference between the Alberta GRID & non-GRID regarding pool transfer limits
- GRID:
- no limit on # risks transferred
- Non-GRID:
- limit = 4% x (Total, Voluntary, Non-Fleet, PPA) written car-yrs
187
FA.DUTIL: ALL
AB RSP:What is the reason for the difference in transfer limits between the Alberta GRID & non-GRID pools
187
FA.DUTIL: ALL
AB RSP:What is the reason for the difference in transfer limits between the Alberta GRID & non-GRID pools
- GRID:
- because Alberta law requires insurer to accept risks for which they have no control over price
- Non-GRID:
- because Alberta law has a take-all-comers rule
188
E (2018.Fall 10.) 1.500 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-3 ON vs AB:Identify differences between the ON and AB RSPs
188
E (2018.Fall 10.) 1.500 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-3 ON vs AB:Identify differences between the ON and AB RSPs
- Difference 1:
- ON has 1 RSP
- AB has 2 RSPs (GRID & non-GRID)
- Difference 2:
- ON RSP covers 85% of ceded risk
- AB RSPs cover 100% of ceded risk
- Difference 3:
- ON has a 5% limit on risks that can be ceded
- AB GRID has no limit (non-GRID has 4% limit)
189
FA.DUTIL: ALL
NB RSP:Describe the New Brunswick RSP (who it serves, condition for transfer, transfer limit)
189
FA.DUTIL: ALL
NB RSP:Describe the New Brunswick RSP (who it serves, condition for transfer, transfer limit)
- Who it serves:
- New Brunswick risks with New Brunswick insurers
- Transfer condition:
- Household must have at least 1 recently licensed driver with a good driving record
- Limit
- = 8% x (Total, Voluntary, Non-Fleet, PPA) direct written exposures
190
FA.DUTIL: ALL
NS RSP:Describe the Nova Scotia RSP (who it serves, condition for transfer, transfer limit)
190
FA.DUTIL: ALL
NS RSP:Describe the Nova Scotia RSP (who it serves, condition for transfer, transfer limit)
- Who it serves:
- Nova Scotia risks with Nova Scotia insurers
- (inexperienced drivers)
- Transfer condition:
- At least 1 household member is a driver with < 6 years experience with no accidents/convictions
- Limit
- = no limit
- Nova Scotia risks with Nova Scotia insurers
191
E (2015.Fall 7d.) 0.500 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-3 misc:How is the RSP used to lower total LR (Loss Ratio)
191
E (2015.Fall 7d.) 0.500 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-3 misc:How is the RSP used to lower total LR (Loss Ratio)
- Cede policies to RSP that have a higher LR than the RSP average
- Then other companies will end up subsidizing the losses on these policies
- ALSO: ceding the maximum amount lowers PR for RSP
192
E (2015.Spring 12.) 0.500 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-3 misc:Is it possible to sustain a RSP running a profit
192
E (2015.Spring 12.) 0.500 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-3 misc:Is it possible to sustain a RSP running a profit
- No: members only cede worst (unprofitable) risks so over time time the pool would become unprofitable (not sustainable)
194
E (2014.Spring 9a.) 0.250 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-3 misc:How does a rate freeze (at inadequate rates) impact availability of coverage
194
E (2014.Spring 9a.) 0.250 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-3 misc:How does a rate freeze (at inadequate rates) impact availability of coverage
- Availability for that class is reduced - insurers would stop accepting risks because they are unprofitable
196
E (2013.Fall 7.) 1.000 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-3 misc:Justify ROE = 15% for high-risk business (vs regulator’s ROE of 10%) (2)
196
E (2013.Fall 7.) 1.000 pts
FA.DUTIL: ALL
Qz-3 misc:Justify ROE = 15% for high-risk business (vs regulator’s ROE of 10%) (2)
- Higher risk justifies higher returns to compensate
- Using lower ROE may cause insurer’s not offer product (reduces availability for consumer)
200
E (2016.Fall 27e.) 0.750 pts
CIA.PrLiabs 1: INTRODUCTION
Qz-1 defns:Identify components of the premium liabilities (or policy liabilities in connection to UPR) (4+2)
clms.re.main.ContComm
200
E (2016.Fall 27e.) 0.750 pts
CIA.PrLiabs 1: INTRODUCTION
Qz-1 defns:Identify components of the premium liabilities (or policy liabilities in connection to UPR) (4+2)
clms.re.main.ContComm
According to the definition in Section 1 of the source text:
- Policy liabilities in connection with unearned premium (premium liabilities) are:
- liabilities for future events..
- relating to the APV on the unexpired portion of the policies in-force at the valuation date..
- consisting of:
- future claim & adjustment expense
- reinsurance costs (net only)
- maintenance costs
- But this definition is incomplete and should also include:
- contingent commissions
- The examiner’s report also accepted these other answers:
- PDR or DPAE
- premium adjustments for swing-rated or retro-rated policies
201
E (2014.Fall 25b.i) 0.250 pts
CIA.PrLiabs 1: INTRODUCTION
Qz-1 defns:Define ‘DPAE asset’ (Deferred Policy Acquistion Expense) & give examples of such costs (3)
portion..incurred..
201
E (2014.Fall 25b.i) 0.250 pts
CIA.PrLiabs 1: INTRODUCTION
Qz-1 defns:Define ‘DPAE asset’ (Deferred Policy Acquistion Expense) & give examples of such costs (3)
portion..incurred..
