4.5.3 Public Sector Finances Flashcards
LS19
Discretionary fiscal policy?
- Fiscal policy implemented at discretion of policy makers
Automatic stabilisers?
- Feature of tax and transfer system that reduces economic activity during booms and stimulates activity during recessions without direct intervention by government
e.g. unemployment benefits received by workers who got laid off due to recession
National debt?
- Government’s total accumulated borrowing - what they still owe
Debt-to-GDP ratio?
- Total government debt as a ratio of GDP
Used to judge likelihood of government debt being repayed, higher the ratio = repayment less likely
Cyclical budget deficit
- Part of deficit that occurs due to automatic stabilisers
Structural budget deficit?
- Part of deficit that occurs due to discretionary fiscal policy rather than automatic stabilisers e.g. changes to income tax rates
Factors influencing the size of the budget deficit?
- State of the economy: economic growth strong = wages, empoyment, profit likely to be ↑ = government earning ↑ tax revenue + ↓ spending on unemployment benefits = decreased budget deficit
- Age distribution of the population: dependency ratio, ageing population = ↓ income tax revenue = ↑ spending on state pensions/health services = increased budget deficit
- Discretionary fiscal policy
- Debt interest: larger debt = larger interest payments on debt
Factors influencing the size of the National Debt?
- If gov has fiscal surplus = smaller national debt
- If gov has fiscal deficit = larger national debt
How do fiscal deficits and national debt affect interest rates?
- When the government runs a budget deficit = needs to borrow more = ↑ demand for money = ↑ IR
How do fiscal deficits and national debt affect debt servicing?
- ↑ national debt = ↑ debt repayment = debt servicing becomes harder
- ↑ IR = interest payments ↑ = debt servicing becomes harder
How do fiscal deficits and national debt affect intergenerational equity?
- ↑ national debt through budget deficits = future generations have to pay for it through higher taxes/reduced gov. spending
If economic growth ↑, debt-to-GDP ratio may ↓ = country more credit-worthy
How do fiscal deficits and national debt affect inflation?
- Budget deficit = ↑ borrowing = gov spends more and private sector spends less = AD and inflation remains same
- OR could = ↑ supply of money (printing) = ↑AD (demand-pull inflation)
How do fiscal deficits and national debt affect credit ratings?
- ↑ national debt = likely ↑ in debt-to-GDP ratio = less credit-worthy = ↓ debt sustainability