BKM Chapter 10 Flashcards
Modified single-factor model
BKM - 10
R = E[R] + beta * F + e
replaces the market factor from the single-factor model with F
F = macroeconomic surprise = deviation of common factor from expected value of 0
*e’s = residual, are uncorrelated with F and b/w stocks
Use for the modified single-factor model
BKM - 10
risk management (example: measure exposure and hedge specific risks)
Main idea of multifactor models
BKM - 10
model systematic risk as a combination of factors instead of a single factor (F)
Example multifactor model (GDP & IR)
BKM - 10
R = E[R] + beta(GDP) * GDP + beta(IR) * IR + e
measures 2 macroeconomic forces:
- unanticipated GDP growth
- interest rate changes
Factor betas in multifactor models
BKM - 10
beta coefficients that measure the sensitivity of the firm’s excess returns to each macroeconomic factor
Advantage of multifactor models
BKM - 10
captures differences in sensitivity to each macroeconomic factor
Arbitrage
BKM - 10
ability to earn riskless profits with zero net investment
Assumptions of the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) model (3)
BKM - 10
- security returns can be described with a factor model
- there are enough securities to diversify away non-systematic risk
- arbitrage opportunities DNE in well-functioning markets
Law of one price
BKM - 10
two economically equivalent assets should have identical prices
General arbitrage strategy
BKM - 10
long (buy) the cheaper asset and short (sell) the more expensive one
Fundamental concept of capital market theory
BKM - 10
idea that market prices will move to rule out arbitrage opportunities
(e.g. prices of cheaper assets are bid up and prices of more expensive assets are forced down until equilibrium position is reached)
Difference between market equilibrium under CAPM and APT
BKM - 10
CAPM: many investors making small trades (aka risk-return dominance argument)
APT: few investors making extremely large trades
Excess returns (R(P)) under a well-diversified portfolio (APT)
(BKM - 10)
R = E[R] + beta * F
b/c e goes to 0 with diversification
Variance (sigma^2(P)) under a well-diversified portfolio (APT)
(BKM - 10)
sigma^2(P) = beta(P)^2 * sigma^2(F) + sigma^2(e(P))
first term = systematic risk, second term = firm-specific risk
Expected return for well-diversified portfolios with the same beta (APT)
(BKM - 10)
well-diversified portfolios with the same beta must produce the same expected return (o/w arbitrage)