3.3.2 investment appraisal Flashcards
investment is
Investment is the process of using money with a view to future profit or material gain
Investment appraisal is …..
and is used to
Investment appraisal is the use of numerical techniques to predict the financial outcomes of potential capital investments
Investment appraisal may be used to compare different options e.g. location A or location B and/or against predetermined criteria
Financial methods of assessing an investment include
Payback
Average (Accounting) rate of return
Discounted cash flow - Net present value
what does payback calculate
Calculates how long it will take to pay back the cost of the initial investment
It shows how many years and months
how do you calculate payback
Step 1: Calculate during which year the investment cost will be covered
-add up cumulative net cash flow till it reaches the amount of the initial investment , this will give you the year but not the month
Step 2 : Calculate how many months
how much needs to be paid in the next year/ how much had been paid x 12 months
describe the payback period
The longer the payback period the greater the degree of risk and uncertainty
Need to also consider how the investment is being funded e.g. if via a bank loan what will the impact be on gearing
Does not take into account what happens after payback
Assumes that in the year of payback that the cash inflow is equal each month
Average (accounting) Rate of Return calculates
Calculates average profit as a percentage of the cost of the initial investment
how to calculate Average (accounting) Rate of Return
Step 1: calculate average annual profit
Total net cash flow / number of years
Step 2: calculate ARR
Divide average annual profit by initial investment x 100
describe what Average (accounting) Rate of Return means
Allows for easy comparison with other forms of investment
The higher the ARR the better the proposed investment
However there is no consideration given to the timings of the inflow
Discounted cash flow - Net Present Value calculates
Calculates the total return on an investment taking into account the time value of money
how to calculate Discounted cash flow - Net Present Value
Step 1 : Multiply each net cash inflow by the relevant discount factor
Step 2 : add up all the annual NPVs to calculate the total return on the investment
describe Discounted cash flow - Net Present Value
A positive NPV implies a worth while investment
But is it a big enough return to justify the risk?
Takes into account the time value of money but the discount factor is a prediction
describe Investment Criteria
A predetermined set of guidelines against which an investment can be judged
Minimum targets expected from investments
Will partly depend upon culture
May be influenced by the level of confidence in the predicted figures
Investment appraisal is trying to minimise risk or help inform decision making
Key considerations in assessing the degree of risk or uncertainty are:
Gearing Stability Opportunity cost Predictions Competitor reactions Time frame
Qualitative factors influencing investment decisions
-Stakeholders and external factors
Suppliers Shareholders Community Employees Management Environment Customers