- An ASSET that is the portion of prepaid acquisition expenses related to the UNEXPIRED PORTION OF THE POLICY & incurred when the policy issued
- Example:
- commissions,
- TLF (Taxes, Licenses, Fees),
- advertising
202
E (2014.Fall 25b.ii) 0.250 pts
CIA.PrLiabs 1: INTRODUCTION
Qz-1 defns:What is the purpose of DPAE asset
recognizes..overPT
202
E (2014.Fall 25b.ii) 0.250 pts
CIA.PrLiabs 1: INTRODUCTION
Qz-1 defns:What is the purpose of DPAE asset
recognizes..overPT
- To RECOGNIZE prepaid expenses over policy term PROVIDED such costs are recoverable from equity in UPR
- Matches premiums with expenses
203
CIA.PrLiabs 1: INTRODUCTION
Qz-1 defns:Define ‘UEComm’ (Unearned Reinsurance Commissions)
203
CIA.PrLiabs 1: INTRODUCTION
Qz-1 defns:Define ‘UEComm’ (Unearned Reinsurance Commissions)
- A LIABILITY arising from uneared commission on Reinsurance ceded FOR the unexpired portion of the ceded policy
204
CIA.PrLiabs 1: INTRODUCTION
Qz-1 defns:Define ‘PDR’ (Premium Deficiency Reserve)
204
CIA.PrLiabs 1: INTRODUCTION
Qz-1 defns:Define ‘PDR’ (Premium Deficiency Reserve)
- A LIABILITY arising when (equity in the NET UPR) < 0
205
E (2018.Fall 26c.) 0.250 pts
CIA.PrLiabs 1: INTRODUCTION
Qz-1 defns:True or false: if there is a premium deficiency then DPAE must = 0
205
E (2018.Fall 26c.) 0.250 pts
CIA.PrLiabs 1: INTRODUCTION
Qz-1 defns:True or false: if there is a premium deficiency then DPAE must = 0
- True:
- ==> one of PDR & DPAE is always 0
- ==> if PDR > 0 there is a premium deficiency hence no DPAE asset
- ==> if DPAE > 0 then unearned premium is sufficient to cover premium liabilities hence no PDR is required
207
E (2019.Spring 14d.) 0.500 pts
CIA.PrLiabs APPENDICES: CALCULATING DPAE/PDR
Qz-3 calc:Methods for estimating the loss ratio for premium liabilities (4)
RICE
207
E (2019.Spring 14d.) 0.500 pts
CIA.PrLiabs APPENDICES: CALCULATING DPAE/PDR
Qz-3 calc:Methods for estimating the loss ratio for premium liabilities (4)
RICE
- RICE
- Ratemaking analysis
- Industry benchmarks
- Claims liabilities loss ratio
- Expert judgment
- (in other words, just ask Alice)
210
E (2019.Spring 14c.) 0.750 pts
CIA.PrLiabs APPENDICES: CALCULATING DPAE/PDR
Qz-4 calc:Explain the impact on ROE if DPAE is reduced
210
E (2019.Spring 14c.) 0.750 pts
CIA.PrLiabs APPENDICES: CALCULATING DPAE/PDR
Qz-4 calc:Explain the impact on ROE if DPAE is reduced
- Recall:
- ROE = (net income) / equity
- Now:
- If DPAE decreases then equity decreases
- (because equity = assets - liabilities)
- If equity decreases then ROE increases But
- If DPAE decreases then more premium acquisition is recognized in the current period
- If more premium acquisition is recognized then (net income) decreases
- If (net income decreases) then ROE decreases
- If DPAE decreases then equity decreases
- Conclusion:
- Overall effect is uncertain
213
E (2013.Fall 20b.) 0.750 pts
CIA.PrLiabs APPENDICES: CALCULATING DPAE/PDR
calc:How can evaluating by LOB then summing give different values for ‘equity in the unearned premium’
213
E (2013.Fall 20b.) 0.750 pts
CIA.PrLiabs APPENDICES: CALCULATING DPAE/PDR
calc:How can evaluating by LOB then summing give different values for ‘equity in the unearned premium’
- Basically doing LOBs together means that DPAE for one LOB can offset PDR for another
- Then just relate to given numbers
214
E (2017.Fall 9a.) 0.750 pts
IBC.FLOOD 1: Introduction
Qz-1 ExecSumm:Specific reasons for non-coverage of overland flooding (3)
adverse.under.maps
214
E (2017.Fall 9a.) 0.750 pts
IBC.FLOOD 1: Introduction
Qz-1 ExecSumm:Specific reasons for non-coverage of overland flooding (3)
adverse.under.maps
- Adverse selection (if offered, would be too expensive)
- Govt under-investment in risk (planning, mitigation)
- Lack of effective flood hazard maps
215
IBC.FLOOD 1: Introduction
Qz-1 ExecSumm:Examples of government under-investment in flood management (4)
BAIL (me out!)
215
IBC.FLOOD 1: Introduction
Qz-1 ExecSumm:Examples of government under-investment in flood management (4)
BAIL (me out!)
