Basics Flashcards
Type of project finance is what
limited recourse - because unless other rights are negotiated, the lenders will typically have recourse only to the amount of equity which is being injected
the borrower/sponsor is not held liable for the full amount of debt in the event of a default
type of company in project finance
limited liability - sponsors desire this as they will want to have protection which this provides from banks looking through the project vehicle and having recourse against their balance sheet
Different types of risk
> contractor risk - using FPTK contracts transfers a lot of this to the contractor surrounding cost overruns or delays
> supply risk - for feedstock which can be mitigated through long term contracts
> off take risk - can be thought of as volume to price risk - some projects might not have long term contracts for the off take of the product
> physical damage/environmental risk - insurance parties help with this
Project vs corporate lending
most corporate lending has full recourse.. project does not
- corporate spreads the risk through the portfolio effect - having loans backed up by balance sheets etc
the lender also has access to historical data which may show a strong financial history - with a project, it isn’t built and isn’t generating cash flows yet
project finance is all about predicting and projecting > cash flow lenders
CFADS
cash flow available for debt service is the surplus cashflow after payment of operating costs including taxes (before interest)
> lender will develop a base case cashflow projection in which they will sculpt the loan repayment schedule to ensure sufficient safety margins
sensitivities on CFADS
on cases where:
- the loan amount structured on the base case analysis has been fully utilitised, but CFADS is weaker than expected e.g. sales revenues are reduced or operating costs are increased
- CFADS is as expected but the loan amount is increased - e.eg as a result of contruction cost increased or time delays
Fly by wire in PF
as limited recourse financings are tailored to a predicted cashflow envelope, they require detailed project-specific control mechanisms which must be forward looking.
These mechanisms require revisions of projected cashflows so that underperformance against base case expectations are picked up early and remedial action can be taken
What PF needs to include
- significantly greater reporting obligations
- more forward looking ratio tests
- tighter controls on cash distributions than corporately based loan instruments
Project Financings are “Term Loans”
The project SPV wil utilise or “draw down” the loan facility during an “availability period” which broadly matches the construction period of the project.
during the contruction period the borrower will normally be cash-flow negative, meaning that the interest due to the banks will be added to the loan or “capitalised”
On completion of the projects construction the loan facility will cease to be available for drawing and any utilitisred debt capacity will be cancelled.
An agreed repayment schedule mechanism will then begin to apply and interest will be required to be paid rather than capitalised
Two key features of term loans
loan facilities are:
- drawn once and repaid once - amounts repaid are not capable of being redrawn as in a revolving loan facility
- not repayable on demand - they are repaid in accordance with a pre-agreed schedule or mechanisms and can generally only be declared due for repayment at an earlier stage by the lenders on occurrence of an event of default
The Sponsor’s risk-reward with the project
Exposed to both downside and upside potential.
Owners rank behind lenders for repayment of cash-flow.
In an insolvency the return of their capital will only happen if the banks have been fully repaid.
If the project outperforms expectations however, the owners receive this upside
With added gearing, the return on investment may rise in this case
The Lenders risk-reward with the project
Exposed to downside risk but rarely upside potential
if it underperforms, lenders might lose a significant amount of loan capital - could even lose it all
the lenders interest return is typically fixed from the outset
if it outperforms then the lender will usually not enjoy higher returns
if the outperformance is high there is a significant chance the lender will be repaid early in which case a lender won’t have it on the books for as long as expected and the return will disappear
Sponsor vs Lenders
Lenders, with the focus on returning their funds, will be focused on analysing and controlling risk, not maximising returns
The cash back technique
Analysing how long is required for capital investment to be repaid - shorter the better
However this takes no account of the time value of money
> two projects with the same cash back will be rated equally even if one has a slower rate of investment or different distribution of cash received during the payback period
DCF analysis
Discounting future inflows and outflows by a string of discount factors which increase overtime based on a chosen discount rate, the sum of all these discounted values will provide a Net Present Value
These NPVs can then be prepared and an assessment made
> a slower rate of equity injection for Capex will result in a higher NPV
IRR
the rate of discount which returns an NPV of Zero
> how hard the cashflows can be discounted before they are effectively eliminated
an investor who knows an investments IRR does not need to ask what discount rate is being used
> If an IRR is greater than its WACC, it is logically worth considering
Gearing
the debt-equity ratio
the interest payable on debt in most cases available as an offset to reduce corporate/profitds taxes
> a very considerable accelerator effect on IRR as gearing levels are increased
Disadvantages of PF
Expensive when compared with debt raised against a balance sheet - project lenders are asked to share in the risks of a project, to contribute a substantial portion of the projects costs and to limit their recourse to the projects owners, it is logical they will require a higher return
Higher interest margins - recognise the greater risks which are being assumed by the lenders
higher arranagement fees - greater burden of analytical and structuring work which they will need to undertake, possibly over a period of many months.
Banks providing debt against a project will frequently also require detailed reports from third party “due diligence” consultants to assist in the work of risk analysis and finance structuring.
he costs involved in due diligence reporting can be substantial and they are required to be borne by the project SPV, whether or not the financing ultimately goes ahead.
Follow ons from disadvantages
iven the above, the gestation period of project financings is generally much longer than that for corporate loans of comparable size.
need for exhaustive bank analysis, due diligence reporting, preparation of comprehensive information memoranda where syndication is planned, and the obtaining of credit approvals (potentially from a large number of banks) means that the time from first discussion to financial close is rarely less than three or four months. It can extend to a period of a year or two for very large projects with complex, multi-sourced financings.
Because of their greater risk acceptance and financial exposure, project lenders will also seek much greater rights of supervision and will expect much more extensive reporting than would be the case for corporate facilities where the lenders are protected by their access to a large and relatively liquid balance sheet.
Arguments for lenders involvements
are providing a substantial amount of the cost of project construction;
* lend against a projected cashflow “envelope”, the predictability of which is by no means an exact science;
* commit funding to a project over periods of up to 20 years or even more, when their sources of funding are overwhelmingly of much shorter duration;
* generally will be expected by the sponsors/borrower to increase the debt level (as compared to equity) to the highest level which the project SPV can sustain;
* are not exposed to project upside potential, but do share downside risk;
* receive returns which, although high by banking standards, cannot possibly compensate them for losses of principal.