Business Unit 3 Flashcards
What is Quantitative research
Focusses on numbers, uses mathematical analysis and data to show statistics for a business and the market
What is Qualitive research
Focuses on people, involves finding out what people think and why they think it
What is price elasticity of demand (PED)
Measures the sensitivity of demand to a change in price. Price elasticity is always negative as the increase in price will lead to a fall in sales and conversely, a reduction in price will lead to a rise in sales
What does it mean if something is price elastic
That a change in in price will cause a more than proportional change in the quantity demanded. The level of demand is sensitive to a change in price. Drastic change in demand
What does it mean if something is price inelastic
That a change in price causes a less than proportional change in the quantity of demanded. Minimal change in demand
What is Income Elasticity of Demand
Measures how sensitive demand is to a change in income
What is the formula for Income Elasticity of Demand
Percentage change in quantity demanded / Percentage change in income
what does it mean if something is Unitary inelastic
That a change in in price will cause an equal and proportional change in the quantity demanded
What is sales forecasting
Projection of achievable sales revenue, based on historical sales data, analysis of market surveys and trends, and salespersons’ estimates. It forms the basis of a business plan because the level of sales revenue affects practically every aspect of a business
What is Moving Averages
Extrapolation involves identifying the underlaying trend in past data and projecting this trend forwards. Extrapolation predicts future trends based on what has happened in the past. It assumes that nothing much is going to change.
What is a Three-point moving average
The mean of the data values for that time period, the previous time period, and the next timer period.
What is meant by the term Extrapolation
The use of trends established by historical data to make predictions about future values
What is Time series analysis
A statistical technique to analyze the pattern of data points taken over time to forecast the future. Main components that are analyised are: Trend Increase or decrease in the series of data over longer a period.
What is Positive Correlation
A relationship between two variables that tend to move in the same direction. A positive correlation exists when one variable tends to decrease as the other variable decreases, or one variable tends to increase when the other increases
What is Negative correlation
A negative relationship exists where as the independent variable increases in value, the dependent variable falls in value. No correlation: There is no discernible relationship between the independent and dependent variable
What is Non-existent Correlation
There is no relationship between the two variables.
What is a Stakeholder
Any person, group of people or other organisation that has an interest in the activities of a business.
What is Intuition
An experienced manager is often able to predict sales based on intuition or a ‘hunch’. The use of intuition is cheap, and fast. But gut feeling and experience should not be the only guide.
What is Brainstorming
When employees who have experience of the market will get together to bounce’ ideas off each other in order to determine their collective best estimate of what is likely to happen in the future. Use might be made of previous life cycles of similar products.
What is the Delphi Method
Idea of using expert opinion to predict the future, on the basis that better predictions are made by human experts than from extrapolating trends.
Advantages of the Delphi method
- It is flexible enough to be used in a variety of situations and be applied to a range of complex problems
- Participants have time to think through their ideas leading to a better quality of response
- Creates a record of the expert group’s response and ideas, which can be easily accessed when needed
Disadvantages of the Delphi method
- It assumes that experts are willing to come to a consensus and allow their opinions to be altered by the views of other experts
- Monetary payments to the experts may lead to bias in the results of the study
- Very time consuming, and can be very costly in terms of research time
External factors affecting Sales Forecasting
- Economic factors - Business cycle, Exchange rates
- Consumer factors - Changing tastes, and fashions
- Competition factors - They will have their own strategies and plans
What are Qualitative factors
Qualitative Factors:
- Production factors - will new machinery be compatible with the existing machinery? Will new supplier be reliable? (Spaces after sales service, etc.)
- Personnel factors - will new machinery or network suit the staff? (Training/Safety/ Redundancies/Morale/ Motivation.)
- Image - gaining prestigious order, good PR, better quality product
- Aims of the organisation - if the business places a high value on social issues it might reject a profitable investment if it is considered to exploit the workplace or damage the environment.
What are Quantitative Factors
- Businesses which are unprofitable eventually go out of business.
- Reliability of quantitative data based on market research and predictions. Figures predicted 5 years ahead may be inaccurate, undermining investment appraisal.
- Recessions/Booms.
- The economy can impact upon quantitative predictions. A rise in interest rates will require a project to be more profitable in the future.
What is Budgeting
A financial plan for the future, without this plan businesses are likely to get into financial trouble
What is a Sales revenue budget
A budget that sets out a businesses planned revenue from selling its products. Important information includes expected level of sales and the likely selling price of the product.
What is a Expenditure budget
A budget that sets out a businesses planned expenditure on labour, raw materials, fuel and other items essential for production
Advantages of Budgeting
- A means of controlling income and expenditure.
- They act as a review and allow time for corrective action to take place.
- They allow delegation without loss of control - subordinates can be set their own targets.
- They help in the co-ordination of a business and improve communication between different sections of the business.
- Budgets provide clear targets to be met and should help employees to focus on costs.
- Can act as a motivator for staff if budget is met.
Limitations of Budgeting
- They can be time consuming for managers in small businesses; especially for those who are not particularly numerate.
- Some personnel can resent having to meet budget targets that they have had no part in constructing. Poor motivation and missed targets can result.
- The budget must not be too inflexible as business opportunities might be missed.
- Poorly constructed budgets can lead to poor decision making.
What are Budget Variances
A variance is any unplanned change from the budgeted figure. They occur when an actual figure for sales or expenditure differs from the budgeted figure. Variances can be favourable (F) or adverse (A):
What is a favorable variance
A favourable variance exists when the difference between the actual and budgeted figures will result in the business enjoying higher profits than shown in the budget. For example, when:
- expenditure is less than expected
- revenues are higher than expected.
What is a adverse variance
An adverse variance occurs when the difference between the figures in the budget and the actual figures will lead to the business’ profits being lower than planned. For example, when:
- expenditure is higher than expected
- revenues are lower than expected.
Reasons for change in favourable sales variances
• an effective bonus scheme for salesmen
• a successful advertising campaign
• favourable weather
• the demise of a competitor.
Reasons for change in adverse sales variances
- the successful activities of competitors
- ineffective advertising
- logistical problems that meant that stock did not arrive with the customer on time
- bad weather
- general economic conditions (recession)
Reasons for favourable cost variances
- employees may have been better trained/motivated leading to improved labour productivity
- reduced costs of imported components due to a strengthening of Sterling
- raw material costs may have fallen.