8.1 Flashcards
Overconfidence model
Investors will trade to their detriment
Higher trade inv have lower utility
Rational exp framework
MB > MC
Same utility for both investors (high/low trading)
Diffr gross net performance
No difference for gross. Only for net performance. ( performance is negative. Below benchmarks)
Net controls for transaction cost and commissions.
Main msg
More trading leads to underperformance when controlling for cost (net returns)
Why do people trate so much?
Overconfident
Other rational explanations for high trading
- liquidity
- rebalancing -> cheaper ways
- tax: (1) cant explain 75% turnover (2) we find active trading in both tax and tax deferred accounts (3) trading more consistent with DE
- gambling. (1) risk-seeking= u would increase variance by underdiversifying however Excessive trading leads to decreasing returns without adjusting variance
(2) entertainment = wrong, u would expect turnover and underperformance to decline as the accounts researched represent large portion of household total wealth
Does everyone beat the market
No 25% does and 25% underperforms. Basis points!
How is high trading related to overconfidence
Overestimate private info - high trading - below average returns