7.2 A Global Perspective: Currency Flashcards
Fixed exchange rate
The government of a country agrees to fix the value of its currency of another country i.e. Iraq.
Called a devaluation or a revaluation
Floating exchnage rate
No intervention and finds it own level in the market i.e. UK, USA, Germany
Natural rise/fall is depreciation/appreciation
Managed exchange rated
Free markets determine the value of a currency but central banks interven from time to time i.e. Brazil, China, South Africa
Facotrs influencing floating exchange rates
Imports (supply)
Exports (demand)
Speculation
Floating exchange rate characteristics
Reduces need to hold large currency reseves
Partial automatic correction for a current account deficit
Floating exchange rate evaluation
No gurantee that floating exchange rates will be stable
Volatility in floating -> detrimental to attracting inward investment
Fixed exchange rate characteristics
Stability helps control inflation
Less speculation if the exchange rate is credible
Fixed exchange rate evalution
Developing countires may not have sufficient currency reserves to be able to maintain a fixed exchange rate
Managed floating exchange rates
Sterling free to fluctuate between undisclosed levels
If value moves away from target -> Bank of England will intervene to tip market the other way
Therefore will be ceiling and floor value
Competitive devaluation/depreciation
Countries can drive to down value of currency to improve export competitiveness
Weaker currency -> encourage exports, discourages imports -> balance of payments improves
- May cause inflation -> worsens balance of payments
- Countries may retaliate
- Terms of trade deteriorate
Marshall Lerner condition
States that a depreciation/devaluation of the exchnage rate will eventually lead to a net improvement in the trade balance provided that the sum of the price elasticity of demand for exports and imports > 1
Short run J-Curve
When exchange rate falls it takes a while for supply to catch up with demand abroard (SPICED) -> worsens balance of payments before improving it
What happens if a country has a weaker exchange rate?
Exports rise as they are cheaper -> imports fall as more expensive -> increase AD -> economic growth + employment
What happens if there is a fall in exchange rate?
Inflation rises as imports rise -> prices rise, fall in SRAS. Net exports of AD rise -> prices rise even more
What happens if there is a fall in currency?
FDI rises as it is cheaper to invest
However if it continues to fall it will discourage investment as it shows economic difficulty