British Monetary Policy Flashcards

Week 6

1
Q

What are the two macroeconomic schools of thought that evaluate Government intervention?

A
  • KEYNESIANISM: Active approach
  • Left to itself, free markets are unstable, hence fiscal ‘Demand management’ policy should be used to regulate flows of investmen t
  • MONETARISM: Passive apporach
  • Belief that fiscal effects are only temporary and thus monetary policy is more effective in controling demand an inflation
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2
Q

What do the Bank of England do to affect monetary policy?

A
  • BoEngland have the aim to influence the rate of interest and money supply to achieve growth/inflation targets
  • Changes in the SRIR affects spending, saving and investment behaviour of households
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3
Q

What are the key macroeconomic objectives (1945-)?

A
  • Economic growth
  • Full employment
  • Stable prices
  • BoP position
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4
Q

Why is Inflation bad?

A
  • Cost of inflation is worse if inflation is unanticipated
  • Imposes costs of adjusting prices (menu costs)
  • Harm those on fixed salaries
  • Creates uncertainty, detering investment
  • Loss of international competition and the devaluing exchange rate
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5
Q

Name some approaches to monetary policiy?

A
  • Discretion: Policy makers intervene by taking an active approach to speed up adjustment
  • Rules: A credit rule to intervene at how to respond at each level (πe will go down given certainty)
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6
Q

Name the central bank of objectives. How has this changed over time?

A
  • LR Price stability: controls growth of MS
  • Influencing the business cycle: controls by varying IR
  • Objectives are often in conflict, so they must priortise
  • TARGETS- (1970-1985) Rates of monetary aggregation, (1985-1992) Nominal Exchange rate, (1992-) Inflation Rate Targeting
  • Managed via instruments (r and Ms)
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7
Q

Name some of the Bank of England features

A
  • Produced Bank of England notes & coins & bank reserves
  • Exclusive legal mandate to control MS
  • Banker’s bank
  • Serves as a bank to the Government
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8
Q

What is M0?

A
  • The sum of currency in circulation + reserves
  • Reserves don’t make up that much
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9
Q

How do banks make money?

A
  • Initial deposit leads to a succession of loans, paid in the form of deposits
  • While the Bank keeps a certain x% of the deposits as reserves (new loan = 100-x%)
  • Each chain acts as a MONEY MULTIPLIER
  • Central Banks can influence this process by setting a ‘Reserve Requirement’ or influencing the rate at which banks can borrow at
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10
Q

How can the BoE manipulate interest rates in order to keep variables constant? How would this look graphically?

A
  • QoM target- C.B uses tools to ensure a fixed level of MS [at Mo1] with supply SQ (|), increasing r1 -> r2
  • PoM target- C.B uses tools to ensure a fixed rate of interest [at r1] with supply SP (-), increasing Mo1 -> Mo2
  • Demand for money is downward sloping
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11
Q

How do Open Market Operations work?

A
  • C.B are monopolist producers of the base, can increase/decrease Mo in circulation
  • Buying assets from financial sector and increase Mo
  • Sell their assets to financial sector and remove their assets to decrease Mo
  • At a fixed IR, C.B can inject/withdraw to achieve their target
  • To achieve a lower IR, BoE use expansionary M.P to increase the demand for Government bonds, reduce the yield, increase the price and therefore reduce the IR
  • This has no effect on amount of MS
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12
Q

How did monetary policy look in the 1970s?

A
  • Bretton Woods fell apart in 1973
  • Oil price shocks (1973/74) and (1979/80)
  • This cerated stagflation- Keynesianism could not deal with it (Increasing G didn’t reduce U)
  • “Money mattered”- (wasn’t prioritised until 1976)
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13
Q

Give some characteristics of the monetarist phase (1979-1985)

A
  • Following turmoil of 1970s, search for a nominal framework that provided an anchor for price level
  • Targets for aggregation introduced [began at M3/M4, then M0]
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14
Q

What happened during the Medium Term financing strategy?

A
  • 1980: Announcement of MTFS, setting 4 year targets of broad money: PSBR
  • M3 seen as the most reliable indicator, so IR rose to 17% but M3 didn’t stay
  • This, paired with North Sea Oil issue, made the £ increase massively
  • Therefore, this harmed the manufacturing sector, making output fall and unemployment rise
  • Unemployment peaked at 3m
  • M3 was actually unreliable, Net exports fell
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15
Q

What happened after the medium term financial strategy? What were the main reasons for failure?

A
  • Illustrated that tight monetarism didn’t always work
  • Following the squeeze in 1982, π, r and £ all fell
  • Lawson also used the fiscal stimulus to boost aggregate demand
  • MTFS was overhauled, M0 and M1 became included
  • Reasons: Distress borrowing from ailing firms in recession, financial dereg increases access to credit and erratic M3 behaviour
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16
Q

Give a one sentance evaluation of the MTFS. What else was found out as a result of the MTFS?

A
  • Inflation psychology of the 1970s was dampened, but at the cost of huge recession and UK manufacturing
  • Showed exchange didn’t act independantly of monetarism
17
Q

Give the characteristics of the 1985-88 boom

A
  • Income Tax cuts [30% - 25%]
  • Financial Deregulation [1986 ‘Big boom’]
  • House-market boom increased consumer spending
18
Q

What is the theory of Exchange rate pegging? What was employed by the Government?

A
  • By pegging your currency with a stronger one, imports will fall in price and therefore sort out inflation
  • UK decided to shadow the Deutschmark and to keep DM2.80 < £ <DM3
  • However, invesotrs speculated in favour of the £, making the £ stronger
  • This made the BoE cut rates, further adding to the boom conditions
  • Boom ended quickly and the DM was no longer shadowed
19
Q

Give a one sentance evaluation of the Exchange rate pegging.

A
  • The harsh reality that what is best internationally hurts domestic consumption, interest rates and exports
20
Q

What happened during the UK joining the ERM?

A
  • October 1990, John Major announced that the UK would join the ERM (effectively shadowing the DM)
  • Cental parity: £1 = DM2.95 (+/- 6%)
  • Exchange rate targeting meant that the IR was high- exacerbated the UK recession
  • Speculation against the £ in 1992 caused the IR to rise by 5%
  • BLACK WEDNESDAY: Sept. 1992, UK spent £3bn trying to buy up £
  • This caused bands to increase when the UK were kicked out of the ERM
21
Q

What was the evaluation of the ERM?

A
  • We now can say that the parity was too high, and that it was tough to sell commitment, which increased the pressure
  • Major made a mistake, E&W Germany were just reunited, hence they had priorities on stability
  • After withdrawing from the ERM, we recovered quickly due to newfound autonomy over IR and EXR