- BUILDING codes (obsolete)
- ASSET management (poor)
- INFRASTRUCTURE (lack of)
- LAND-use planning (inadequate)
216
E (2019.Spring 9c.) 2.000 pts
IBC.FLOOD 1: Introduction
Qz-1 ExecSumm:Preconditions for strong flood risk management culture (4)
maps.IA$
216
E (2019.Spring 9c.) 2.000 pts
IBC.FLOOD 1: Introduction
Qz-1 ExecSumm:Preconditions for strong flood risk management culture (4)
maps.IA$
- FLOOD MAPS: for planning & risk management
- INFRASTRUCTURE: levies, sewers
- AWARENESS: of [risk, risk mitigation, financial management] by policyholders
- INCENTIVES: for Individual risk mitigation should be encouraged by limited govt compensation $s
217
IBC.FLOOD 1: Introduction
Qz-1 intro:Most common type of natural disaster in Canada
217
IBC.FLOOD 1: Introduction
Qz-1 intro:Most common type of natural disaster in Canada
- Overland flooding
218
IBC.FLOOD 1: Introduction
Qz-1 Fld FinMgmt (intro):Trends making financial management of floods difficult (5)
growth (popn,..), concentration, weather, building, under-investment
218
IBC.FLOOD 1: Introduction
Qz-1 Fld FinMgmt (intro):Trends making financial management of floods difficult (5)
growth (popn,..), concentration, weather, building, under-investment
- GROWTH (popn | density | asset values)
- CONCENTRATED development in flood-prone areas
- Severe WEATHER
- Vulnerability due to obsolete BUILDING codes
- UNDER investment
219
IBC.FLOOD 1: Introduction
Qz-1 Fld FinMgmt (Ins):Coverage availability
219
IBC.FLOOD 1: Introduction
Qz-1 Fld FinMgmt (Ins):Coverage availability
- Residential:
- Overland flooding: no
- Sewer: yes, by endorsement
- Auto, commercial:
- Overland flooding: yes
220
E (2016.Fall 8d.) 1.000 pts
IBC.FLOOD 1: Introduction
Qz-1 Fld FinMgmt (Ins):Why do insurers often cover uninsured floods (2)
220
E (2016.Fall 8d.) 1.000 pts
IBC.FLOOD 1: Introduction
Qz-1 Fld FinMgmt (Ins):Why do insurers often cover uninsured floods (2)
- Multi-peril causes from sewer (covered) & overland flooding (not covered)
- Difficult to separate so insurers just pay everything
- Avoid reputational damage & political pressure
221
IBC.FLOOD 1: Introduction
Qz-1 Fld FinMgmt (Ins):Why is overland flooding not insurable (2)
insurability requires: RUU
221
IBC.FLOOD 1: Introduction
Qz-1 Fld FinMgmt (Ins):Why is overland flooding not insurable (2)
insurability requires: RUU
- Insurability requires (Randomness, Uncertainty, Uncorrelated risks)
- Floods are (predictable, correlated) & large # of properties are affected at the same time
222
E (2019.Spring 9b.) 1.000 pts
IBC.FLOOD 2: Case Studies
Qz-2 variables:Categories for international flood management approaches (6 variables)
m(pur.pak.price)sGov
222
E (2019.Spring 9b.) 1.000 pts
IBC.FLOOD 2: Case Studies
Qz-2 variables:Categories for international flood management approaches (6 variables)
m(pur.pak.price)sGov
- MODEL:
- Public or private
- PURCHASE:
- Mandatory or voluntary
- PACKAGING:
- Bundled or optional
- PRICING:
- Set by government or risk-based pricing
- SUBSIDIES:
- Provided by other policyholders or through taxes
- GOVERNMENT ROLE:
- Insurer or enabler
223
E (2018.Spring 9a.) 1.000 pts
IBC.FLOOD 2: Case Studies
variables:Categories for international flood management approaches (6 variables)
m(pur.pak.price)sGov
223
E (2018.Spring 9a.) 1.000 pts
IBC.FLOOD 2: Case Studies
variables:Categories for international flood management approaches (6 variables)
m(pur.pak.price)sGov
- MODEL:
- Public or private
- PURCHASE:
- Mandatory or voluntary
- PACKAGING:
- Bundled or optional
- PRICING:
- Set by government or risk-based pricing
- SUBSIDIES:
- Provided by other policyholders or through taxes
- GOVERNMENT ROLE:
- Insurer or enabler
225
IBC.FLOOD 2: Case Studies
Qz-2 UK:Describe the U.K. flood insurance program with respect to the 6 variables
225
IBC.FLOOD 2: Case Studies
Qz-2 UK:Describe the U.K. flood insurance program with respect to the 6 variables
- Private
- Voluntary
- Bundled with homeowner’s insurance
- Uses risk-based-pricing
- Cross-subsidized by policyholders
- Government is an enabler through (risk mitigation, flood mapping, zoning)
- UPTAKE = 95%
226
IBC.FLOOD 2: Case Studies
Qz-2 UK:U.K. flood insurance - purpose (3)
SA25
226
IBC.FLOOD 2: Case Studies
Qz-2 UK:U.K. flood insurance - purpose (3)
SA25
- Sustainability
- Maintain AA (affordability & availability)
- 25-yr transition to full private risk-based pricing
227
IBC.FLOOD 2: Case Studies
Qz-2 UK:U.K. flood insurance - how does it work (4)
target.exclude
227
IBC.FLOOD 2: Case Studies
Qz-2 UK:U.K. flood insurance - how does it work (4)
target.exclude
- Target only high-risk properties (identified through risk-mapping)
- Excludes homes built after 2009 to discourage building in high-risk areas
- (if insurer’s risk-based-price is > price ceiling) (charge ceiling & cede to flood reinsurance)
- (if insurer’s risk-based-price is ≤ ceiling) insurer may retain risk
228
IBC.FLOOD 2: Case Studies
Qz-2 UK:U.K. flood insurance - how is affordability ensured
228
IBC.FLOOD 2: Case Studies
Qz-2 UK:U.K. flood insurance - how is affordability ensured
- Price ceilings
229
IBC.FLOOD 2: Case Studies
Qz-2 UK:U.K. flood insurance - what is the role of Govt (3)
ceilings.FinRelief.inv
229
IBC.FLOOD 2: Case Studies
Qz-2 UK:U.K. flood insurance - what is the role of Govt (3)
ceilings.FinRelief.inv
- Set price ceilings
- Financial relief for cats exceeding pool capacity
- Infrastructure investment
230
E (2019.Spring 10b.ii) 0.750 pts
IBC.FLOOD 2: Case Studies
Qz-2 U.S.:Evaluate the U.S. National Flood Insurance Program using criteria for evaluating government programs
230
E (2019.Spring 10b.ii) 0.750 pts
IBC.FLOOD 2: Case Studies
Qz-2 U.S.:Evaluate the U.S. National Flood Insurance Program using criteria for evaluating government programs
- Is it insurance or welfare:
- it is insurance because people pay premiums and only covered losses are paid out
- Is it necessary:
- yes, due to climate change and that private flood insurance is insufficient
- Is it efficient:
- yes, costs are lower because there are no commissions or advertising costs
231
IBC.FLOOD 3: Best Practices
Qz-3 InsR Role:Why is having a flood insurance program better than Govt disaster relief
indemnifies, incentivizes
231
IBC.FLOOD 3: Best Practices
Qz-3 InsR Role:Why is having a flood insurance program better than Govt disaster relief
indemnifies, incentivizes
- Insurance INDEMNIFIES whereas Govt provides basic relief only
- Insurance INCENTIVIZES through risk-based pricing whereas Govt relief is taxpayer funded, so no individual incentive for risk-mitigation
232
E (2018.Fall 11b.) 1.000 pts
IBC.FLOOD 3: Best Practices
Qz-3 InsR Role:Cause & remedies for low uptake of flood insurance
232
E (2018.Fall 11b.) 1.000 pts
IBC.FLOOD 3: Best Practices
Qz-3 InsR Role:Cause & remedies for low uptake of flood insurance
- CAUSE:
- Adverse selection
- REMEDIES:
