5.3 The Bottom Up Approach Flashcards
define the bottom-up approach
a data-driven approach where statistical techniques are used to produce predictions about the likely characteristics of an offender
define geographical profiling
a form of bottom-up profiling based on the pattern shown by the location or locations of a series of crimes
define investigative psychology
a form of bottom-up profiling based on psychological theory
who created the bottom-up approach in investigative psychology. Why was it created at the time and what was it known as?
It was developed by David Canter, who was hired to catch the Railway Rapist
Canter’s model is known as the Five Factor Model
list the 5 features of David Canter’s five factor model
interpersonal coherence time and place criminal characteristics criminal career forensic awareness
describe ‘Interpersonal coherence’, as used in Canter’s five factor model
there is a consistency between the way offenders interact with their victims and with others in their everyday lives.
describe ‘time and place’, as used in Canter’s five factor model
the time and location of an offender’s crime will communicate something about their own place of residence/employment.
describe ‘criminal characteristics’, as used in Canter’s five factor model
characteristics about the offender can help to classify them, which helps the police investigation.
describe ‘criminal career’, as used in Canter’s five factor model
crimes tend to be committed in similar fashion by offenders and can provide indication of how their criminal activity will develop.
describe ‘forensic awareness’, as used in Canter’s five factor model
offenders who show an understanding of a police investigation are likely to have had previous encounters with the criminal justice system.
summarise the bottom-up approach in offender profiling
data driven and based on psychological theory and research
investigative psychology - using characteristics of the person (Canter).
- interpersonal coherence, personality is consistent which provides clues, and changes in circumstance may provide other clues
- forensic awareness, an experienced criminal may reveal their knowledge, e.g. wiping fingerprints
- smallest space analysis, data items from crime scenes correlated, leading to three themes: instrumental opportunistic, instrumental cognitive and expressive impulsive
Geographical profiling, location of a crime provides clues (Canter)
- circle theory (Canter and Larkin), criminals commit crimes within a circle: marauder (live within the circle) or commuter (travels to the circle)
- criminal geographic targeting (CGT), Rossomo’s formula produces a 3D map (jeopardy surface) which will show probability of offender residence
evaluate the bottom-up approach in offender profiling
scientific basis - computer programs based on incomplete data (related to solved rather than unsolved crimes) and algorithms may be incorrect
Is investigative psychology useful? Copson found 75% of police thought profiler’s advice was useful but not used that much in the UK
is circle theory successful? Canter and Larkin found support but very few ‘commuters’; the concept assumes an offender lives in the centre of a shape that is circular
is geographical profiling successful? can help prioritise house-to-house searches but not much better than traditional pins on map
final conclusions - can’t identify murderer but can narrow field, but has potential to be misleading as in case of Rachel Nickell
who developed smallest space analysis?
David Canter
what is smallest space analysis?
statistical technique
data about many crime scenes and offender characteristics are correlated so the most common connections can be identified
when looking at smallest space analysis, what does it mean for an offender to be ‘instrumental opportunistic’
‘instrumental’ refers to using murder to obtain something or accomplish a goal; ‘opportunistic’ means that the offender took the easiest opportunities