3.5: US Democracy and Participation Flashcards
What is the name of the electoral system used for Presidential Elections in the USA?
ELECTORAL COLLEGE
- A body of electors who cast votes on behalf of their states to formally elect the President and the Vice President of the USA every 4 years.
- States were to appoint electors who would vote for the President on behalf of that state.
- Elections take places on the first Tuesday after the first Monday in November, with 50 state-wide elections rather than one national election.
What is the electoral process for Presidential Elections?
PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION PROCESS
- Candidates within each party compete to be their party’s nominee.
a) Invisible Primary (18/24 months before election day).
- The time between a candidate formally announcing their intention to run for Presidential office and the first official primary caucus (test the waters).
- Before this, many release books; Hilliary wrote ‘Hard Choice’ in 2014, Obama wrote ‘Audacity of Hope’ in 2006 to show their political manifesto.
- Straw polls are glorifed opinion polls.
b) Early state primaries and caucuses such as New Hampshire and Iowa (Feb/9 months before).
c) ‘Super Tuesday’ (Mar/8 months before).
d) Late state primaries and caucuses (June/5 months before).
e) National Party Conventions (July/4 months before). - The nominated candidates from different parties compete against each other.
a) The election campaign, including televised debates (1-3 months before/Aug-Oct).
b) Election Day (Nov).
c) Electoral College Ballots Cast (1 month after/Dec).
d) Inauguration of the new President (2 months after/Jan).
What is the difference between Primaries and Caucuses?
PRIMARY
- An intraparty ballot to nominate the candidate for a party in the Presidential election.
- Secret Ballot.
- Often conducted on a state-wide basis/
- Used by 38 states (Alabama, North Carolina, Florida, New York…).
CAUCUSES
- An intraparty town-hall-style meeting in which voters physically exercise their preferences (moving to a part of a room or through a show of hands) in order to decide who will represent their party in the Presidential election.
- Voting often takes place in public.
- Often conducted in small local areas within a state (Republican Iowa caucus had 700 locations at 8 pm, lasting an hour).
- Used by 12 states (Iowa, Nevada, Colorado…).
What is the Invisible Primary and why is it significant?
INVISIBLE PRIMARY
- No ‘official’ beginning to the invisible primary but is rather a period which potential candidates for a party compete to attract attention, money and endorsements for their campaign.
a) Competition is intraparty meaning that it is within a party.
b) Growth of the media in the digital age has played an increasing role in the Presidential campaign.
- Televised debates such as 12 for Republicans in 2016 and 20 in 2012 with diminishing numbers.
c) Candidates use this to gain momentum with ‘name recognition’ often prompting a viable campaign.
- Raise profile through events, especially the announcement of their candidacy.
- Jeb Bush announced his candidacy in 2015, yet suffered criticism from Trump and other Republicans on Twitter during the invisible primary, later withdrawing on 20 Feb 2016 despite starting as the favourite to win with strong recognition and raising $114 million with Hilary on $69 million in the first half of 2015.
d) Michele Bachmann was the frontrunner in the 2011 Iowa Straw poll as an evangelical Christian, yet said the bible was fundamentally true and blamed swine flu on Jimmy Carter which was a blow to her campaign. - Attract finance.
a) Through direct donations from the voters (grassroots) or from Political Action Committees (PACs) or Super-PACs. - 2016 Republican candidates.
a) There were 17 different candidates aimed at the Republican Party for the Presidency.
b) 5 withdrew in during the invisible primary before the first official primary took place, 7 more withdrew in the 20 days following the first primary in Feb 2016.
- George Pataki (May 2015 - 29 Dec 2015) withdrew due to the lack of public support in polls.
- Rick Perry (June 2015 - 11 Sep 2015) withdrew due to a lack of financial support.
- Scott Walker (July 2015 - 21 Sep 2015) withdrew due to a lack of funding to keep up with his campaign spending.
- Bobby Jindal (June 2015 - 17 Nov 2015) withdrew due to a lack of public support and financial backing.
- Lindsay Graham (June 2015 - 21 Dec 2015) withdrew due to a lack of public support in polls. - 2020 Democrat candidates.
a) There were 29 major candidates.
b) 18 withdrew in the invisible primaries
- Cory Brooker (Feb 2019 - Jan 2020) withdrew for reelection as Senator for New Jersey.
What are PACs and Super-PACs and 527s?
POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEES (PACs)
- A group which can raise money to support a candidate in an election, donating a maximum of $5,000 to their campaign directly.
SUPER-PAC
- A group which can raise and spend unlimited amounts of money to support or oppose a candidate, but which is not allowed to donate directly to a campaign or coordinate with a campaign.
527s
- A tax-exempt organisation organised under Section 527 of the U.S. Internal Revenue Code.
- They can raise unlimited amounts but cannot call for the election or defeat of a candidate.
Has spending in Presidential elections increased over time?