- Make mandatory
- Bundle with other products/perils
- Taxpayers subsidies for high-risk insureds
- Public/government admnistration
233
E (2019.Spring 9a.) 0.500 pts
IBC.FLOOD 3: Best Practices
Qz-3 InsR Role:Advantages of bundling flood insurance
233
E (2019.Spring 9a.) 0.500 pts
IBC.FLOOD 3: Best Practices
Qz-3 InsR Role:Advantages of bundling flood insurance
- Higher uptake
- Reduces adverse selection (since not only high-risk insureds will purchase)
- Promotes affordability (cross-subsidization of high-risk insureds by low-risk insureds)
234
IBC.FLOOD 3: Best Practices
Qz-3 InsR Role:State 1 advantage & 1 disadvantage of bundling flood insurance for low-risk policy holders
234
IBC.FLOOD 3: Best Practices
Qz-3 InsR Role:State 1 advantage & 1 disadvantage of bundling flood insurance for low-risk policy holders
- DISADVANTAGE: low-risk would subsidize high-risk
- ADVANTAGE: weather trends mean previously low-risk areas may suffer a flood disaster, and bundling ensures low-risk areas are covered
235
IBC.FLOOD 3: Best Practices
Qz-3 InsR Role:Role of insurer in private flood insurance
UPEC
235
IBC.FLOOD 3: Best Practices
Qz-3 InsR Role:Role of insurer in private flood insurance
UPEC
- U/W: distinguish low & medium rsks from HIGH risks
- PRICING: use risk-based pricing
- EDUCATION: educate policyholders regardings risks, financial management, and mitigation
- CLAIMS: pay covered losses in timely manner
236
IBC.FLOOD 3: Best Practices
Qz-3 Govt Role:Role of Govt in supporting private flood insurance (4)
MESA
236
IBC.FLOOD 3: Best Practices
Qz-3 Govt Role:Role of Govt in supporting private flood insurance (4)
MESA
- MITIGATION: promote mitigation of risk (structural: infrastructure,…) & (non-structural: zoning,…)
- EDUCATION: regarding awareness & management of flood risk
- SUBSIDIES: provide subsidies to high-risk households where risk-based pricing is unaffordable
- ASSESSMENT: of risk through accurate flood plain maps
237
E (2018.Fall 11a.i) 1.000 pts
IBC.FLOOD 3: Best Practices
Qz-3 Govt Role:Describe 2 advantages & 2 disadvantages of a public & mandatory flood insurance system
237
E (2018.Fall 11a.i) 1.000 pts
IBC.FLOOD 3: Best Practices
Qz-3 Govt Role:Describe 2 advantages & 2 disadvantages of a public & mandatory flood insurance system
- public & manadatory:
- Advantages:
- High participation
- Affordability (high participation spreads risk & lowers cost)
- Disadvantages:
- Government rates may not be actuarially sound
- Low risk subsudizes high risk (unfair)
- Advantages:
238
E (2018.Fall 11a.ii) 1.000 pts
IBC.FLOOD 3: Best Practices
Qz-3 Govt Role:Describe 2 advantages & 2 disadvantages of a private & voluntary flood insurance system
238
E (2018.Fall 11a.ii) 1.000 pts
IBC.FLOOD 3: Best Practices
Qz-3 Govt Role:Describe 2 advantages & 2 disadvantages of a private & voluntary flood insurance system
- private & voluntary:
- Advantages:
- Risk-based pricing means rate are actuarially sound
- Risk-based pricing incentivizes policyholder to mitigate risk (& receive reduced rates)
- Disadvantages:
- Adverse selection (only high-risk customers will purchase)
- Rates may be unaffordable (due to adverse selection)
- Advantages:
239
E (2017.Fall 9c.) 0.500 pts
IBC.FLOOD 3: Best Practices
Qz-3 Govt Role:Why may Govt still need to supplement private flood insurance
239
E (2017.Fall 9c.) 0.500 pts
IBC.FLOOD 3: Best Practices
Qz-3 Govt Role:Why may Govt still need to supplement private flood insurance
- Private insurance may have coverage limits that are exceeded in a major disaster (so Govt pays amount not covered)
- Govt may subsidize otherwise uninsurable risks through taxation
240
IBC.FLOOD 3: Best Practices
Qz-3 CdnImpact:How can flood insurance unaffordability for high-risk customers be addressed (2)
bundle.sub
240
IBC.FLOOD 3: Best Practices
Qz-3 CdnImpact:How can flood insurance unaffordability for high-risk customers be addressed (2)
bundle.sub
- BUNDLING: bundle flood with standard homeowner’s policy (low-risk customers subsidize high-risk)
- SUBSIDIES: Govt can provide subsidies through taxation
241
IBC.FLOOD 3: Best Practices
Qz-3 CdnImpact:How is Canada starting to address flood management issues
EAP – NDMP
241
IBC.FLOOD 3: Best Practices
Qz-3 CdnImpact:How is Canada starting to address flood management issues
EAP – NDMP
- 2014 EAP (Economic Action Plan) proposes developing NDMP (National Disaster Mitigation Plan)
242
IBC.FLOOD 3: Best Practices
Qz-3 CdnImpact:NDMP objectives (general)
242
IBC.FLOOD 3: Best Practices
Qz-3 CdnImpact:NDMP objectives (general)
- Proactive approach to disaster risk management
- Reduce impact of natural catastrophes on Canadians
245
E (2016.Spring 11c.) 0.250 pts
IBC.FLOOD 3: Best Practices
Qz-3 calc:Identify policy conditions to discourage development in a flood plain (2)
245
E (2016.Spring 11c.) 0.250 pts
IBC.FLOOD 3: Best Practices
Qz-3 calc:Identify policy conditions to discourage development in a flood plain (2)
- Require flood protection for policy activation
- Large, risk-based deductible
246
CHEV.AGRIC 1,2: INTRO & GLOSSARY
Qz-1 intro:What is GF2 (Growing Forward 2)
(f-p-t) framework
246
CHEV.AGRIC 1,2: INTRO & GLOSSARY
Qz-1 intro:What is GF2 (Growing Forward 2)
(f-p-t) framework
- Comprehensive (federal-provincial-territorial) framework for (Canada’s agricultural sector)
247
E (2018.Spring 8a.) 0.750 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 1,2: INTRO & GLOSSARY
Qz-1 intro:What are the BRMs (Business Risk Management) programs in GF2 (6)
ISIR, AdvPmts, WLPIP
247
E (2018.Spring 8a.) 0.750 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 1,2: INTRO & GLOSSARY
Qz-1 intro:What are the BRMs (Business Risk Management) programs in GF2 (6)
ISIR, AdvPmts, WLPIP
- Agri-Insurance (protects against Production Loss)
- Agri-Stability (protects against Margin Decline)
- Agri-Investment (Investment Fund for small losses)
- Agri-Recovery (protects against Disaster)
- Advance Payments Program (low-interest loans for Cash Flow management)
- WLPIP - Western Livestock Price Insurance Program (protects against flucutuations in livestock prices)
248
CHEV.AGRIC 1,2: INTRO & GLOSSARY
Qz-1 intro:How are the BRMs (Business Risk Management) programs funded
248
CHEV.AGRIC 1,2: INTRO & GLOSSARY
Qz-1 intro:How are the BRMs (Business Risk Management) programs funded
- (BRM: 1,2,3,6): Agri-Insurance, Agri-Stability, Agri-Investment, WLPIP:
- FUNDED BY (producer-provincial-federal)
- (BRM 4): Agri-Recovery:
- FUNDED BY (provincial-federal)
- (BRM 5): Advance Payment Program (5):
- FUNDED BY (federal)
249
E (2017.Spring 8a.) 0.250 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 1,2: INTRO & GLOSSARY
Qz-1 glossary:Probable yield
expected..measures..
249
E (2017.Spring 8a.) 0.250 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 1,2: INTRO & GLOSSARY
Qz-1 glossary:Probable yield
expected. .measures..
