B2 - M6: Financial Valuation Methods I Flashcards
PV of an Annuity
= C * ((1 - PV factor) ÷ r)
= C * (1-(1/(1+r)^t)/r)
C = amount of annuity (future cash flows) r = rate of return t = time
Perpetuity / Perpetual Annuity / Zero Growth Annuity
- periodic cash flows paid by an annuity that last forever
PV of annuity = P = D ÷ R
P = stock price D = dividend R = required rate of return
Dividend Growth Model
- assumes dividend payments are CF of a security
- assume intrinsic value of a stock is the PV of the expected future dividends
= Pt = Dt (1+G) ÷ (R-G)
Pt = Current price (price at period t) D(t+1) = Dividend one year after period t R = Required return G = (Sustainable) growth rate
How to compute required return for dividend growth model
R = Rfr + B [E(Rm)-Rfr]
R = required rate of return Rfr = Risk free rake of borrowing B = Beta E(Rm) = Expected market return
2 types of security valuation models
1) Absolute value models - based on PV of future CFs
2) Relative value models - value based on comparable stocks’ value
P/E Ratio (forward)
= Price Today ÷ EPS expected in 1 year
- can be used to calculate the expected value (price) of a share
- measures how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings
- rising PE means investors anticipate growth
P/E Ratio (Trailing)
= Price Today ÷ EPS for past year
- use when forecasted earnings are unavailable
P/E + Growth (PEG) Ratio
PEF = PE ratio ÷ G
- effect of earnings growth on a company’s PE
- lower PEG is better
Price to Sales Ratio
= Price ÷ Expected sales in 1 year
- not as volatile as PE
- can be used when EPS is low or < 0
- good for startups
Price to CF ratio
= Price ÷ Expected CF in 1 year
- CF harder to manipulate
Price to Book ratio
= Price ÷ BV of common equity = A - L
- preferred when EPS is extremely high or low or if EPS < 0
How does relative valuation models use ratios?
They compute one or many of them for different companies and compare
Free Cash Flow
- Amount of cash a business generation after accounting for account re-investments in non-current assets
- NI + noncash expenses - increase in WC - cap ex
or - NI + noncash expenses + decrease in WC - cap ex