CAMPAIGN SPENDING
- The rising cost of campaigns (best president money can buy).
a) Mike Bloomberg outspent his rivals in the 2020 Democrat candidacy at $539 million against all his rivals combined at $209 million.
- Bernie Sanders has spent $48 million up until Bloomberg quit.
- Pete Buttigieg has spent $35.4 million in ads.
- Joe Biden spent $13.9 million.
b) President Obama’s 2012 campaign for president spent $338 million. - 2016 Presidential elections
a) Large disparity between the two leading candidates.
- Hilliary Clinton spent $1.191 billion, with ‘Priorities USA Action’ Super PAC raised $132 million.
- Trump spent $0.6468 billion
b) Trump benefitted from nearly $2 billion worth of ‘free’ media attention due to his controversial nature and ‘shock and awe’ tactic.
- Hilliary Clinton gained just $746 million from ‘free’ media.
What are the different types of Primaries/Caucuses?
DIFFERENT PRIMARIES/CAUCUSES
- Open Primaries/Caucuses
a) All voters in a state can take part, regardless of whether they are a registered party member.
b) Voters can take part in only one primary.
- They would, therefore, have to decide whether to vote in the Democratic or Republican (or 3rd party) primary/caucus.
- A Democrat voter could, therefore, vote in the Republican primary and vice versa. - Closed Primaries/Caucuses
a) Only voters who are registered as a party member can take part.
- Registered Democrats would be allowed to take part in the Democratic primary/caucus with voters sent a ballot only id they are registered party members. - Semi-Closed Primaries/Caucuses
a) A hybrid of both open and closed. Registered party members are allowed to take part only in their party’s primary/caucus.
b) Unregistered voters are allowed to choose which party primary/caucus they want to vote in.
How are delegates from Primaries/Caucuses allocated?
DELEGATE ALLOCATION
- In 2016, Democrats had 4,763 delegates whilst Republicans had 2,472.
- Proportionality
a) The delegates are allocated proportionally to the vote the candidate receives.
b) Used by all democrat primaries and caucuses and select Republican ones. - Winner-takes-all
a) The candidate with the biggest share of the vote is allocated all of the delegates for that state.
b) Used by some Republican primaries and caucuses. - Proportional unless a threshold is reached
a) Delegates are allocated proportionally unless if one candidate reaches the ‘threshold’ in a state, (varies from 50% - 85% of the vote), they are allocated all of that state’s delegates.
b) Used in some Republican primaries and caucuses.
What is ‘frontloading’?
FRONTLOADING
- The movement of primaries to an earlier point in the calendar in order to give more significance to a primary or caucus within a state.
- Seen with states moving them before New Hampshire and Iowa (which are normally happen first).
- So states later in the calendar have a greater say in the campaign process - Trump gained a majority on the 26th May 2016 despite 7 states not holding their primaries (including populous states such as California).
What is ‘Super Tuesday’?
SUPER TUESDAY
- Due to frontloading, many primaries occur on the same day.
- ‘Super Tuesday’ usually occurs in March
- On the 3rd of March 2020, 14 primaries were held.
- The largest of these was in 2008 with ‘super-duper Tuesday due to 24 states holding primaries.
What are National Party Conventions?
NATIONAL PARTY CONFERENCE
- A national convention of the Republican and Democratic parties in which they formally nominate their presidential candidate and affirm their party platform for the coming election.
- Following the disastrous Chicago Democrat convention in 1968 with riots on the Vietnam War, the McGovern-Fraser Commission was established to review the nomination process of the President which gave more significance to primaries and caucuses.
What is the significance of National Party Conventions?
NATIONAL PARTY CONVENTIONS
- Selecting the party candidates for the presidency
a) While most party delegates are bound by party rules as to whom they have to vote for, this is still a process which takes place at conventions and formally acknowledges the party’s nominee for President and Vice President.
- In the vote of delegates, a simple majority of votes cast is needed to approve a candidate.
b) The official candidate is usually a foregone conclusion.
- Most delegates are already pledged since the primaries.
- Superdelegates (special delegates/nominated party officials) vote has more weight to it.
- In 2016, Trump was approved with over 1,700 delegates (69.8%) on the first ballot, whilst Mitt Romney won over 90% in 2012. - Adopting the party platform and policies
a) Theoretically, the party convention allows for discussion on, and amendments to, the party platform.
- These are the principles and policy goals of a political party (manifesto).
b) While parties do take into account their members’ view, the party convention today is little more than a rubber stamp for the platform.
- Most party policy is created by ‘platform committees’ of each party in the days before conventions in collaboration with the presumptive nominee.
- Platforms are then simply agreed to at the convention in a vote.
- In 2016, it took just 6 minutes to confirm the Republican Party Platform - Selling the candidate
a) As a multimillion-dollar event with extensive television coverage, the convention allows the candidate considerable media coverage, especially in their acceptance speech.