* Expected yield of an agricultural product (measures coverage in yield-based plans)
250
CHEV.AGRIC 1,2: INTRO & GLOSSARY
Qz-1 glossary:Balance-back factor
250
CHEV.AGRIC 1,2: INTRO & GLOSSARY
Qz-1 glossary:Balance-back factor
- (factor applied to aggregate premium) to correct for (individual discounts & surcharges)
251
CHEV.AGRIC 1,2: INTRO & GLOSSARY
Qz-1 glossary:Risk-splitting benefits
ind..subset..
251
CHEV.AGRIC 1,2: INTRO & GLOSSARY
Qz-1 glossary:Risk-splitting benefits
ind. .subset..
* Indemnity based on a subset of production (for a given agricultural product)
252
E (2018.Fall 12b.i) 0.250 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 1,2: INTRO & GLOSSARY
Qz-1 glossary:Reinsurance load
252
E (2018.Fall 12b.i) 0.250 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 1,2: INTRO & GLOSSARY
Qz-1 glossary:Reinsurance load
- To account for reinsurance costs when the province purchases reinsurance
253
E (2015.Fall 10a.i) 0.250 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 1,2: INTRO & GLOSSARY
Qz-1 glossary:Uncertainty load (or risk margin)
lim(DAM)
253
E (2015.Fall 10a.i) 0.250 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 1,2: INTRO & GLOSSARY
Qz-1 glossary:Uncertainty load (or risk margin)
lim(DAM)
- A load in rates to account for limitations in (data, assumptions, methods)
254
E (2018.Fall 12b.ii) 0.250 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 1,2: INTRO & GLOSSARY
Qz-1 glossary:Self-sustainability load
deficit.surplus
254
E (2018.Fall 12b.ii) 0.250 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 1,2: INTRO & GLOSSARY
Qz-1 glossary:Self-sustainability load
deficit. surplus
* A load in rates to recover deficits & maintain surplus
255
E (2015.Fall 10b.) 0.500 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 1,2: INTRO & GLOSSARY
Qz-1 glossary:Reason for (uncertainty, self-sustainability) load
255
E (2015.Fall 10b.) 0.500 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 1,2: INTRO & GLOSSARY
Qz-1 glossary:Reason for (uncertainty, self-sustainability) load
- Uncertainty load: covers future contingencies
- Self-sustainability load: recovers past deficits
256
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-2 intro:Actuarial Certification - what is the content of such certification
ProbYld.Pricing.Self-Sust
256
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-2 intro:Actuarial Certification - what is the content of such certification
ProbYld.Pricing.Self-Sust
- The Actuarial Certification should provide an opinion on:
- METHOD for calculating probable yield (for deriving exposure for yield-based plans)
- METHOD for pricing
- SELF-SUSTAINABILITY of program
257
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-2 intro:Actuarial Certification - why is it required
257
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-2 intro:Actuarial Certification - why is it required
- For federal funding
258
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-2 intro:Actuarial Certification - how often is it required
258
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-2 intro:Actuarial Certification - how often is it required
- Frequency is determined using a RISK-BASED approach
- At least every 5 yrs
259
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-2 intro:Actuarial Certification - what triggers the requirement of a new certification (2)
chgs(PD.M).new
259
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-2 intro:Actuarial Certification - what triggers the requirement of a new certification (2)
chgs(PD.M).new
- Significant changes in program design or methods
- New crops
260
E (2018.Fall 12a.) 0.250 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-2 regulation:Key elements of Canadian Agri-Insurance Regulation (4)
260
E (2018.Fall 12a.) 0.250 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-2 regulation:Key elements of Canadian Agri-Insurance Regulation (4)
- Minimum deductible = 10%
- Probable yields must reflect DEMONSTRATED production capabilities (to prevent over-insurance)
- Rates must be ACTUARIALLY SOUND (include self-sustainability load + relevant costs)
- Actuarial Certification is required (if uncertified, then federal govt may reduce premium contributions to province)
261
E (2016.Spring 8a.i) 0.500 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-3 types of AgriIns plans:Identify the main types of Agri-Insurance plans & provide examples of each
y(I-C).ny(WAM)
261
E (2016.Spring 8a.i) 0.500 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-3 types of AgriIns plans:Identify the main types of Agri-Insurance plans & provide examples of each
y(I-C).ny(WAM)
- Yield-based plan (individual OR collective)
- Non-yield-based plan (weather derivative, acre-based, mortality for livestock)
262
E (2016.Spring 8a.ii) 0.500 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-3 types of plans:When does yield-based plan pay
262
E (2016.Spring 8a.ii) 0.500 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-3 types of plans:When does yield-based plan pay
- Pays when: (individual OR collective production) < (production guarantee) FOR a specified agricultural product
263
E (2016.Spring 8b.i) 0.500 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-3 types of plans:What is the coverage trigger for a non-yield based, weather derivative plan
263
E (2016.Spring 8b.i) 0.500 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-3 types of plans:What is the coverage trigger for a non-yield based, weather derivative plan
- TRIGGER: when pre-determined meteorological thresholds are breached REGARDLESS of actual production
264
E (2016.Spring 8b.ii) 0.500 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-3 types of plans:What is the coverage trigger for a non-yield based, tree mortality plan
264
E (2016.Spring 8b.ii) 0.500 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-3 types of plans:What is the coverage trigger for a non-yield based, tree mortality plan
- TRIGGER: when more than a certain % of trees are destroyed by an insured peril REGARDLESS of actual production
265
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-3 probable yields:What is the formula for probable yield in a yield-based plan (easy - just say it in words)
265
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-3 probable yields:What is the formula for probable yield in a yield-based plan (easy - just say it in words)
- Average of yearly production yields
266
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-3 probable yields:Adjustments to historical yields - what is the purpose of such adjustments
266
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-3 probable yields:Adjustments to historical yields - what is the purpose of such adjustments
- To reflect current production capability (similar to on-leveling premiums)
267
