8 - Why evidence-based medicine? Flashcards
Criticism of Evidence based medicine
It is impossible for any clinician to have the time to critically appraise even one article per week let alone the number that would need to be appraised to answer questions (estimated at 3.5 per clinical session) arising in a busy practice.
Governments, healthcare commissioners and providers have used the jargon of EBM to justify decisions, directives, or incentives that are seen by clinicians as inappropriate
Why EBM matters to Clinicians
BETTER SERVICE FOR PATIENTS (most important reason) Patient Care Medical Knowledge Practice-Based Learning and Improvement Interpersonal and Communication skills Professionalism
Association
refers to the statistical dependence between two variables, that is the degree to which the rate of disease in persons with a specific exposure is either higher or lower than the rate of disease without that exposure.
A link, relationship or correlation
What should be considered when considering statistical association?
chance bias confounding cause N.B. MUST consider first three before you look at causal relationship!
Chance
Make inference from samples rather than whole populations:
Sample size
Power calculations
P values and statistical significance
Bias
A systematic error:
Selection bias
Measurement bias
Confounding
Mixing of effects between exposure, the disease and a third factor.
Account for confounding using matching, randomisation, stratification and multivariate analysis.
Causal Effect
Judgement of a cause-effect relationship
Judgement is based on a chain of logic that addresses two main areas:
Observed association between an exposure and a disease is valid
Totality of evidence taken from a number of sources supports a judgement of causality
Factors to consider in Bradford-Hill Criteria for Causation
Strength Consistency Specificity Temporal relationship Dose-response relationship Plausibility Coherence Experimental evidence Analogy
Strength
strength of an association is measured by the magnitude of the relative risk.
A strong association is more likely to be causal than is a weak association, which could more easily be
the result of confounding or bias.
However, a weak association does, nor rule out a causal connection.
e.g. passive smoking and lung cancer
Consistency
If similar results have been found in different populations using different study designs then the association is more likely to be causal since it is unlikely that all studies were subject to the same type of errors. However, a lack of consistency does not exclude a causal association since different exposure levels and other conditions may reduce the impact of the causal factor in certain studies.
Specificity
If a particular exposure increases the risk of a certain disease but not the risk of other diseases then this is strong evidence in favour of a cause-effect relationship e.g. Mesothelioma. However, one-to-one relationships between exposure and disease are rare and lack of specificity should not be used to refute a causal relationship; for example cigarette smoking causes many diseases.
Temporal relationship
This is an essential criterion. For a putative risk factor to be the cause of a disease it has to precede the disease. This is generally easier to establish from cohort studies but rather
difficult to establish from cross-sectional or case-control studies when measurements of the possible cause and the effect are made at the same time. However, it does not follow that a reverse time order is evidence against the hypothesis.
Dose-response relationship
Further evidence of a causal relationship is provided if increasing levels of exposure lead to increasing risks of disease. Some causal associations, however, show a single jump (threshold) rather than a monotonic trend.
Plausibility
The association is more likely to be causal if consistent with other knowledge (e.g. animal experiments, biological mechanisms, etc.). However, this criterion should not be taken too seriously because lack of plausibility may simply reflect lack of scientific knowledge. The idea of microscopic animals or animalcules as cause of disease was distinctly implausible before Van Leeuwenhoek’s microscope