British Fiscal Policy Flashcards

Week 4

1
Q

What are economic functions of government?

A
  • Providing public goods given inefficiency of the market
  • Redistributing income and wealth in society
  • Smoothing/addressing cyclical fluctuations
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2
Q

What is a Government Budget?

A
  • Annual statement of projected spending and receipts during the year
  • Conditioned to previous spending and in international context
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3
Q

What are Government transfers?

A
  • Largely dedicated part of the budget for redistribution
  • If spending > income: DEFICIT
  • If spending < income: SURPLUS
  • If spending = income: BALANCE
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4
Q

Explain the UK’s current fiscal framework using labour’s 1997 as an example

A
  • FRAMEWORK; Settings for fiscal policy by the Chancellor
  • Fiscal rules/targets tell what they are hoping to achieve over the year and underpin taxation and spending
  • EXAMPLE: NEW LABOUR 1997
  • 2 Key objectives; share burden of taxes for future and current tax payers AND keep public sustainable
  • Labour Govt. adopted a golden rule [ONLY borrow for investment] and substainable investment rule (debt <40%) within the 1998 CFS
  • The Code for Fiscal Stability required required Government to forecast plans, BUT there was no penalty for not doing so
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5
Q

What are the Current Fiscal rules?

A
  • Debt should be on course to fall as a share of national income in five years’ time
  • Public sector borrowing should not exceed 3% of GDP in the five years’ time
  • Some types of welfare spending must remain below a pre-specified cap
  • Explicit facts about debt-servicing
  • Rules may be temporarily suspended in the event of a “significant negative shock”
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6
Q

What is fiscal policy? What are the two types of fiscal policy (GOVT LED)

A
  • Fiscal policy is the use of Government budget to achieve key macroeconomic growth
  • AUTOMATIC; Triggered by the state (No Govt. actions)
  • DISCRETIONARY; Policy initiated by the Government
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7
Q

What is the difference between contractionary and expansionary fiscal policy?

A
  • CONTRACTIONARY: lower G and higher T
  • EXPANSIONARY: higher G and lower T
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8
Q

What is the effect of fiscal policy on output and employment stabilisation?

A
  • When demand fall, GDP will also fall and unemployment
  • π falls until you get to π *
  • Depends on how long π ->π *
  • Some suggested countercyclical fiscal policy, like in the 2008 GFC, the VAT rate was cut from 17.5% to 15%
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9
Q

What are a Government’s options in response to a fall in demand?

A
  • LAISSEZ-FAIRE: There will be an output gap, as unemployment rises and wages falls in theory
  • Movement down the LRAS curve and firms higher more workers- ‘sticky wages’ might occur in reality
  • FISCAL POLICY: Use expansionary fiscal policy aims to offset exogenous negative shocks to demand
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10
Q

What are some issues with fiscal stimulus?

A
  • Time lags: Hampered by 3 potential lags
  • Recognition lag: Time it takes to figure actions is needed
  • Law-making lag: Time taken for Parliament to pass law
  • Impact lag: Time taken for action to have an impact
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11
Q

What are automatic stabilisers?

A
  • Automatic Stabilisers: Making booms/busts less impactful by decrease/increase spending
  • Entering a recession increases the unemployment within an economy
  • G rises and T falls
  • Issues as G>T, deficit increases so they must borrow
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12
Q

What is the difference between Structural Vs Cyclical Budget balances?

A
  • STRUCTURAL: Budget occurring at full employment given particular economic stance [RGDP = Potential]
  • CYCLICAL: Actual budget minus the structural budget balance, broken down as the state of the economy [RGDP =/= Potential]
  • The MAIN reason for GFC, COVID, WSC
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13
Q

What is fiscal stance? Graphically, what does fiscal stance look like?

A
  • Fiscal stance: Choices that a Government make in order to achieve a target
  • Fiscal stance at different cyclical stages have different outcomes
  • Positive linear slope of FP due to automatic stabilisers
  • There is a line (|) where anything to the left is -ve and anything right is +ve output gap
  • There is a line (_) where anything above is a surplus and anything below is a deficit
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14
Q

Explain the graph of Fiscal stance

A
  • You start at point A, where there is no output gap and there is a surplus
  • This has a deflationary effect, where T>G
  • If there is no policy and growth is harmed, this will lead to a point where there is a budget deficit and a negative output gap
  • Therefore, the Government would increase spending,
  • If this fails, the budget deficit would widen
  • If this succeeds, the budget deficit would reduce, maybe even giving a +ve output gap
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15
Q

What is Government debt? What is the formula?

A
  • Total amount of money borrowed by the Government
  • Budget deficit increases debt, whilst budget surplus decreases debt
  • Formula = (sum of past deficits) + (sum of past surplus) - asset sales
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16
Q

What is British history with budget deficit?

A
  • War was the main cause of public debt [>200%]
  • Britain’s good credit rating allows for more borrowing
17
Q

How can you finance debt?

A
  • B/Y, shows the debt:GDP ratio
  • If debt grows slower than output, this means that debt is manageable [i.e. 1960-80s]
  • If debt grows much quicker than GDP, this has the risk where debt becomes explosive
17
Q

What is explosive debt? What is the equation for changing debt?

A
  • As B/Y rises, so does repayments on the original borrowing
  • Deficit = G - T - rB
  • ΔB = (G-T) + rB
  • If this is >/< 0, it is a budget surplus/deficit
  • The increased stock of B, the greater rB is
  • Hence, balancing G and T isn’t enough
  • T-G = rB to stop debt accumulation
18
Q

What was Eurozone issues with debt?

A
  • People lost faith in the ability to pay the money back
  • IMF, EC told Greece to use austerity measures
  • Austerity has characterised European economies since 1990, however, issues stem from cuts, and can harm weak economies
19
Q

Name some austerity measures

A
  • Fiscal Consolidation, reducing G and increasing T to reach goals
  • Inflationary finance- BoEngland purchasing bonds
  • Defaulting on debt
  • These are only SR measures