E (2017.Spring 8b.) 1.000 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-3 probable yields:Adjustments to historical yields - what are the triggers for making such adjustments (5)
(changes in farming, program, data), perennials, crop quality
267
E (2017.Spring 8b.) 1.000 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-3 probable yields:Adjustments to historical yields - what are the triggers for making such adjustments (5)
(changes in farming, program, data), perennials, crop quality
- A change in farming or management practices
- A change in insurance program design
- A change in data source or data collection technique
- Maturity of perennials (yield would vary over their life cycle)
- Quality variation of crop from year-to-year (due to insured perils or other cause)
268
E (2017.Spring 8c.i) 1.000 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-3 probable yields:Stabilizing methods for probable yields - identify the stabilizing methods (6)
Alice Can Select Cool Smoothing Techniques
268
E (2017.Spring 8c.i) 1.000 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-3 probable yields:Stabilizing methods for probable yields - identify the stabilizing methods (6)
Alice Can Select Cool Smoothing Techniques
>Alice Can Select Cool Smoothing Techniques:
- Average:
- Use a long-term average of historical yields (15-25yrs)
- Cap:
- cap data to limit year-over-year changes
- Split:
- split basic & excess coverage since excess coverage is more volatile
- Cushion:
- Give data outliers smaller weights when averaging (to cushion their effect)
- Smooth:
- Apply floors/ceilings to data points (to smooth the effect of outliers)
- Transition (rules):
- Use transition rules after introducing a new yield method (to smooth the transition)
269
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
probable yields:How do you calculate probable yield given NO missing years of data
269
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
probable yields:How do you calculate probable yield given NO missing years of data
- Probable yield = avg ( production yield over all years )
270
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
probable yields:How do you calculate probable yield when there ARE missing years of data
270
CHEV.AGRIC 4a: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
probable yields:How do you calculate probable yield when there ARE missing years of data
- Probable yield = avg (production yield over all years)
- But FILL IN missing years with: (Provincial Avg x index)
- Where INDEX = avg ( Production Yld / Provincial Yld ) USING yrs for which producer data is available
271
E (2016.Spring 8c.i) 0.250 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4b: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-4 prod G&L:Formulas - yield-based plans: (PG, L) or Production Guarantee & Liability
271
E (2016.Spring 8c.i) 0.250 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4b: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-4 prod G&L:Formulas - yield-based plans: (PG, L) or Production Guarantee & Liability
- PG = APC
- L$ = APC x (insured unit price)
- Where
A = insured Area
P = Probable yield per unit of area
C = coverage level %
272
CHEV.AGRIC 4b: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-4 prod G&L:Formulas - non-yield-based plans: (PG, L) or Production Guarantee & Liability
272
CHEV.AGRIC 4b: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-4 prod G&L:Formulas - non-yield-based plans: (PG, L) or Production Guarantee & Liability
- PG formula is not applicable since there is NO production guarantee for non-yield-based plans
- L$ = (# insured units) x (insured unit price)
273
E (2016.Spring 8c.ii) 0.250 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4b: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-4 indemnity:Yield-based plan - formulas: indemnity $s
273
E (2016.Spring 8c.ii) 0.250 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4b: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-4 indemnity:Yield-based plan - formulas: indemnity $s
- Indem$ = MAX(0, PG - AP) x (insured unit price)
- Where
- PG = Production Guarantee
- AP = Actual Production
276
CHEV.AGRIC 4b: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-4 indemnity:Non-yld-based plan - types of weather events that are covered (3)
276
CHEV.AGRIC 4b: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-4 indemnity:Non-yld-based plan - types of weather events that are covered (3)
- Excessive rainfall
- Drought
- Freeze
.$.deduc
277
CHEV.AGRIC 4b: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-4 indemnity:Non-yld-based plan - identify variables that affect compensation in such plans (3)
.$.deduc
277
CHEV.AGRIC 4b: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-4 indemnity:Non-yld-based plan - identify variables that affect compensation in such plans (3)
- # units affected
- Insured price
- Deductible
278
CHEV.AGRIC 4b: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-4 premiums:Production insurance programs - what are included/excluded in rate calculations for production insurance programs
278
CHEV.AGRIC 4b: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-4 premiums:Production insurance programs - what are included/excluded in rate calculations for production insurance programs
- Expected losses only (administrative costs are shared between federal & provincial govt)
279
CHEV.AGRIC 4b: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-4 premiums:Production insurance programs - formula for Prem$
279
CHEV.AGRIC 4b: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-4 premiums:Production insurance programs - formula for Prem$
- Prem$ = PremRt x L$ (Note that PremRt varies by Covg%)
280
CHEV.AGRIC 4b: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-4 premiums:Production insurance programs - formula for Indem$ (& IndemRt)
280
CHEV.AGRIC 4b: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-4 premiums:Production insurance programs - formula for Indem$ (& IndemRt)
- Indem$ = IndemRt x L$ (Note: First calculate Indem$ using above formula THEN calculate IndemRt THEN feed into PremRt)
281
CHEV.AGRIC 4b: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-4 premiums:Production insurance programs - what are the consequences of rate instability
fluctuations, adverse selection
281
CHEV.AGRIC 4b: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-4 premiums:Production insurance programs - what are the consequences of rate instability
fluctuations, adverse selection
- Fluctuations in participation, adverse selection
282
CHEV.AGRIC 4b: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-4 premiums:Production insurance programs - what load factors must be incorporated to arrive at the final PremRt
IRt(UB+/-RS) (alternately or SIR BUDs)
282
CHEV.AGRIC 4b: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-4 premiums:Production insurance programs - what load factors must be incorporated to arrive at the final PremRt