- Obama’s 2007 speech had an audience of 39 million television viewers.
b) In this speech, the nominee can talk directly to the voters and set out their campaign narrative.
- Allow for the rising stars of the party to make their mark for future campaigns as Obama did in 2004. - Party Unity
a) The invisible primary and primary season can be bruising.
- Candidates from the same party battling it out for supremacy by often pointing out flaws in other candidates, thereby exposing divisions.
b) The Convention affords an opportunity to repair some of this damage and prepare instead to compete against the opposing party rather than one another.
- Having lost to Obama in 2008, Clinton opened her convention speech by saying that she was a ‘proud supporter of Barack Obama’.
- Ted Cruz did not endorse Trump at the 2016 convention. - 2016 National Conventions
a) Republican National Convention 2016
- Many prominent Republicans did not attend with Trump gaining endorsements from low-profile losing primary candidates such as Chris Christe and Ben Carson.
- Melania gave a speech but was accused of plagiarising Michelle Obama.
- Ted Cruz snubbed Trump by urging voters to ‘vote your conscience’.
- The platform opposed gay marriage.
- Trump’s final speech appealed to his populist base, talking of immigration and his proposed Mexican wall giving him a 4% bounce in ratings (John Kerry did not get this bounce in 2004 despite unpopularity of George Bush).
b) Democratic National Convention 2016
- United convention with progressives such as Warren and Sanders and a highly supportive Obama and Bill Clinton.
- Sanders supporters organised protests, accusing the DNC of bias as in the Nevada Primaries, Clinton won the majority of delegates in the 1st stage, yet Bernie won the 2nd stage after many failed to show up, yet the Democrats discredited these delegate and changed the rules.
- Music stars such as Alicia Keys, Katy Perry and Lady Gaga played.
- Rule change to reduce the role of superdelegates was adopted, with 2/3 of superdelegates bound to state results.
- Clinton appealed to Trump’s key demographic support alongside other issues such as climate change in her speech.
What is the significance of the Party Platform?
PARTY PLATFORM
- Manifesto for the nominated candidate to stand by.
- Usually very generic as to not alienate anybody.
- Exception of:
a) Trump 2016 with nationalist pledges including a southern border wall.
b) Barry Goldwater 1964 with right-wing mass privatisation and nuclear weapons (Beaten by L.B.Johnson).
c) George McGovern 1972 with the housewives wage.
What are the advantages and disadvantages of the Primaries and Caucuses process?
PRIMARIES AND CAUCUSES
- Advantages
a) Raises key issues
- ‘Idea factory’ with more ideas than from just 1 candidate.
- Competition between candidates tests different policies.
- Successful policies of losing candidates can be adopted by winning candidates.
- Political education.
b) Voter choice and democracy
- Increased participation compared to a situation of no primary voting.
- Choice of competing/ideologies/policies within a party.
- Choice by social characteristic (race, gender…).
- Especially true of open primaries states.
c) Electability/proven candidates
- Tests ability to overcome deficiencies/personal issues.
- Proven candidates are more likely to win the Presidency.
- Tests the ability to raise funds. - Disadvantages
a) Internal divides in parties.
- Exposes divisions.
- People can lose faith in candidates.
- Problematic if only one party has a primary.
- Negative campaigning common, even within a party.
- Can reduce the popularity of winning candidate.
- EXAMPLE. Clinton was engulfed in sex scandals in 1991 as his campaign began (comeback kid).
b) Specific Procedures
- Creates low turnout and excludes certain voters.
- Some states have dubious practices such as non-binding elections.
- Different rules for different states.
c) Timing.
- Early states influence late states
- Late states can be disenfranchised, rendering voting pointless.
What is the significance of American Overseas Territories in Primaries/Caucuses?
AMERICAN OVERSEAS TERRITORIES
- 5 American overseas territories (US Virgin Islands, Guan, Puerto Rico, American Samoa, Northern Mariana Islands) are allowed to vote in Primaries but not Presidential elections.
What are the different types of states in the election campaign?
STATES IN THE ELECTION CAMPAIGN
- Battleground States
- A state in which the candidate it will support is uncertain (swing state) and which therefore sees a lot of campaigning activities in order to win votes. - Bellwether States
- A state which has historically tended to vote for the Presidential candidate, and therefore is of far more interest for candidates.
- EXAMPLE. In 2016, 94% of events by either Trump, Pence, Clinton or Kaine took place in just 12 states, with Florida having 71 campaign events.
What is the significance of televised debates in the election campaign?
TELEVISED DEBATES
- Since 1976, there has been an expectation for candidates to take part in televised debates against one another.
- Candidates polling at an average of 15% in national polls is eligible.
- Only meant that there have been two candidates (Democrats and Republicans with 3rd parties falling short).
- EXAMPLE. Even though Hilliary Clinton had ‘won’ each of the debates through measuring her polling she still lost the 2016 election.