BUSN Flashcards

1
Q

SE for mean

A

s/(sqrt of n)

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1
Q

SE for proportions

A

sqrt of [p(1-p)/n]

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2
Q

the collection of ˆy is called

A

sampling distribution
-it is a t-distribution

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3
Q

degrees of freedom

A

DF=n-1
-use degrees of freedom to specify how close the t-curve is to the normal curve

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4
Q

mean

A

true population mean, u

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5
Q

standard deviation

A

standard error of yˆ,
s/(sqrt of n)

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6
Q

SE(Y)

A

the average error between a sample yˆ and the true u

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7
Q

t curve

A

-also bell shaped
-longer tails than normal (z-curve)
-uncertainty in not knowing true std. dev
-wider confidence intervals

-*use t-curve to estimate the population (true) average “u”, based on the sample average yˆ

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8
Q

Confidence interval (proportions)

A

pˆ± ME

(ME= z* * SE)

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9
Q

Confidence intervals (means)

A

yˆ± ME

(ME= t* * SE)

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10
Q

Interpretation of CI for mean

A

There is 95% confidence that the true average ___ “u” is between ___ and ____

-the average is within the range

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11
Q

95% confidence meaning

A

if we took a large number of random samples, the true average would be inside 95% of these intervals

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12
Q

test statistic (proportion)

A

(pˆ - Ho )÷ SE

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13
Q

test statistic (mean)

A

(yˆ-µ) ÷ SE

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14
Q

t score data size

A

n ≥ 30

*if normal distribution sample size can be less than 30

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15
Q

sample size formula for means

A

n= ((t**s)÷(ME))ˆ2

*for large sample sizes use z instead of t

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16
Q

sample size formula for proportions

A

n= (z*/ME)ˆ2 * p(1-p)

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17
Q

the collection of pˆ

A

sampling distribution of pˆ

18
Q

sample size requirements (proportion)

A

np≥ 10 and n(1-p) ≥ 10

19
Q

95% meaning (proportion)

A

95% of samples will have pˆwithin two standard errors of the true p

-95% of the time, the true parameter p will be within 1.96 standard errors of the sample result pˆ

20
Q

critical value

A

z

21
Q

confidence interval interpretation (proportion)

A

we are 95% confident the true proportion of customers is between ____ and ____

-captures true p from the whole population

-95% of intervals is successful in capturing the true p

22
Q

the more confident we want to be about capturing true p

A

the wider the interval needs to be

-very confident p is inside a wide interval
* too wide it won’t be useful

23
Q

99% vs 90% vs 95%

A
  • 99% is usually too wide to be useful

-90% doesn’t have a very high success rate

-95% usually provides a god compromise between not being to wide

24
Q

the wider the interval

A
  • the larger the margin of error
25
Q

the margin of error (proportion)

A

gives the maximum error between p and pˆ for the given confidence

26
Q

ME is half

A

the interval width

27
Q

if previous studies suggest a certain value of p

A

then use it

28
Q

if no previous p is available

A

use p=.5

29
Q

if ho is inside the interval

A

we cannot reject it

-there is insufficient evidence to reject Ho

-p-value> a

30
Q

if Ho is outside the interval

A

we can reject it

-there is sufficient evidence to reject Ho

-p-value < a

31
Q

IMPLICATIONS

A

90% INTERVAL: a=.1

95% INTERVAL: a=.05

99% INTERVAL: a=.01

32
Q

Small p-value e.g .002

A

-sufficient evidence to reject Ho

-sufficient evidence to conclude Ha

-Ho-value is OUTSIDE confidence interval

33
Q

large p-value e.g .36

A

-Insufficient evidence to reject Ho

-Insufficient evidence to conclude Ha

-Ho value is INSIDE confidence interval

34
Q

Large test statistic e.g 2 or 3 (proportion)

A

-pˆ is far from p

-strong evidence in favor of Ha

-likely reject H0

35
Q

p-value < a

A

-sufficient evidence to conclude Ha (Reject Ho)

36
Q

p-value > a

A

insufficient evidence to conclude Ha (DONT reject Ho)

37
Q

Significance level

A

a is a value used as a cutoff for deciding how small a p value needs to be to provide convincing evidence against Ha

38
Q

Small p-value

A

large test statistic

pˆ very far from p

p is low Ho must go

39
Q

Large p-value

A

small test statistic

pˆ reasonably close to p

if the p is high, Ho survive

40
Q

Type 1 error

A

Ho is TRUE, but we choose Ha

can be reduced using a=.01 (make it harder to reject Ho)

type 1: the first listed (1: Ho) is TRUE

41
Q

Type 2 error

A

Ha is true, but we choose Ho

can be reduced using a=.10 (make easier to reject Ho)

Type 2: the second listed (2: Ha) is TRUE

42
Q
A