Binomial Distribution Flashcards

1
Q

How to do hypothesis test 1 tail

A

Let p be lrobablity
Let x be the nunber of people

H0 =
H1=

Significance level set at 5% or whatever

If H0 is true, x follows BD between (N,p)

P (X<…) =
TEST FOR EXTREME

Now say o value is less or higher

If higher don’t reject if less then it’s too low to happen by chance , so reject
THERE IS INSUFFIEMCT EVIDECNCE AT THE 5% LEVEL

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2
Q

Remember for null hypothesis snd alternstive

A

DONT PUT DOWN PERCENTAGES

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3
Q

How to find out if H1nhas increased or gone less

A

Multiply probability with value to find expected. If now values Is lower or higher you know

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4
Q

What errors can iccure with significance levels?
2 ERRORS TAKE HEED

A

There could be an error where H0 is correct, but because significance level too high, you reject it anyways

The probability if making this error is EQUAL TO SIGNIFICANCE, t

Thus the lower the significance level the better

2) another error is where you reject H0 when yiu should not, again the higher the significance level you increase this

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5
Q

Don’t say certain always say

A

Insufficent

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6
Q

What happens if you take a larger data set for same success

A

It is likely that outcome changes, normally if it is not rejected then it might be rejected, a larger dats set Leeds to better results (more conclusive

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7
Q

Okay how to do critical region tests

A

Basically same as before

Let p be
Let x Be

H0 is
H1 is

Now if Yiu are testing for a higher extreme then finding P (x>=a) <0.05 the lowest value for a
Which is 1 - p (x<=a-1) <0.05
0.95< p
So find highest value that still satisfies this situation
A-1 = that
And so 1 = that +1

So now yiu have a critical region

And if observed value falls in it then reject

If not do not reject

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8
Q

When can a critical region NOT BE ESTABLISHED

A

If yiu are testing for x < 0 then Yh it can’t be because if x=0 is already likely then there is no critical region as everything passed

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9
Q

With critical region what are you doing

A

Essentially finding out the values thst if fall in will automatically lead to a rejectionl

Why use?
Because if yiu wwnt to test fir number if samples it becomes easy

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10
Q

How to do TWO TAIL TEST Z
FIRST WHAT IS THE DIFFERENCE

A

A two tail test is testing for any sort of CHANGE WHATSOVER , good or bad

Thus the H1 is now that the probabiltiy is NO LONGER EQUAL TO WHAT EXPECTED

Here yiu have to test in bith tails , might not be enough evidence ti suggest they went up but enough ti suggest they went down etc

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11
Q

How do you do critical region

A

Your significance value is in bith tails, so DIVIDE SIGNIFICANCE VALUE BY 2

Then find bith crtical regions that follow this

And then see if kbserved fall

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12
Q

How to to do 2 tail for PORBAILOTY

A

here you still test in one tail, but assume that this is the same p value in the other tail

Thus at the end MULTIPLY P VALUE BY 2

then test and see

And reject accept

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13
Q

And remember for critical region two tail and orobsbiltuhat you need to do to bith W

A

Alte erst IV enhootheidd different

Probability x 2 the p value

Critical divide significance by 2

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14
Q

WHAT DOES A NON EMPTY TAIL FOR CRITICAL VALUE Mean

A

Essentially if 0 satisfies everything its empty

So for it to be non empty atleast 0 gotta not satisfy

And this makes easy too by doing ncr method just simple log

Remember tho log decimal = -, thus switch insauakity

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