4.3.2 Factors Influencing Growth and Development Flashcards
LS14
What is the result of primary product dependency in an economy?
Typically LEDCs
- LEDC dependent on primary products which have volatile prices
- Value of exports fall over time so TOT falls
- Harder to import capital goods as less income to invest into capital
- Economic growth falls as less money flowing into the country
- Less improvement of SoL so SoL falls
Savings ratio definition?
- The ratio of savings by individuals or households to disposable income
Harrod-Domar model?
- Holds that economic growth is dependent on the savings ratio
- Savings ratio => investment => capital stock => output => income =>
Evaluation of Harrod-Domar model?
- Low MPS in some countries so rise in income may not lead to a rise in savings
- Increase in savings = reduction in spending = fall in AD
Potential solutions to low saving ratios?
- Borrow from abroad
- Reform financial sector (e.g. education)
- Microfinance
- Aid
Why is foreign currency important for economic development in LEDCs?
- For importing raw materials unavailable domestically
- Importing capital goods during initial stages of industrialisation
Foreign currency gap definition?
- When currency outflows persistently exceed currency inflows
Consequences of a foreign currency gap?
- Not enough currency to purchase essential imports such as food, medicine or critical raw materials etc.
Causes of a foreign currency gap?
- Relatively low export earnings
- High oil prices (increased cost of production and export income falls)
- Underperforming agricultural sector (due to natural disasters)
- Large foreign debt (can’t save because have to keep paying debt - low savings ratio)
Solutions to foreign currency gaps?
- Debt relief (write off debt)
- Aid (e.g. IMF)
- Development of primary sector (into secondary sector)
- Development of tourism
Capital flight definition?
- Uncertain and rapid movement of large sums of money out of a country
e.g. Asian Financial Crisis 1997 when US raised interest rates and hot money flows more attracted to US + default on debt repayments = investors lost confidence and withdrew their capital en masse
Causes of capital flight?
- Anything that reduces confidence e.g. corporate tax rates, fears of economic instability
- War
- Corruption (political instability)
Consequences of capital flight?
- Fall in FDI = fall in AD = fall in economic growth = knock-on effect on business and consumer confidence = fall in investment and consumption = fall in SoL
How does capital flight impact economic growth and development?
- Less money available for investment
- Leads to depreciation of the exchange rate
- Currency speculators sell domestic currency
- Inflation likely to rise as import prices increased
- Inward FDI less attractive as country viewed as greater risk than before
Dependency ratio?
No. of dependents / No. of working age people