IRt(UB+/-RS) (alternately or SIR BUDs)
- To get PREMIUM RATE, start with INDEMNITY RATE then incorporate:
- Uncertainty margin
- Balance-back factors
- Individual discount/surcharge
- Reinsurance load
- Self-sustainability load
283
CHEV.AGRIC 4b: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-4 premiums:Production insurance programs - how are NON-yield-based plans priced
283
CHEV.AGRIC 4b: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-4 premiums:Production insurance programs - how are NON-yield-based plans priced
- Same as yld-based plans (IRt(UB+/-RS)
- But possibly with extra considerations
- EXAMPLE: weather-derivative plans may have extra considerations like temperature thresholds
284
E (2015.Fall 10c.) 0.500 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4b: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-4 premiums:Production insurance programs - identify pricing considerations for weather derivative plans (2)
weather: data, effects
284
E (2015.Fall 10c.) 0.500 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4b: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-4 premiums:Production insurance programs - identify pricing considerations for weather derivative plans (2)
weather: data, effects
- CONSIDERATION 1 - DATA: long-term history of meteorological data (vs producer data)
- CONSIDERATION 2 - EFFECTS: how weather affects production losses
285
E (2018.Fall 12b.iv) 0.500 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4c: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-5 self-sust:What is the federal requirement for self-sustainability (statistical defn)
285
E (2018.Fall 12b.iv) 0.500 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4c: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-5 self-sust:What is the federal requirement for self-sustainability (statistical defn)
- FOR ALL (base, adverse) scenarios with INITIAL DEFICIT = 6th yr 95th percentile:
- MUST RECOVER DEFICIT IN (15yrs: avg, 25yrs: 80% prob)
286
CHEV.AGRIC 4c: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-5 self-sust:What is the BASIS for the self-sustainability load selection
Targ($%x.perc)
286
CHEV.AGRIC 4c: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-5 self-sust:What is the BASIS for the self-sustainability load selection
Targ($%x.perc)
- LOAD BASIS = (selected target surplus level), and can be expressed in different ways
- $-value
- % of liability dollars
- Multiple of premiums
- Percentile over a given time horizon
287
E (2018.Fall 12c.(i,ii) 0.500 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4c: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-5 self-sust:What is the basis for the self-sustainability test
287
E (2018.Fall 12c.(i,ii) 0.500 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4c: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-5 self-sust:What is the basis for the self-sustainability test
- TEST BASIS: 25-yr stochastic simulation of financial position
288
CHEV.AGRIC 4c: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-5 self-sust:What is the source of VOLATILITY in stochastic simulations of self-sustainability
288
CHEV.AGRIC 4c: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-5 self-sust:What is the source of VOLATILITY in stochastic simulations of self-sustainability
- Mainly the indemnity component
- Because the (probable yield & premium rate) methodologies are designed to avoid large year-to-year variations
289
CHEV.AGRIC 4c: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-5 self-sust:What is the actuary’s role regarding the self-sustainability test
design.confirm
289
CHEV.AGRIC 4c: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-5 self-sust:What is the actuary’s role regarding the self-sustainability test
design. confirm
* The actuary should (design OR confirm) methodology for calculating the self-sustainability load
290
E (2018.Fall 12b.iii) 0.500 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4c: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-5 self-sust:Actuary - identify adverse scenarios relevant to self-sustainability in agri-insurance
290
E (2018.Fall 12b.iii) 0.500 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4c: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-5 self-sust:Actuary - identify adverse scenarios relevant to self-sustainability in agri-insurance
- Increase in liabilities (increases maximum exposure)
- Decrease in liabilities
- This can be severe when surplus vulnerable after cat since future premiums are lower & deficit recovery takes longer
- Adverse claims experience
- Introduction of a new insurance plan
- Deterioration in market value of investments
- Combination of the above scenarios
291
E (2017.Fall 8b.) 0.750 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4c: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-5 self-sust:Test - compare agricultural self-sustainability to DCAT (Similarity, Difference)
(base.adv):FullStoch
291
E (2017.Fall 8b.) 0.750 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4c: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-5 self-sust:Test - compare agricultural self-sustainability to DCAT (Similarity, Difference)
(base.adv):FullStoch
- SIMILARITY: both consider (base, adverse) scenarios
- DIFFERENCES: agricultural self-sustainability uses a fully stochastic simulation over a longer time horizon
292
CHEV.AGRIC 4c: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-5 GovtRe:Is Govt reinsurance for agri-insurance considered traditional reinsurance
292
CHEV.AGRIC 4c: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-5 GovtRe:Is Govt reinsurance for agri-insurance considered traditional reinsurance
- No, it’s an optional deficit-financing scheme
- Province may finance deficits as they occur VERSUS regularly contributing to a govt reinsurance fund
293
CHEV.AGRIC 4c: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-5 GovtRe:Describe the FUNDING mechanism for govt reinsurance for agri-insurance
293
CHEV.AGRIC 4c: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-5 GovtRe:Describe the FUNDING mechanism for govt reinsurance for agri-insurance
- Provincial producer programs contribute a % of premium to (provincial & federal) reinsurance
- Amount is based on (surplus position & risk profile)
- Must self-sustain for 25 yrs
294
CHEV.AGRIC 4c: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-5 GovtRe:What triggers govt reinsurance for an agri-insurance program
294
CHEV.AGRIC 4c: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-5 GovtRe:What triggers govt reinsurance for an agri-insurance program
- When SURPLUS of the production insurance fund is DEPLETED
- Note that indemnities net of private insurance are paid out of production insurance fund first (shout-out to IK!))
295
E (2015.Spring 14a.) 0.500 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4c: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-5 roles:Identify the roles & responsibilities of the FEDERAL govt in agri-insurance programs
guidelines, financing
295
E (2015.Spring 14a.) 0.500 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4c: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-5 roles:Identify the roles & responsibilities of the FEDERAL govt in agri-insurance programs
guidelines, financing
- Develop guidelines for production insurance programs
- Provide financing mechanism when programs are in deficit position
296
E (2015.Spring 14b.) 0.500 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4c: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-5 roles:Identify the roles & responsibilities of the PROVINCIAL govt in agri-insurance programs
rates, claims
296
E (2015.Spring 14b.) 0.500 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4c: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-5 roles:Identify the roles & responsibilities of the PROVINCIAL govt in agri-insurance programs
rates, claims
- Determine (probable yield, premium rate)
- Manage claims
297
E (2015.Spring 14c.) 0.500 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4c: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-5 roles:Identify the roles & responsibilities of the PRODUCERS in agri-insurance programs
pay, report
297
E (2015.Spring 14c.) 0.500 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4c: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-5 roles:Identify the roles & responsibilities of the PRODUCERS in agri-insurance programs
pay, report
- Pay their share of the premium
- Report yields
298
E (2018.Spring 8c.) 0.250 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4c: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-5 roles:Identify the roles & responsibilities of the PRIVATE INSURANCE & reinsurance in agri-insurance programs
unInsured perils, reinsurance for govt
298
E (2018.Spring 8c.) 0.250 pts
CHEV.AGRIC 4c: PRODUCTION INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Qz-5 roles:Identify the roles & responsibilities of the PRIVATE INSURANCE & reinsurance in agri-insurance programs
unInsured perils, reinsurance for govt
- PRIVATE INSURANCE: provides coverage (for producer) for perils not covered under govt insurance (Ex: fire)
- REINSURANCE: provides reinsurance for Govt INSURANCE
299
CHEV.AGRIC: SUPP
Qz-6 Bloom’s Taxonomy:**Compare the different triggers for:
(1) Actuarial Certification
(2) Historical Adjustments to Probable Yield
(3) Risk Transfer Test**
299
CHEV.AGRIC: SUPP
Qz-6 Bloom’s Taxonomy:**Compare the different triggers for:
(1) Actuarial Certification
(2) Historical Adjustments to Probable Yield
(3) Risk Transfer Test**
- Actuarial Certification:
- Significant changes in program design or methods
- New crops
- Historical Adjustments to Probable Yield:
- A change in farming or management practices
- A change in insurance program design
- A change in data source or data collection technique
- Maturity of perennials (yield would vary within their life cycle)
- Quality variation of crop from year-to-year (due to insured perils or other cause)
- Risk Transfer Test:
- Inception of contract
- When contract change significantly alters expected future cash flows
300
CHEV.AGRIC: SUPP
Qz-6 Bloom’s Taxonomy:Examples of areas where Actuarial Certifications are required (4)
300
CHEV.AGRIC: SUPP
Qz-6 Bloom’s Taxonomy:Examples of areas where Actuarial Certifications are required (4)
- Agricultural Insurance Production Programs
- Risk Transfer Analysis
- Valuation of Reserves
- Rate Filings (certain aspects)
301
CHEV.AGRIC: SUPP
Qz-6 Bloom’s Taxonomy:Examples of areas where Transition Rules are used (2)
301
CHEV.AGRIC: SUPP
Qz-6 Bloom’s Taxonomy:Examples of areas where Transition Rules are used (2)
- Agricultural Insurance - Probable Yield calculation:
- After a new methodology is introduced
- Use “transition rules” or “stabilizing methods” to prevent sudden large changes
- Rating:
- Prevents individual policyholders from getting a big rate change all at once
302
CHEV.AGRIC: SUPP
Qz-6 Bloom’s Taxonomy:Examples of areas where stochastic models are used
302
CHEV.AGRIC: SUPP
Qz-6 Bloom’s Taxonomy:Examples of areas where stochastic models are used
- Agricultural Insurance
- For adverse scenarios in self-sustainability model
- DCAT scenarios
- When risk distribution is easily inferred
- MfADs
- Where the cost distribution is skewed, and deterministic methods may not work well